Random Horse Tips

[notnowcato]

yeah thanks for that Cato

 

Pleasure Steve O

[frankie]

Hi all, didnt have time to post this morning but did Pipette (100/30 2nd) and Avrilo (4/1 1st) at Goodwood, Benmadigan (5/1 1st) and Benbeoch (nowhere) at Kelso and Wunder Strike at Lingfield...very poor...will probably leave tonights cards alone, although havent had a proper look yet.

 

Frankie

[saintkiptanui]

Quite a drop..........

Non-Runner.

[frankie]

Some interesting runners tomorrow , had a little look and will post my selections now.

 

Haydock

 

2.50 Bernix has shot up the weights after his first win, I bet on him last time more in hope than judgement and he battled gamely to win at 20/1, I cannot desert him now as he goes for his hat-trick in a race of little quality.

 

3.25 I hope that Tinkler and Eaves can have a quick double here as I fancy Webbow, he found all sorts of trouble in running last time out and would surely have finished closer to the winner, he ran well last year in some big races and despite not winning last year could play a major part in this race.

 

Southwell

 

3.15 Despite being a skinny price I think Speed Dating will scoot up here, he likes this track and ran a very encouraging seasonal debut when second over course and distance, Prescott runners often need the run to get them right and if that has bought him on, he will take all of the beating.

 

3.55 Love Delta has run at Southwell three times and won on each occasion, he loves it here and his trainer has a pretty good record here too, so its a big positive on Love Delta for me.

 

That'll do for me.

 

Good luck all

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Wedding ran an absolute stinker.

 

Was too bad to be true, not sure what Godolphin have been doing with this filly. Her action wasn't that of the Wedding March that ran last year, could have been 2 different horses but that could never happen in British horse racing of course

Seriously though I would have needed at least 50/1 in running after about 2 furlongs.

Deirdre looks a winner in waiting and one to look out for I reckon.

[chrisobee]

Several of these are pretty short but since the same "source" gave me the heads up for Red Ruby and Ruby Crown I will post them. Really am going to go with the general mood today and keep stakes low and play around with doubles and trebles. Due a bad day.

 

 

3.10 - Goodwood - Soul Station @ 11/2 (Ladbrokes) Soul Station improved markedly to win comfortably over a mile at Salisbury on his second start last season and stepped up to ten furlongs for his return at Sandown last month. His 4/14, beaten just under three lengths, wasn't a bad effort considering he had to race wide for most of the way from a poor draw and was keener than ideal early on. He stayed on in determined fashion and may have finished closer but for being denied a bit of room in the latter stages. A strict line through Zahoo and Contradanse leaves him with a bit to find with Our Boy Barrington on today's terms but the selection is likely to improve again and has a better draw today. The yard have a profitable 28% strike rate this month and they have a 17% strike rate at this track in recent seasons. They send just the one to the races today and the jockey turns up for just the one booked ride.

 

3.35 - Lingfield - Lunar River -e/w. @ 16/1 (Victor Chandler) Love In The Park is tempting given her track record but there wouldn't have been much between her and Lunar River over this C/D last July if the latter had a clearer run in the latter stages. Lunar River is ten pounds better off at the weights today and there was enough in his reappearance at Wolverhampton last month to suggest he resumed in good heart. He has since disappointed at Kempton but he seemed to be doing a bit too much early on there and it may pay to forgive him that run. He is down to a mark of 59 and all his four career victories have come from higher in the handicap. The main concern is the withdrawal of prominent racers Celtic Commitment and Welsh Anthem which could take some of the pace out of the race. Hopefully Dancing Jest and Mons Calpe will set the generous gallop Lunar River needs to be seen at his best.

 

3.45 Goodwood - Rewilding @ 11/10 ( General)

 

4.20 Goodwood Nimue: @ around 5/4 ( General)

 

4.30 Kelso Balnagore @ around 7/2 Worth opposing the odds on favourite in Waldvogel I think, I'm opting for the classy looking Balnagore. Solis @9/1 caught my eye but now racing under a penalty after winning at Perth last week.

