Random Horse Tips

[saintkiptanui]

But you did win 16k in the 1st place ?

No. I have done a placepot at catterick today but the spunkball behind the counter has put it in as Haydock, I have 100/1 shots all the way through, ace.

[frankie]

The usual really competitive Saturday racing today, hard to keep selections to a minimum but will try.

 

Newmarket 2.15

 

Green Moon has looked very impressive winning his two runs this year, this is a step up in class, but with question marks about the Godolphin and Hannon horses, plus a skinny price on the favourite I fancy him to improve and take this event for his hattrick.

 

2.45

 

Munsarim ran in some very hot races as a two year old, with multiple winners coming out of them, he has a low mark for his handicap debut and can take this race before going on to better things.

 

3.20

 

I am sure Gene Autry will have her backers, but I really like the look of Cecils unexposed Walk on Water, she looked good on Good to firm / firm ground on her first two starts before seemingly hating the soft ground, this should be much more up her street and hopefully she can win here. Another at a big price to look at is Side Glance who has course and distance form.

 

3.55

 

Let's hope Cecil has a good day as I think his Rodrigo De Torres will overturn the favourite, he showed good form last time out when beating the useful Meezaan and he is meant to be going very well at home.

 

Nothing really stands out at Beverley for me today, but I will be watching Look Busy in the 4.15, this is a drop in class and i'd like to see her win.

 

Haydock.

 

Looking out of the window I can only back one horse, Rainfall was very impressive winning his debut, it is impossible to say what that form amounts too, but that was over 7f, at a furlong less here, I hope he can blast out, use his stamina and blunt the finishing speed of his rivals.

 

3.00

 

Polly's Mark ran very well last time out, finishing fourth behind some smart colts, that run should have sharpened her up and conditions today will really suit her.

 

3.30

 

Doncaster Rover finished just behind Main Aim on there last start, yet Doncaster Rover is nearly 4 times the price, his trainer is in good form so a small bet on Doncaster Rover for me.

 

4.45 I fancy plenty in this race....Aaim to Prosper will be my main bet after a promising reappearance and I will chuck a couple of quid on Godolphins outsider Urban Poet.

 

Over at Catterick my only bet will be Frognal in the 4.35, he has been well backed recently and will be again today I think, his trainer is in sparkling form and he is handicapped to win today.

 

Good luck all

 

And keep dry

 

Frankie

 

Hmm not a bad day, but very frustrating, especially at Haydock, Green Moon looked impressive winning and it was nice to see Look Busy return to winning ways, but 3 seconds at nice prices was a little unlucky at Haydock, Rainfall ran a nice race in second (8/1) Polly's Mark would surely have won in another stride at 7/2 and Doncaster Rover finished second to Main Aim at 10/1....

 

On to tonight at Cartmel have have to have a bet on 8.40 Sir Frank, this is his hurdling debut after being successful in a bumper 32 days ago, if he takes to the jumps he should run well, I like Brian Hughes as a jockey and the trainer knows the time of day, watch closely for any money backing it. At Stratford, I like the look of King Troy in the 7.20 he was going nicely at Cheltenham when falling and was in great form before that, keep an eye on Tanks for That, who has pulled up last two runs but if running to form could go well at a big price.

 

7.55 Ice Tea has been a monkey in the past, but if he remains on form he could take this hunter chase.

 

8.30 Mad Victor looks to have a decent chance but I like the chances of That Look, he hasnt run for some time but has some very good form in the past over jumps and on the flat and will do for me.

 

good luck all, djing for a 30th Birthday tonight, Saints fan so should be a good crack.

 

Frankie

[saintkiptanui]

P*ssed up DJ Frankie, expect plenty of Will Young and Madonna.

[chocco boxo]

Plume at Newmarket today 5.15 going to be short odds but a cert!

[frankie]

Hmm not a bad day, but very frustrating, especially at Haydock, Green Moon looked impressive winning and it was nice to see Look Busy return to winning ways, but 3 seconds at nice prices was a little unlucky at Haydock, Rainfall ran a nice race in second (8/1) Polly's Mark would surely have won in another stride at 7/2 and Doncaster Rover finished second to Main Aim at 10/1....

 

On to tonight at Cartmel have have to have a bet on 8.40 Sir Frank, this is his hurdling debut after being successful in a bumper 32 days ago, if he takes to the jumps he should run well, I like Brian Hughes as a jockey and the trainer knows the time of day, watch closely for any money backing it. At Stratford, I like the look of King Troy in the 7.20 he was going nicely at Cheltenham when falling and was in great form before that, keep an eye on Tanks for That, who has pulled up last two runs but if running to form could go well at a big price.

 

7.55 Ice Tea has been a monkey in the past, but if he remains on form he could take this hunter chase.

 

8.30 Mad Victor looks to have a decent chance but I like the chances of That Look, he hasnt run for some time but has some very good form in the past over jumps and on the flat and will do for me.

 

good luck all, djing for a 30th Birthday tonight, Saints fan so should be a good crack.

 

Frankie

 

Crikey fellas good night for me King Troy won at 13/2 with Tanks for that who I also highlighted coming third at 16/1 and good old Sir Frank won at 5/1 so four tips and two nice winners....

 

Frankie

[frankie]

A few for today...

 

Newmarket

 

3.30 Florentine Ruler

 

4.05 Noverre to go

 

4.40 Bernie's Moon

 

5.15 Fly Silca Fly

 

5.50 Lutine Bell

 

Uttoxeter

 

2.45 Franchoek

 

4.25 Red not Blue and Carlton Scroop

 

5.40 !Quipe me Posted

 

Fontwell

 

3.00 Benmore Boy

 

4.10 Himba

 

Have a nice day all

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Taking a break today though 2 did catch my eye albeit without any great deal of reason though on closer inspection :

 

5.15 - Newmarket - Bahrati - e/w. @ 8/1 (General) Caught the eye for more than one reason over seven furlongs at Newbury last time out. He broke slowly, which he has often done, and wanted to go much faster from an early stage than the pace of the race would allow him. It was also noticeable that his head carriage tended to make him hang to his left and it wasn't easy for his jockey to steer him through the gaps that were opening momentarily in front of him. This hampered his progress when the race started in earnest but, to the horse's credit he found a good turn of foot to make up late ground and finish within a short distance of the placed horses. He will need to be sharper from the gates today but the faster pace of this shorter trip looks likely to suit and he has run well on both previous occasions he has tackled six furlongs. Drawn in stall 12 today he will have a left hand rail to run against if his jockey elects to stay stands side. With a decent break he could run much straighter and be a much simpler ride, which in turn could see him improve on what he has so far produced.

 

5.50 - Newmarket - King's 'N' Dreams e/w. @12/1 (General) At prices of 9/4 and 3/1, Lutine Bell and Tell Halak respectively look worth taking on. The booking of Jimmy Fortune for King's 'N' Dreams takes the eye and he looks worthy of e/w consideration. He has travelled well in both his races this season at Windsor and Kempton and could find this more galloping track to his liking. He has shown he handles both good and soft ground so any further rain wouldn't inconvenience him. His close fourth in a six furlong Doncaster Maiden last November suggests a handicap mark of 69 is not beyond him and he does give the impression that he is a slow learner. He is bred to make a better three year old and thsi race contains more quantity than quality.

 

 

 

EW double.

[frankie]

A few for today...

 

Newmarket

 

3.30 Florentine Ruler

 

4.05 Noverre to go

 

4.40 Bernie's Moon

 

5.15 Fly Silca Fly

 

5.50 Lutine Bell

 

Uttoxeter

 

2.45 Franchoek

 

4.25 Red not Blue and Carlton Scroop

 

5.40 !Quipe me Posted

 

Fontwell

 

3.00 Benmore Boy

 

4.10 Himba

 

Have a nice day all

 

Frankie

 

A blimmin good weekend for me this weekend, yesterday saw:

 

Noverre to Go 9/2 winner

Fly Silca Fly 7/1 Winner

Red not Blue 2/1 winner

Quipe me Posted 14/1 Winner !!!

 

Of out for a walk with the missus and the dog, plus a picnic on the downs but a few fancies on a very busy Bank Holiday, just selections i'm afraid.

 

Goodwood

 

2.35 Tubby Isaacs

3.10 Drunken Sailor

4.20 Light from Mars

 

Towcester.

2.15 Niceonefrankie

2.50 Nicky Nutjob

 

Redcar

3.00 Escape Artist

4.10 Forte De Marmi

5.20 Simple Jim

 

Carlisle

2.55 Just Sam

 

Leicester

5.35 Contradiktive

 

Have a cracking bank holiday

 

Frankie

[frankie]

Had a word that Crown Prosecuter in the 3.45 Goodwood is useful.

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Nice work Frankie, for me today and several not even at the same tracks as yours which is encouraging- for you that is

 

Leic 14:40 Imjin River

Carl 14:55 Hazelrigg

Good 15:10 Laaheb NAP

Leic 15:15 Timocracy

Redc 15:35 Judiciary

Chep 15:40 Princess Flame

Chep 16:15 Candleshoe

 

Good luck,

 

Chris

[saintkiptanui]

Had a word that Crown Prosecuter in the 3.45 Goodwood is useful.

 

Frankie

Being very well backed.

[chrisobee]

Being very well backed.

 

By you ?

[saintkiptanui]

By you ?

Nope by shrewdies.

[chrisobee]

Nope by shrewdies.

 

With Fallon on board shrewdies might not be the right word!

[saintkiptanui]

With Fallon on board shrewdies might not be the right word!

Shrewdies is the correct word Hannon on the face of it has the race wrapped up.

 

Hannon 1-2.

[chrisobee]

Shrewdies is the correct word Hannon on the face of it has the race wrapped up.

 

Hannon 1-2.

 

Dr Green has the experience which is often vital, CP'S usually c o c k things up !

[saintkiptanui]

Dr Green has the experience which is often vital, CP'S usually c o c k things up !

I've just had an hour session in Corals, started with £85 and left with £86 and a £20 single on Crown prosecution.

[frankie]

Had a word that Crown Prosecuter in the 3.45 Goodwood is useful.

 

Frankie

 

Was well backed and did the business, won nicely so hope a few of you had it.

 

Frankie

[frankie]

 

Goodwood

 

2.35 Tubby Isaacs (Ran a good race in 3rd without ever looking like winning)

3.10 Drunken Sailor (Again finished 3rd without reaching the surprise winner)

4.20 Light from Mars (Finished nowhere didnt see race but hampered, not sure if it made much difference though)

 

Towcester.

2.15 Niceonefrankie (Yeehhaaa good old Frankie horses 3/1 winner)

2.50 Nicky Nutjob (3rd but never at the races)

 

Redcar

3.00 Escape Artist (Finished second after hanging left, will definitely come on for run)

4.10 Forte De Marmi ( Won at 4/1)

5.20 Simple Jim (Just held on to win at 4/1)

 

Carlisle

2.55 Just Sam (Nowhere)

 

Leicester

5.35 Contradiktive (Came 2nd without reaching front running winner)

 

Have a cracking bank holiday

 

Frankie

 

Another decent day, especially Crown Prosecuter doing the business, plus a few nice winners and a few placed horses.

 

Frankie

[saintkiptanui]

Was well backed and did the business, won nicely so hope a few of you had it.

 

Frankie

 

Cheers Frankie, had £20 on it at 9/2.:smt038

[frankie]

Cheers Frankie, had £20 on it at 9/2.:smt038

 

Nice one Ade mate....don't blow it all though mate...look out for my tips tomorrow, it's half term so plenty of time to study.

 

Frankie

[bungle]

Got on Cape Blanco in Derby this morning at 12/1. Five minutes later at St Nicholas Abbey out of race. Now Cape Blanco 7/1. Good skills.

 

Will lose, obviously.

[frankie]

After a very good bank holiday weekend, i'm looking to continue my good run...my nap runs this evening so it may be worth just doing that one...I am also going to have a double on Precotts two runners today Comedy Act in the 3.45 at Leicester and Aestival in the 8.55 at Yarmouth, it wont be a massive price but I feel that there is more improvement to come from these two judged on their runs last time out and Prescott like to try and run up a quick sequence of wins with horses of this type.