 

4.45 Lingfield Orchard Supreme @ 2/1 NAP - Going to give Sir Cato a helping hand by napping it and also stating Ganache just can't be a serious bet surely, lump on it

 

4.55 - Goodwood - Colonel Flay - e/w. @ 10/1 (General) Colonel Flay has produced a consistent level of form over the past two years and rarely seems to run a bad race. He has only been seen over two miles once (didn't run badly) so he has yet to prove conclusively he stays the trip but plenty of his efforts since over 14 furlongs have suggested he will. He is a strong traveller who is best on good ground or faster. He is back down to his last winning mark and his record first time out in all four seasons he has raced suggests he will run a big race today. There aren't many natural front runners in the race and it could mean the favourite, Penang Princess, making her own running and that could leave her vulnerable.

 

 

5.20 - Lingfield - Kiss A Prince - e/w. @ 10/1 (888 Sport) There was plenty to like about the return of Kiss A Prince at Sandown last month. He was 5/15, beaten five lengths, but he challenged out wide from a long way back and wasn't given a hard time when it was clear he wasn't going to make the frame. He returns to the A/W on a three pound higher mark but he was progressive on this surface last season and was a C/D winner from five pound lower last August. He is likely to come on for that initial outing and the booking of Hayley Turner, who has a 19% strike rate for the yard on the A/W yielding a £42 l.s.p, takes the eye. There are enough prominent early racers to make this a truly run race and that will suit a horse who likes to come from off a generous gallop.

 

6.20 Worcester Lord Landen @ around 6/5

 

Good luck all !

 

 

 

 

Chris

 

Actually not a bad day in the end with Soul Station winning at 7/2, Rewilding ( easily ) at Evens and Balnagore at 11/4 with my other mention Sotis 2nd at 9/2. 3 2nds as well.

[notnowcato]

Was too bad to be true, not sure what Godolphin have been doing with this filly. Her action wasn't that of the Wedding March that ran last year, could have been 2 different horses but that could never happen in British horse racing of course

Seriously though I would have needed at least 50/1 in running after about 2 furlongs.

Deirdre looks a winner in waiting and one to look out for I reckon.

 

Memory ran an eyecatcher in the maiden at Gooders. The 2 behind her are worth staying the right side of - Goodwood Treasure and Elkmait.

 

Agreed on Deirdre. Another spot was Channon's Very Good Day, certain he learnt a lot yesterday.

[chrisobee]

Ok, for today and having duly noted I'm replicating 3 of Frankie's 4 selections, my picks. Could be a very good day or a very bad day ! For sure it's a busy day so no time for too much analysis.

 

Haydock

 

2.20 Dr Green @ around Evens

 

3.25 - Webbow - @ 10/3 (General) Webbow had a nightmare in running last time out at Chester and it's doubtful that Paul Hanagan would be on Jimmy Fortune's Christmas card list after the race. From the inside draw, Webbow travelled very well through the race but, wherever he looked for space turning for home, Brae Hill went the same route. The result was that he finished the race hardly knowing he had been in one. He is a very reliable horse over 7/8 furlongs and he is used to running against better opposition than he takes on today. He hasn't won since August 2007 but his profile is of a horse who has improved in each season to date and he did enough in the last campaign, even though he didn't win, to suggest that a mark of 90 is not beyond him. He represents a yard whose turf horses are running into form.

 

4.00 - Khajaaly - @ 4/1 (General) Gene Autrey is the one to beat but it would be difficult to see a more sympathetic ride than the one Khajaaly got in his penultimate race over a mile at Yarmouth last month. Richard Hills never resorted to any kind of persuasion and seemed keen to keep his amount among horses in the latter stages. He was eventually 5/14, beaten just under seven lengths, but it wouldn't be unfair to say that he could've finished much closer under a more aggressive ride. It was a similar story on the A/W at Lingfield over seven furlongs last time out where the same jockey settled him out the back and never gave him a realistic chance of ever getting competitive. There may be a perfectly reasonable explanation for those efforts but, even judged on the Yarmouth run as it stands, his opening mark of 70 for this handicap debut looks fair. He should have no problems with fast ground on breeding and it could be significant that he held a four day entry in an easier race over this C/D on Saturday. The fact connections have elected a tougher event is a positive sign and the majority of the yard's horses have been running well lately. I have had a win double on Gene Autrey and Dr Green as I do think he looks the real danger and looks certain to go close.