 

My Nap is:

 

7.50 Yarmouth Eywa, he ran with promise over maidens before making his handicap debut when he was very unlucky to be hampered, the booking of Kieran Fallon also catches the eye.

 

Leicester.

 

2.15 The combination of Brian Meehan and Fallon did us a favour yesterday and they team up again with Star Today, I have not heard anything about this one, but Meehan one this last year, the three with race experience don't look any great shakes and Star today is worth having a few quid on that she is useful.

 

3.15 Red Gulch looks to have a very good chance now upped in trip, but I am going to oppose him with Mark Johnstons maiden The Hermitage, she is improving with every run and was unlucky not to lose her maiden tag last time out when making all and was just collared on the line, I expect her to bounce out the stall again, make all and test Red Gulchs' stamina over this trip.

 

5.15 forum fav Sands Crooner must be given a chance in this, he is drawn well, his handicap mark has dropped to a winnable mark, strangely he has only ever run at Leicester once, finishing fourth on just his second ever start.

 

Redcar

3.00

P Evans has chances with all 3 of his runners in this, Lastkingofscotland won last time out, but I am convinced with a better ride Blue Noodles would have pushed him all the way, I expect him to improve again for the run and be chased home by Angel of Fashion.

 

3.30 Ellisons Dream Win will be fancied in this but his form looks patchy to say the least, I like the look of Tropical Duke, who ran well on his seasonal reappearance before being hampered and fading, I expect him to strip fitter this run and put his course experience to good use.

 

Take care all, awful day outside.

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Oh no, the curse is well and truly on today !

A win double for me too on Comedy Act and Aestival. Both short prices but both should win, going to throw in Elshabakiya in the Leicester 2.15 for a trixie though am having a seperate small win bet on of course Star Today in that race ! Also on Sands Crooner (ew) at Leicester. The really good news Frankie is I'm opposing your NAP

 

Leic 14:15 Elshabakiya/ Star Today

Leic 15:15 Scottish Boogie Each Way @ 20/1 ( Several firms) Has yet to conclusively prove he has trained on but he looked in need of his reappearance at Kempton in April and was much too keen to last home over Sandown's stiff mile last time out. he showed marked improvement in his last two races over seven furlongs as a Juvenile and, if he has retained/improved on that level of ability with another Winter on his back, then he could run much better than his market price indicates. today's jockey has a profitable 24% strike rate for today's yard (28% on their 3 year olds) and a very profitable 19% strike rate for today's owner (24% on his 3 year olds).

Leic 15:45 Comedy Act

Leic 16:15 Highland Cadett Each Way @ 16/1 ( Ladbrokes) There aren't many solid options in this field and, although he has yet to finish in the frame or get within five lengths of a winner in any of his four races to date, Highland Cadett could run well at a big price. He didn't show much in two maidens and a Claimer on the A/W over 8-10 furlongs in Feb/March but there was much more encouragement on his first attempt on grass at Salisbury last time out. He travelled well through the race and only gave way going into the latter stages. beaten seven and a half lengths, he probably found the 12 furlongs on a testing track beyond him. The drop back to ten furlongs could suit and he certainly gives the impression he has the ability to win from a mark as low as 60. This race won't take much winning and it's likely Highland Cadett has more to come than he has so far shown.

Leic 17:15 Sands Crooner Each Way @14/1 ( Various)

Redc 17:30 Cheveyo Each Way @12/1 ( Bet 365) Even for a Maiden Handicap this is a very moderate affair. Cheveyo hasn't achieved much in seven outings on turf but his form on the A/W in his native Ireland suggests he is not devoid of ability. He has only been seen in five races for current connections and, although 9/11 over five furlongs last time out at Catterick, he was only four and a half lengths off the winner after being slowly away. The step back up to six furlongs is in his favour and he may finally be coming to terms with his new surroundings. He has fallen to a tempting mark of 55 and he has a useful three pound claimer to assist him.

Yarm 19:50 A Pocketful Of Rye Better than his recent form figures suggest and caught the eye running on into midfield at Nottingham last time out. Held up off the pace he never found the racing room he needed when the pace quickened but did show a decent turn of foot when the gaps did appear. He runs from the same mark today in an easier race with stronger handling. Granted better luck in running he should be on the premises at the business end of the race.

Yarm 20:55 Aestival

 

Good luck, could be an awful day indoors and out!

 

Chris

Edited 1 June, 2010 by chrisobee
add analysis

[chrisobee]

Nice one Ade mate....don't blow it all though mate...look out for my tips tomorrow, it's half term so plenty of time to study.

 

Frankie

 

Well done Frankie, kipper will probably have blown it already

 

Chris

[saintkiptanui]

I used the £110 to pay my credit card bill this month, very sensible.

 

4.45 - Leicester - Right said Fred. In Honour of bernie.

[frankie]

I used the £110 to pay my credit card bill this month, very sensible.

 

4.45 - Leicester - Right said Fred. In Honour of bernie.

 

Being well backed mate, will have a few quid on it too.

 

Frankie

[notnowcato]

Got on Cape Blanco in Derby this morning at 12/1. Five minutes later at St Nicholas Abbey out of race. Now Cape Blanco 7/1. Good skills.

 

Will lose, obviously.

 

Sorry Bungle ol' boy but I think Blanco is off to France for their Derby.

[bungle]

Sorry Bungle ol' boy but I think Blanco is off to France for their Derby.

 

Gah.

[saintkiptanui]

Gah.

30/1 on betfair:smt038

[frankie]

Apart from the obvious double that amazingly both Chris and I tipped and it came in, a pretty poor day all round...oh well I was due one.

 

Frankie

[bungle]

Apart from the obvious double that amazingly both Chris and I tipped and it came in, a pretty poor day all round...oh well I was due one.

 

Frankie

 

Thanks for the obvious double though. All wins are good wins!

[chrisobee]

Thanks for the obvious double though. All wins are good wins!

 

On here they certainly are ! Your bet on Cape Blanco looked inspired until the trainer seemingly decided to head for France probably on the basis that you had backed it at a decent price, Sods Law at it's worst !

[chrisobee]

Apart from the obvious double that amazingly both Chris and I tipped and it came in, a pretty poor day all round...oh well I was due one.

 

Frankie

 

Well I'm certainly due a few good days Frankie, bizarre how one minute just about anything you back seems to run a stormer, next minute you wonder if you have a clue what you're doing !!

Still some great racing to come this month, the WC and the sun is shining so it's not so bad

Good luck all with whatever takes your fancy today.

[frankie]

Not a bad days racing today, plenty of fancies..not going to put any reasoning for my tips today as it seems to hinder them :-) so here are my totally random selections for today and tonight.

 

Nottingham

 

2.10 Frank Street

 

4.15 Molon Labe

 

4.50 Balcarce Nov

 

5.25 Tatiana Romanova

 

Cartmel

 

2.20 Sir Frank

 

2.50 Saintly Lady

 

4.30 Areyacoddinme

 

5.05 Solent

 

Fontwell

 

2.30 Cash Crisis

 

4.05 River Indus

 

4.40 Geography

 

Ripon

 

7.10 Tropical Bachelor

 

7.40 Esuvia

 

8.10 Marine Boy

 

9.10 Miss Keck

 

Kempton

 

6.20 Love you Louis

 

6.50 Franco is my Name

 

7.20 Zabeel Park

 

9.20 Uncle Keef

 

Pick the bones out of that lot :-)

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Not a bad days racing today, plenty of fancies..not going to put any reasoning for my tips today as it seems to hinder them :-) so here are my totally random selections for today and tonight.

 

Nottingham

 

2.10 Frank Street

 

4.15 Molon Labe

 

4.50 Balcarce Nov

 

5.25 Tatiana Romanova

 

Cartmel

 

2.20 Sir Frank

 

2.50 Saintly Lady

 

4.30 Areyacoddinme

 

5.05 Solent

 

Fontwell

 

2.30 Cash Crisis

 

4.05 River Indus

 

4.40 Geography

 

Ripon

 

7.10 Tropical Bachelor

 

7.40 Esuvia

 

8.10 Marine Boy

 

9.10 Miss Keck

 

Kempton

 

6.20 Love you Louis

 

6.50 Franco is my Name

 

7.20 Zabeel Park

 

9.20 Uncle Keef

 

Pick the bones out of that lot :-)

 

Frankie

 

I think I spot a pattern emerging

 

2.10 Frank Street

 

2.20 Sir Frank

 

2.50 Saintly Lady

 

5.05 Solent

 

6.20 Love you Louis

 

6.50 Franco is my Name

 

 

Not to mention :

 

4.05 River Indus

 

4.40 Geography

 

7.10 Tropical Bachelor

 

Good system Franco !

 

Chris

[frankie]

hehe its a winner mate :-) might start selling it on Ebay..if I wasn't banned

 

Was tempted to go to fontwell today, but decided against it.

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Not a lot to excite today, most of those I like very short but I am going to back these, probably at least one win double :

 

Nott 16:50 Back Rio De La Plata Would be very confident but Godolphin out of form. That said this horse is the likely winner especially with Cityscape a N/R. Short @ around 6/5.

Cart 17:05 Spare Me @ 8/1

Nott 17:25 Field Day @ 9/4 Should continue to improve and 9/4 a decent price in my opinion.

Ripon 19:10 Tropical Bachelor NAP @ 5/2 Been knocking on the door and with Ryan Moore on board I think this has an excellent chance.

 

Cheers,

 

Chris

Edited 2 June, 2010 by chrisobee

[chrisobee]

A few more :

 

4.15 - Nottingham - Stadium Of Light @ 7/2 (General)

Still a maiden after six races but he showed improved form over 14 furlongs at Sandown last time out and stamina appears to be his forte. Tapped for toe and not finding much room enetering the latter stages he stayed on dourly and was closing on the principals at the line. The assessor has given him a three pound rise for that effort but it was his first attempt at a staying trip and he has the potential to progress again. The presence of a couple of front runners should ensure a generous gallop which will suit Stadium Of Light. His Sire has a good strike rate over longer distances and he represents a powerful stable who send just the one to the races today.

 

5.25 - Nottingham - Lady Pattern - e/w. Available @ 14/1 (General) Having already had a win bet on Field Day going to have a small ew bet also on Lady Pattern. She is more exposed than some of these but she has run two solid races in defeat over seven furlongs this season and suggested last time out at Newbury that the step up to a mile could suit. Her two and a quarter length defeat at the hands of an older, back to form and well handicapped Mare was a creditable effort. Back against her own age group she receives weight from almost the entire field and her racing style means should get a good tow into the race behind the pacesetters. She meets a few Fillies firmly on the upgrade but she was initially a promising Juvenile and under today's conditions she may be able to return to that kind of form. The yard are in very good order and send just the one to the races today.

 

7.40 - Ripon - Masked Dance -@ 7/1 (General)

Kelly's Eye and Timeless Stride will command most attention and, along with Esuvia and the reappearing Walvis Bay, they make this a decent handicap. However, Masked Dance could be the one who could trump them all. He improved markedly on his Juvenile form when winning on his reappearance over seven furlongs on soft ground at York and the five pound rise he has incurred for that victory looks fair. The first two pulled well clear and the second, gene Autry, has since run well in the Coral Sprint at Newmarket. The sixth has also subsequently won so the form has a solid look to it. Masked Dance drops back to six furlongs but he was a winner over this C/D in a Seller last season so he is not devoid of pace. He handled good ground then but being by Captain Rio he would prefer a drop of rain. He could've been better drawn but the booking of a jockey who has a 32% strike rate for the yard this season is a positive.

 

8.10 - Ripon - Tajneed - @ 5/1 (General)

 

8.20 - Kempton - Head Down - e/w. @ 22/1 (Stan James)

 

Cheers, off out to enjoy more sunshine

 

Chris

[saintkiptanui]

Got the fairyhouse placepot for 80p it paid £797. 80% of that makes just under £640, back in business:smt038

[saintkiptanui]

Nice finish Frankie.

[chrisobee]

Got the fairyhouse placepot for 80p it paid £797. 80% of that makes just under £640, back in business:smt038

 

Nice one kipper

[frankie]

Got the fairyhouse placepot for 80p it paid £797. 80% of that makes just under £640, back in business:smt038

 

Nice work Ade, good going mate, do you put your placepots on, online? and when you put them on do you perm them mate?