 

Southwell

 

3.15: Speed Dating @ evens: Like many from yard improved once sent into handicaps, scoring over 9f at Carlisle last July. Good second to Southern Regent on recent C&D return, and seems sure to be thereabouts again. As Frankie says it's a short price but with nothing standing out for me as an alternative Speed Dating it is though it might well go odds on and at that point wouldn't warrant a bet.

 

3.55 Love Delta @ 4/1 ( Hills, Skybet) Frankie's clearly got hold of my script so not only agreeing on the selection but with his analysis

 

Wetherby

 

3.40 Motive @5/1

 

Sandown

 

6.20 - Architrave - @ 15/2 (Skybet) Some of these are not guaranteed to be suited by the step up to today's trip and it was tempting to side with Atlantic Tiger, who gives the impression he is one that it will suit. However at around double his price it may be worth risking a small wager on Architrave who makes his seasonal return. He is very stoutly bred and has probably over-achieved at distances of 8/9 furlongs so far. He has improved with each outing and he could be capable of far more than a mark of 72 under these more suitable conditions. His Trainer has made his customary late start to the turf season but four of the five they have sent out (all in the past two weeks) have run well and they have a 44% strike rate (4 from 9) with their three year olds at this track.

 

8.35 Maria De Guise @7/4 ( General)

 

Salisbury

 

6.30 - Stamford Blue - e/w. @ 10/1 (Betfred) Stamford Blue is exposed and reaching veteran status now but he has shown plenty of zest in his two races over five furlongs this season and will be suited to stepping back up to the trip over which he has won 9 of his 14 career victories. He was a winner from one pound lower last July, goes well for a claimer and has won three times at this track in the past. He doesn't have an ideal draw but with both he and his stable showing signs of running into form he is hard to resist at a double figure price.

 

7.05 -Desert Icon e/w. @ 8/1 (Skybet)

 

Good luck all.

 

Chris

Edited 20 May, 2010 by chrisobee
Add some analysis :)

[chrisobee]

Best backed, "oddsnsods":

 

Maqaasid Sandown 17.50 9/2 into 5/2

Red Barcelona Salisbury 19.40 5/1 into 7/2

[chrisobee]

Memory ran an eyecatcher in the maiden at Gooders. The 2 behind her are worth staying the right side of - Goodwood Treasure and Elkmait.

 

Agreed on Deirdre. Another spot was Channon's Very Good Day, certain he learnt a lot yesterday.

 

Thanks for the heads up.

[frankie]

Just a few little bets for tonight:

 

Salisbury 6.30 Rio royale

 

7.05 Bold Tie

 

7.40 Red Barcelona

 

Sandown

 

6.20 Ebony Boom

 

6.50 Prince of Sorrento

 

7.25 Towbaat

 

8.35 Lost Horizon

 

Good luck all

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Nothing outstanding I can see for Friday as yet. Those of interest to me if I can get the right price:

 

Chepstow

 

4.10 Mabuya : Consistent horse, a tad unlucky to be beaten last time out. Current best price is 7/4 which is probably about right

 

4.40 Lowdown @7/2 ( General) : This looks to be between the front 2 in the market with Felsham too short I reckon at around 6/4. Lowdown did not seem to handle the track at Chester last time out but wouldn't have been the first. With Dettori on board this Mark Johnston trained horse I'm expecting at the very least he'll give Felsham plenty to do and is definitely the value for me. Mick Channon runs Hairspray but unless she produces a lot more than previously shown hard to see her getting involved.