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Not a lot to excite today, most of those I like very short but I am going to back these, probably at least one win double :

 

Nott 16:50 Back Rio De La Plata Would be very confident but Godolphin out of form. That said this horse is the likely winner especially with Cityscape a N/R. Short @ around 6/5.( Won at 6/4, showed a good turn of foot to finish ahead of Frankie's Balcarce Nov. Frankie was very gentle with Rio De La Plata, a good confidence boosting win.)

Cart 17:05 Spare Me @ 8/1 ( Ran ok to finish 4th but never looked like winning)

Nott 17:25 Field Day @ 9/4 Should continue to improve and 9/4 a decent price in my opinion. ( Finished 2nd behind Forest Crown who won cosily. My other tip-below- at least returned place money by finishing 3rd at 15/2)

Ripon 19:10 Tropical Bachelor NAP @ 5/2 Been knocking on the door and with Ryan Moore on board I think this has an excellent chance. ( Won 7/2, good price and one for Frankie and me. Won easily, nice confident ride by John Fahy who replaced Ryan Moore)

 

Cheers,

 

Chris

 

A few more :

 

4.15 - Nottingham - Stadium Of Light @ 7/2 (General)

Still a maiden after six races but he showed improved form over 14 furlongs at Sandown last time out and stamina appears to be his forte. Tapped for toe and not finding much room enetering the latter stages he stayed on dourly and was closing on the principals at the line. The assessor has given him a three pound rise for that effort but it was his first attempt at a staying trip and he has the potential to progress again. The presence of a couple of front runners should ensure a generous gallop which will suit Stadium Of Light. His Sire has a good strike rate over longer distances and he represents a powerful stable who send just the one to the races today.( Didn't really ever land a blow, 4th)

 

5.25 - Nottingham - Lady Pattern - e/w. Available @ 14/1 (General) Having already had a win bet on Field Day going to have a small ew bet also on Lady Pattern. She is more exposed than some of these but she has run two solid races in defeat over seven furlongs this season and suggested last time out at Newbury that the step up to a mile could suit. Her two and a quarter length defeat at the hands of an older, back to form and well handicapped Mare was a creditable effort. Back against her own age group she receives weight from almost the entire field and her racing style means should get a good tow into the race behind the pacesetters. She meets a few Fillies firmly on the upgrade but she was initially a promising Juvenile and under today's conditions she may be able to return to that kind of form. The yard are in very good order and send just the one to the races today. ( as above 3rd at 15/2)

 

7.40 - Ripon - Masked Dance -@ 7/1 (General)

Kelly's Eye and Timeless Stride will command most attention and, along with Esuvia and the reappearing Walvis Bay, they make this a decent handicap. However, Masked Dance could be the one who could trump them all. He improved markedly on his Juvenile form when winning on his reappearance over seven furlongs on soft ground at York and the five pound rise he has incurred for that victory looks fair. The first two pulled well clear and the second, gene Autry, has since run well in the Coral Sprint at Newmarket. The sixth has also subsequently won so the form has a solid look to it. Masked Dance drops back to six furlongs but he was a winner over this C/D in a Seller last season so he is not devoid of pace. He handled good ground then but being by Captain Rio he would prefer a drop of rain. He could've been better drawn but the booking of a jockey who has a 32% strike rate for the yard this season is a positive. ( Never at the races)

 

8.10 - Ripon - Tajneed - @ 5/1 (General) ( Nice winner at 11/2)

 

8.20 - Kempton - Head Down - e/w. @ 22/1 (Stan James) ( Didn't even get a mention in the race, still when you back at long odds that will often happen)

 

Cheers, off out to enjoy more sunshine

 

Chris

 

 

Not a bad day at all, 3 good winners including my NAP and for once Frankie and I not putting the mockers on. Nice win for Frankie in Miss Keck, an old school teacher of yours perchance

 

Cheers,

 

Chris

[chrisobee]

For today:

 

Newt 14:30 Souter Point @6/4 - Has been an expensive horse to follow. Second last time out at Ascot but not helped by wandering in running. Runs in blinkers today and with McCoy on board is expected to win today.

Lingfield 2.50 Helaku - @ 15/2 Showed improvement stepping up in trip and entering handicap company last time out over 12 furlongs at Chepstow. Finished behind Oak Leaves that day and meets the Filly on the same terms today. However Helaku wasn't as well placed when the pace quickened and it's not hard to imagine the places being reversed if he is ridden closer to the pace this time. This slight drop in trip may encourage his jockey to do so.This is only his fifth race so he has the scope to progress over this sort of trip and the first time cheekpieces are employed in an effort to sharpen him up. Taken down early at Chepstow he is obviously not entirely straightforward but he may have inherited those traits from his quirky but ultra-talented, top class Sire.

Newt 15:30 Back 1pt Mibleu @ 8/1- Trained by Robert and Sally Alner this ten year old gelding was second on his reappearance last time out at Worcester and connections are hopeful of a big run. 8/1 looks a big price for a C&D winner though I've a feeling he'll either win or finish nowhere !

Hamilton 3.40 Daring Dream @9/4 NAP - Ran well at Ayr last week to finish second and runs off a 1lb lower mark today. Conditions look ideal and definitely looks the one to beat.

Hamilton 4.10 King of Eden @11/10 - Not one to get carried away with at the price and best left alone if going odds on. That said he is exceptionally well handicapped ( due to go up 8lbs) and Eric Alston has got him running very well. Maybe one to include in a double. Cheyenne Red looks the obvious danger.

Wetherby 6.30 Hippolytus ew @ 7/1- A wide open race but the selection looked to be on the upgrade last time out and if building on that could go well especially with the going and trip looking pretty much ideal.

Sandown 6.45 Invincible Lad @ 5/1 (General) A competitive sprint handicap and one in which Osiris Way, perfect Alchemy and Piscean (if he gets the breaks) are not easily dismissed. However Invincible Lad is capable of producing a performance which it would be difficult for the rest to surpass. he wasn't disgraced in listed class last time out where he faced a daunting task at the weights and that followed a respectable effort in a very competitive York handicap on his reappearance (lost his chance at the start). He is competitively weighted on several turf performances last season , not least a close third from a two pound lower mark in this race. He subsequently went close at Goodwood from today's mark and finished the campaign by running well from five pound higher in the handicap. This race lacks the strength in depth of most he has competed in and he has a reasonable draw in stall eleven. His in form yard send just one to a track where they have a 30% strike rate (3 from 10) in recent seasons and they have employed a jockey who is 3 from 4 on their horses over the same period.

Sand 7.50 Directorship - @ 8/1 /Habshan Each Way @ 14/1 : Another competitive handicap. There are plenty who are capable of winning from their current marks, although some need to return to form. From toward the bottom of the handicap, Directorship is taken to build on the two solid performances he has produced this season. He gives the impression he has improved for another Winter on his back and he returns to the scene of his sole win to date, a C/D Maiden last July. The assessor has raised him two pounds, and this is a slight step up in class, but he has the profile of a horse who could find improvement this season, so his current mark may not be beyond him. He has a good draw and today's jockey has a profitable 15% strike rate for the yard from limited opportunities in recent seasons. Alan Munro is the jockey on board the Chris Wall trained ten year old Habshan who was fourth last time out at Ascot in a a race where the form has worked out well. Looks likely to come on for that and worth an ew bet at a decent price.

Sandown 8.55 Bowser's Brave - e/w @12/1 Left poor debut run on turf well behind when staying on well for third in 1m maiden at Kempton in April. Not given a hard time on qualifying run since, and now stepped up in trip for handicap bow.

 

Good luck,

 

Chris

Edited 3 June, 2010 by chrisobee
Add tips

[frankie]

Not the best of fare today, but have a few fancies and may even do a placepot after Kips win has inspired me (If he can do it surely anyone can :-))

 

I see Prescott saddles four runners today Krypton Factor and Bona Fortuna at Hamilton and Motrice and Coeus at Lingfield where his stable jockey is, giving his current form it could be worth doing a few doubles and trebles on these

 

Hamilton

3.10 One I like the look of at a biggish price is Cayman Fox, he has shown some consistent form over the all weather in the winter, but he likes this course, in his two runs here to date he has finished first and second, it was also in this month last year that he ran here, so he likes this time of year, the jockey also gets on well with him.

 

4.10 King of Eden could well hammer these giving the nature of her latest run, but I really like the look of Cheyenne Red, Dods and Makin remain in good form, the horse likes this course and if breaking a little smarter than last time (and avoiding traffic problems) he may shock the favourite.

 

4.40 Mark Johnston is the leading trainer at this course, so it surprises me that he only runs one horse, Lady Eclair in this race, that must be a sign in itself, he led with three furlongs to go over a longer trip than this but the drop back should be no problem and I expect him to win nicely.

 

At Lingfield I really only fancy the two Prescott horses but not with any massive conviction (looks too obvious)

 

At Newton Abott, I agree with Chris that Souter Point looks good in the first, might be worth doing a double with Osric in the second. Two others I like here at big prices are

 

4.00 Public Esteem

5.00 Lord Francois.

 

Its also worth noting that Irish trainer M O'Hare addles a few runners at Wetherby tonight, they look to have little opportunity but are being backed (he recently had a nice treble up at Naas and looks a bit of a sort for a gamble)

 

Cheers all, good luck with whatever you do.

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Prescott saddles 50 runners for tomorrow, Saturday and Sunday. Believed to be a record number and with the yard being in such great form certainly worth keeping an eye on his runners including today as Frankie has pointed out.

Placepots are a complete waste of money in my opinion, Kip did ( surprisingly) win yesterday but heard too many tales of woe including from the nipper himself who despite winning the placepot a while back actually managed to stake more than he won

Mid summer madness has arrived, too much time in the sun:)

[frankie]

Some info on M O'Hares gamble last year...a good read

 

O'Hare's turn-up for the books

Barney O'Hare and his trainer son Michael really hit the jackpot at Naas.

 

Sunday November 08 2009

 

BARNEY stung the bookmakers again last Saturday. The gambler/bookmaker-turned-trainer won a relative fortune and revels in telling you how he did it in his signature Ulster lilt.

 

 

Though his son Michael is the registered trainer, O'Hare Snr is very heavily involved. "People say that I'm training the horses but I tell them: 'I'm training the trainer'. And I tell you something: He's going to the top."

 

The duo's hat-trick at Naas last Saturday was a phenomenal achievement and their minor gripe that it did not garner many plaudits in the media is understandable. Paul Carberry's failure to pass a breathalyser test commanded more headlines, yet little was made of a trainer with only one previous winner to his name scoring a treble.

 

Not merely a treble -- but three winners from three runners. Consider that two of them had not even run this season and the bottomless conditions at Naas and you get the picture: little wonder other trainers were flabbergasted.

 

"Homer Scott said to me 'it's hard enough to get three runners to the track, not to mind three winners'," Barney recalls. "Tom Taaffe was like a child after racing, he was so excited by what we'd done. Ted Walsh said to me: 'Ye took the cake, the candles and the icing with ye too!'"

 

While Barney's face is familiar to many a racegoer due to his bookies' pitch at the track and his involvement in Bar One Racing, very little was known of Michael. He admits that, even last Saturday, fellow trainers were shaking his hand not only to extend congratulations but to introduce themselves.

 

He is also a more reserved individual than his father, judging by the conversation we enjoyed over the breakfast table at their Castlebellingham stables. Between the three of us, owner Eugene Kavanagh and two farriers, Charlie and Jimmy, there was no shortage of takers when the rashers were passed around -- or conversation. But Michael lets the horses talk for him.

 

The Newry native assumed the reins after Daniel Barry and John Larkin had initially enjoyed stints training from Barney's stables, nestled close to the Irish Sea. Both Barry and Larkin saddled winners in the familiar colours of Barney's wife Tracey, but one day the millionaire bookmaker arrived upon a moment of clarity in the sobering surrounds of Sedgefield racecourse.

 

"Michael was assistant trainer at the time," he recalls. "We'd just put a lovely concrete base in the yard at that point, to put in another 25 stables. There we were after racing, the two of us, sitting on the steps, and the two horses that day had run really badly.