 

Haydock

 

7.30 Red Gulch @7/4 ( General): A tricky race but Red Gulch looks the likeliest winner. Early morning market suggested a price of around 11/8 but 7/4 now freely available which does seem more realistic.

 

8.00 : Secretive: Another Mark Johnston runner, rarely found wanting for lack of effort. Currently 6/4 generally, at that price I'll not get overly involved

 

8.30 : Gritstone @9/4 : Looks another race between the front two in the market, Tuscan Gold vying with Gritstone for favouritism. Just going to plump for Gritstone who is very consistent and should enjoy the conditions. Another Magic Man would need to find something extra to take this but 10/1 at Ladbrokes is not a bad price.

 

Good luck,

 

Chris

Edited 21 May, 2010 by chrisobee
Add extra tip

[chrisobee]

Ok, for today and having duly noted I'm replicating 3 of Frankie's 4 selections, my picks. Could be a very good day or a very bad day ! For sure it's a busy day so no time for too much analysis.

 

Haydock

 

2.20 Dr Green @ around Evens

 

3.25 - Webbow - @ 10/3 (General) Webbow had a nightmare in running last time out at Chester and it's doubtful that Paul Hanagan would be on Jimmy Fortune's Christmas card list after the race. From the inside draw, Webbow travelled very well through the race but, wherever he looked for space turning for home, Brae Hill went the same route. The result was that he finished the race hardly knowing he had been in one. He is a very reliable horse over 7/8 furlongs and he is used to running against better opposition than he takes on today. He hasn't won since August 2007 but his profile is of a horse who has improved in each season to date and he did enough in the last campaign, even though he didn't win, to suggest that a mark of 90 is not beyond him. He represents a yard whose turf horses are running into form.

 

4.00 - Khajaaly - @ 4/1 (General) Gene Autrey is the one to beat but it would be difficult to see a more sympathetic ride than the one Khajaaly got in his penultimate race over a mile at Yarmouth last month. Richard Hills never resorted to any kind of persuasion and seemed keen to keep his amount among horses in the latter stages. He was eventually 5/14, beaten just under seven lengths, but it wouldn't be unfair to say that he could've finished much closer under a more aggressive ride. It was a similar story on the A/W at Lingfield over seven furlongs last time out where the same jockey settled him out the back and never gave him a realistic chance of ever getting competitive. There may be a perfectly reasonable explanation for those efforts but, even judged on the Yarmouth run as it stands, his opening mark of 70 for this handicap debut looks fair. He should have no problems with fast ground on breeding and it could be significant that he held a four day entry in an easier race over this C/D on Saturday. The fact connections have elected a tougher event is a positive sign and the majority of the yard's horses have been running well lately. I have had a win double on Gene Autrey and Dr Green as I do think he looks the real danger and looks certain to go close.

 

Southwell

 

3.15: Speed Dating @ evens: Like many from yard improved once sent into handicaps, scoring over 9f at Carlisle last July. Good second to Southern Regent on recent C&D return, and seems sure to be thereabouts again. As Frankie says it's a short price but with nothing standing out for me as an alternative Speed Dating it is though it might well go odds on and at that point wouldn't warrant a bet.

 

3.55 Love Delta @ 4/1 ( Hills, Skybet) Frankie's clearly got hold of my script so not only agreeing on the selection but with his analysis

 

Wetherby

 

3.40 Motive @5/1

 

Sandown

 

6.20 - Architrave - @ 15/2 (Skybet) Some of these are not guaranteed to be suited by the step up to today's trip and it was tempting to side with Atlantic Tiger, who gives the impression he is one that it will suit. However at around double his price it may be worth risking a small wager on Architrave who makes his seasonal return. He is very stoutly bred and has probably over-achieved at distances of 8/9 furlongs so far. He has improved with each outing and he could be capable of far more than a mark of 72 under these more suitable conditions. His Trainer has made his customary late start to the turf season but four of the five they have sent out (all in the past two weeks) have run well and they have a 44% strike rate (4 from 9) with their three year olds at this track.

 

8.35 Maria De Guise @7/4 ( General)

 

Salisbury

 

6.30 - Stamford Blue - e/w. @ 10/1 (Betfred) Stamford Blue is exposed and reaching veteran status now but he has shown plenty of zest in his two races over five furlongs this season and will be suited to stepping back up to the trip over which he has won 9 of his 14 career victories. He was a winner from one pound lower last July, goes well for a claimer and has won three times at this track in the past. He doesn't have an ideal draw but with both he and his stable showing signs of running into form he is hard to resist at a double figure price.

 

7.05 -Desert Icon e/w. @ 8/1 (Skybet)

 

Good luck all.

 

Chris

 

Dire day though I wonder if I was the only one who thought Webbow once again was given little chance by the jockey ?

[chrisobee]

Several more at decent prices, I'll try to get some analysis posted but for now:

 

Yarmouth

 

4.30 -Astraleo - @ 7/1 (General) City Stable returns to the trip over which he gained his sole win but he doesn't always look the easiest of rides. Second favourite, If I Had Him, will have no problems seeing out the trip but whether he can do it fast enough is another matter. From a mark of 46 Astroleo should get involved over a distance he stays well. He ran respectably on his reappearance over two miles at this track and he should come on for that outing today. He was a winner on the fibresand at Southwell last season from a three pound higher mark and he could be the type to catch earlier in a campaign. The yard are in decent order and the selection has the assistance of a very competent five pound claimer. The Trainer shows a very healthy profit from just an 11% strike rate at this track showing that a price is no barrier to his horses chance of winning.

 

 

5.00 - Tivers Song e/w @ 25/1 (General) I'm loathe to desert Iceman George who did me a favour last time out but, although he is still a maiden after 21 races, the 25/1 on offer in places for Tivers Song looks too big. He ran better than his final finishing position suggests on his return over today's trip at Nottingham earlier this month and finished in the frame in six of his eleven outings last year after returning from a 16 month absence. The absence of a win from his portfolio is slightly off-putting but he doesn't perform like a horse who is ungenuine in any way and the booking of a decent jockey is encouraging. The selection went close from around today's mark over ten furlongs on a number of occasions last season and he seems well suited by genuine fast ground.

 

Haydock

 

6.30 - Stage Acclaim @ 5/1 (General) Jockeyship could have a say in the outcome of this and Stage Acclaim hasn't any worries on that score. The selection has been in very good form in the past few months over hurdles and returns to the level on a very tempting mark of 58. He is unexposed over today's trip having raced only four times at ten furlongs in the past. That was two seasons ago and his profile in 19 races over hurdles since suggests he is now a much stronger horse who will have no problems stepping up to 12 furlongs. His debut win for his current stable last time suggests that he has taken the change os scenery positively and his new handler is adept at getting his horses to win under both codes. They send just the one to this meeting.

 

Towcester

 

8.20 - River Indus @ 5/1 (Ladbrokes) Very consistent in recent months and always seems to give his supporters a good run for their money. It is true to say his strike rate is not great but if at his best he is sure to be battling up the steep Towcester hill at the business end of the race.

Edited 21 May, 2010 by chrisobee
Add analysis

[chrisobee]

Today's oddsnsods market movers :

 

Frognal- Catterick 15.50 10/1 into 7/2

Rough Rock- Yarmouth 16.00 10/1 into 7/1

Snow Bear- Catterick 14.20 8/1 into 5/1 ( Timeform- "Stable can ready a newcomer and any market support should be noted.")

Edited 21 May, 2010 by chrisobee

[saint_stevo]

Not horses, more horses for courses but get on Ross Fisher in the PGA at Wentworth, his home course.

 

7/1 currently

[saintkiptanui]

Today's oddsnsods market movers :

 

Frognal- Catterick 15.50 10/1 into 7/2

Rough Rock- Yarmouth 16.00 10/1 into 7/1

Snow Bear- Catterick 14.20 8/1 into 5/1 ( Timeform- "Stable can ready a newcomer and any market support should be noted.")