 

"I said, 'son, I tell you what we'll do: we'll not build any boxes for more horses -- we'll just get rid of the **** that we have. I think we've enough boxes'. The boxes were never built."

 

Michael O'Hare took over from Larkin last year as a restricted trainer and his first winner, as

 

befits the brash ambition of the family, was at the Punchestown festival last April. Montana Slim, sent off at 25/1, took care of his 24 rivals by 11 lengths -- but Barney reveals that Montana Slim was supposed to form only half of what would have been one of the greatest coups in the annals of Irish racing.

 

"What's a big plus for Michael now is that he's dealing with second- and third-season horses that are ready to roll. We went for one of the biggest touches of all time last year with Montana Slim at Punchestown and Bale O'Shea at Kelso. Michael and myself were in Kelso. I was standing in the Kelso grooms' room and never was I so confident to be in the stand after Montana had won. I said to myself 'how far will Bale O'Shea win?'

 

"I was so disappointed, so stung, when he came second: I thought he'd bolt up. In hindsight, he was just a weak horse. He's a monster now, though, in comparison."

 

Both horses played their part on Saturday. The O'Hares' first victory was to get their three entries declared on the one card, which is far easier said than done nowadays given the constraints of the balloting system.

 

Early on Saturday morning, the elder O'Hare paced around the yard to ensure all was well with the runners, followed soon afterwards by his son, who remarkably only turned 25 on Friday. For whatever reason, Barney felt an unusual calm. "I just said to Michael: 'Son, I don't even care if I back them. We're going to enjoy this day'."

 

Barney secured the companionship for the day of Tommy Dollard, one of his main men in Bar One's Dundalk headquarters, even though the latter was scheduled to work. (It is one thing a friend pleading with you to take the day off, quite another the owner of the company itself.)

 

As they set off for Naas, Barney began to rummage in his pocket. "I'd a wee plastic bag of money in it -- I don't even know how it got there -- and there was a couple of grand in it. I gave it to Tommy and I said 'nobody'll be backing these horses at the racetrack so you'll have it to yourself. You can have a couple of grand on the three of them as you like'.

 

"I told him mid-way through racing to have a €200 each-way treble. As it happens, he ended up putting the whole lot of the other €1,600 on Montana Slim, because he adores that horse, and a bulk of the winnings on Bale O'Shea."

 

By the time the field was down at the tape for the closing bumper, Sweet Shock had been gambled into 3/1 favourite, primarily due to bookmakers attempting to restrict losses, having already laid the first two legs of the treble. Barney had earlier been talking to Joe Murphy, whose sole representative on the card had long since run.

 

However, the Fethard trainer had decided to hang around for the last race. It was Murphy who suggested to Barney that he should fork out €120,000 for Sweet Shock as a yearling, the fee so high because the horse is a half-brother to Sweet Wake.

 

Sweet Shock certainly was not aptly-named with a view to the panic that engulfed Paddy Power's on-course shop: after his five-length success, they calculated that Dollard's each-way treble alone cost them €92,570.

 

Murphy, meanwhile, was stunned and thrilled in equal measure. "Michael, I can't get over how easy your horses settled today," he said to the fledgling trainer -- an endorsement of O'Hare's commitment to using slow work predominantly to train his horses.

 

For those on-course bookmakers who accepted Dollard's business, the shock was not so sweet either. Many of them have ostracised Barney O'Hare and effected an embargo on his pitch because of his decision to stand at Dundalk despite an ongoing dispute between the Irish National Bookmakers' Association and the racetrack.

 

When Dollard went to collect off one layer, he was apologetic. "I'm sorry sir, I don't have that much in the satchel; will a cheque do?" The easy-going Dollard had no objection so the bookmaker asked him: "Who should I make it out to?"

 

"Barney O'Hare."

 

By Dollard's account, the bookmaker might just as well have swallowed a lemon whole. Barney admits that Saturday "was quite a good day" in a gambling sense, but is more truthful about its emotional value. "It was special, one-in-a-million stuff really."

 

One of Ireland's youngest trainers -- who has four paying owners other than his mother -- aspires to becoming a fully licensed one as soon as he can. He is learning every day, gave up on drink nearly four years ago and now dedicates himself to his girlfriend, children and 21 horses. Over time, much more will be known of Michael O'Hare.

 

He will not get ahead of himself either. Barney opted to celebrate Saturday's miracle by having a couple of jars in Eugene Kavanagh's Glasnevin pub, where apparently they sell more ****ss per square floor yard than anywhere in Ireland. From the punter's graveyard to The Gravedigger's, with a treble in between.

 

Earlier last week, as it was beginning to sink in, a fax came through to Bar One's Dundalk headquarters.

 

To Barney O'Hare, Well done to you and your family on your impressive treble in Naas on Saturday. Don't do it too often!

 

Yours sincerely,

 

Willie and Jackie Mullins

 

He is talking about getting it framed.

 

Sunday Independent

[chrisobee]

Some info on M O'Hares gamble last year...a good read

 

O'Hare's turn-up for the books

Barney O'Hare and his trainer son Michael really hit the jackpot at Naas.

 

Sunday November 08 2009

 

BARNEY stung the bookmakers again last Saturday. The gambler/bookmaker-turned-trainer won a relative fortune and revels in telling you how he did it in his signature Ulster lilt.

 

 

Though his son Michael is the registered trainer, O'Hare Snr is very heavily involved. "People say that I'm training the horses but I tell them: 'I'm training the trainer'. And I tell you something: He's going to the top."

 

The duo's hat-trick at Naas last Saturday was a phenomenal achievement and their minor gripe that it did not garner many plaudits in the media is understandable. Paul Carberry's failure to pass a breathalyser test commanded more headlines, yet little was made of a trainer with only one previous winner to his name scoring a treble.

 

Not merely a treble -- but three winners from three runners. Consider that two of them had not even run this season and the bottomless conditions at Naas and you get the picture: little wonder other trainers were flabbergasted.

 

"Homer Scott said to me 'it's hard enough to get three runners to the track, not to mind three winners'," Barney recalls. "Tom Taaffe was like a child after racing, he was so excited by what we'd done. Ted Walsh said to me: 'Ye took the cake, the candles and the icing with ye too!'"

 

While Barney's face is familiar to many a racegoer due to his bookies' pitch at the track and his involvement in Bar One Racing, very little was known of Michael. He admits that, even last Saturday, fellow trainers were shaking his hand not only to extend congratulations but to introduce themselves.

 

He is also a more reserved individual than his father, judging by the conversation we enjoyed over the breakfast table at their Castlebellingham stables. Between the three of us, owner Eugene Kavanagh and two farriers, Charlie and Jimmy, there was no shortage of takers when the rashers were passed around -- or conversation. But Michael lets the horses talk for him.

 

The Newry native assumed the reins after Daniel Barry and John Larkin had initially enjoyed stints training from Barney's stables, nestled close to the Irish Sea. Both Barry and Larkin saddled winners in the familiar colours of Barney's wife Tracey, but one day the millionaire bookmaker arrived upon a moment of clarity in the sobering surrounds of Sedgefield racecourse.

 

"Michael was assistant trainer at the time," he recalls. "We'd just put a lovely concrete base in the yard at that point, to put in another 25 stables. There we were after racing, the two of us, sitting on the steps, and the two horses that day had run really badly.

 

"I said, 'son, I tell you what we'll do: we'll not build any boxes for more horses -- we'll just get rid of the **** that we have. I think we've enough boxes'. The boxes were never built."

 

Michael O'Hare took over from Larkin last year as a restricted trainer and his first winner, as

 

befits the brash ambition of the family, was at the Punchestown festival last April. Montana Slim, sent off at 25/1, took care of his 24 rivals by 11 lengths -- but Barney reveals that Montana Slim was supposed to form only half of what would have been one of the greatest coups in the annals of Irish racing.

 

"What's a big plus for Michael now is that he's dealing with second- and third-season horses that are ready to roll. We went for one of the biggest touches of all time last year with Montana Slim at Punchestown and Bale O'Shea at Kelso. Michael and myself were in Kelso. I was standing in the Kelso grooms' room and never was I so confident to be in the stand after Montana had won. I said to myself 'how far will Bale O'Shea win?'

 

"I was so disappointed, so stung, when he came second: I thought he'd bolt up. In hindsight, he was just a weak horse. He's a monster now, though, in comparison."

 

Both horses played their part on Saturday. The O'Hares' first victory was to get their three entries declared on the one card, which is far easier said than done nowadays given the constraints of the balloting system.

 

Early on Saturday morning, the elder O'Hare paced around the yard to ensure all was well with the runners, followed soon afterwards by his son, who remarkably only turned 25 on Friday. For whatever reason, Barney felt an unusual calm. "I just said to Michael: 'Son, I don't even care if I back them. We're going to enjoy this day'."

 

Barney secured the companionship for the day of Tommy Dollard, one of his main men in Bar One's Dundalk headquarters, even though the latter was scheduled to work. (It is one thing a friend pleading with you to take the day off, quite another the owner of the company itself.)

 

As they set off for Naas, Barney began to rummage in his pocket. "I'd a wee plastic bag of money in it -- I don't even know how it got there -- and there was a couple of grand in it. I gave it to Tommy and I said 'nobody'll be backing these horses at the racetrack so you'll have it to yourself. You can have a couple of grand on the three of them as you like'.

 

"I told him mid-way through racing to have a €200 each-way treble. As it happens, he ended up putting the whole lot of the other €1,600 on Montana Slim, because he adores that horse, and a bulk of the winnings on Bale O'Shea."

 

By the time the field was down at the tape for the closing bumper, Sweet Shock had been gambled into 3/1 favourite, primarily due to bookmakers attempting to restrict losses, having already laid the first two legs of the treble. Barney had earlier been talking to Joe Murphy, whose sole representative on the card had long since run.

 

However, the Fethard trainer had decided to hang around for the last race. It was Murphy who suggested to Barney that he should fork out €120,000 for Sweet Shock as a yearling, the fee so high because the horse is a half-brother to Sweet Wake.

 

Sweet Shock certainly was not aptly-named with a view to the panic that engulfed Paddy Power's on-course shop: after his five-length success, they calculated that Dollard's each-way treble alone cost them €92,570.

 

Murphy, meanwhile, was stunned and thrilled in equal measure. "Michael, I can't get over how easy your horses settled today," he said to the fledgling trainer -- an endorsement of O'Hare's commitment to using slow work predominantly to train his horses.

 

For those on-course bookmakers who accepted Dollard's business, the shock was not so sweet either. Many of them have ostracised Barney O'Hare and effected an embargo on his pitch because of his decision to stand at Dundalk despite an ongoing dispute between the Irish National Bookmakers' Association and the racetrack.

 

When Dollard went to collect off one layer, he was apologetic. "I'm sorry sir, I don't have that much in the satchel; will a cheque do?" The easy-going Dollard had no objection so the bookmaker asked him: "Who should I make it out to?"

 

"Barney O'Hare."

 

By Dollard's account, the bookmaker might just as well have swallowed a lemon whole. Barney admits that Saturday "was quite a good day" in a gambling sense, but is more truthful about its emotional value. "It was special, one-in-a-million stuff really."

 

One of Ireland's youngest trainers -- who has four paying owners other than his mother -- aspires to becoming a fully licensed one as soon as he can. He is learning every day, gave up on drink nearly four years ago and now dedicates himself to his girlfriend, children and 21 horses. Over time, much more will be known of Michael O'Hare.

 

He will not get ahead of himself either. Barney opted to celebrate Saturday's miracle by having a couple of jars in Eugene Kavanagh's Glasnevin pub, where apparently they sell more ****ss per square floor yard than anywhere in Ireland. From the punter's graveyard to The Gravedigger's, with a treble in between.

 

Earlier last week, as it was beginning to sink in, a fax came through to Bar One's Dundalk headquarters.

 

To Barney O'Hare, Well done to you and your family on your impressive treble in Naas on Saturday. Don't do it too often!

 

Yours sincerely,

 

Willie and Jackie Mullins

 

He is talking about getting it framed.

 

Sunday Independent

 

Good read but a bit on the dark side methinks

[saint_stevo]

anyone know if Chilworth Lad is running today?