Had Snow bear at 4/1 in my super yankee, one out of one so far, also got Frognal.

[chrisobee]

Had Snow bear at 4/1 in my super yankee, one out of one so far, also got Frognal.

 

And there was me thinking you had finally quit. Does it really matter if the 1st one wins as you know one horse somewhere will let you down !

[saintkiptanui]

And there was me thinking you had finally quit. Does it really matter if the 1st one wins as you know one horse somewhere will let you down !

the 2nd one has just lost badly, Hugh Taylor is sh*t, does he ever have winners anymore??

[chrisobee]

the 2nd one has just lost badly, Hugh Taylor is sh*t, does he ever have winners anymore??

 

Oh boy, Abu Dubai !? He had a 20/1 winner earlier in the week according to the ATR website but I happen to know the horse in question, Russian Rock, returned at 15/2 so rather misleading.

[saintkiptanui]

Oh boy, Abu Dubai !? He had a 20/1 winner earlier in the week according to the ATR website but I happen to know the horse in question, Russian Rock, returned at 15/2 so rather misleading.

I noticed he had 3 lsers yesterday, he's done 3 today and like a sheep I have done them all.

 

Last night I missed the Sandown placepot by one race, the last and the 7/2 2nd favourite was placed, it payed £24,000. I felt a little it sick as I had 3 in the last.

[chrisobee]

I noticed he had 3 lsers yesterday, he's done 3 today and like a sheep I have done them all.

 

Last night I missed the Sandown placepot by one race, the last and the 7/2 2nd favourite was placed, it payed £24,000. I felt a little it sick as I had 3 in the last.

 

Well Tislaam is off about now, might win and make you feel better !

[saintkiptanui]

Well Tislaam is off about now, might win and make you feel better !

Gutted, came 4th and I went out the placepot

[saint_stevo]

Couple of horses for tomoro......do as you pls- canford cliffs- 3.45 at curragh and beyond desire 3.30 at haydock.......

[chrisobee]

Gutted, came 4th and I went out the placepot

 

Well today is another day, might as well do the Scoop 6. Worth millions isn't it !

[chrisobee]

Courtesy of Key Racing News:

 

http://www.herbiefogg.com/

 

 

Eye-catchers

 

Eye-catchers with entries today, flagged up by respected sources over the past few weeks

 

 

 

Sir Geoffrey (IRE), 14:55 Chester

 

Racing Post - showed blinding early speed at Beverley latest, running on empty in the last half-furlong and run down near the line. He will appreciate a return to a flatter track.

 

 

 

Boston Blue (GB), 17:00 Goodwood

 

H Taylor - modest form but has run on OK, and one who will be of more interest when handicapping if allocated a mark under 70. Might need a bit further. The sort that Bill Knight does well handicapping.

 

 

 

Darwin Star (GB), 18:35 Newbury

 

H Taylor - Has run green but with lots of promise, beaten last but one by horses with experience and the rail to race against, and beat the rest despite wanting to go left. Will win races and would appreciate a step up. Badly drawn Warwick latest.

 

Notable last week on the Newmarket gallops:

 

 

 

M L W Bell, Sunny Game (J Spencer) – worked well and pulled clear of the 70 rated Crunched (5.45 Chester)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Richard Hannon, Canford Cliffs "None of us have ever had any doubts about Canford Cliff's ability to get a mile...Canford Cliffs worked brilliantly on Wednesday morning. It was the best gallop he's produced this season. Richard got off and said it was the same sort of feel the horse gave him before Royal Ascot. Canford Cliffs will be much more at home on the Curragh".

 

 

 

Richard Hannon, Avonmore Star & Numeral "I was hoping the maiden would split as I am always loathe to run two horses against each other, and make no mistake both are decent tools. There would not be much between them".

 

 

 

Charlie Hills, Equiano "He’s probably most effective on fast ground. He’s got a nice draw and we’re pretty hopeful."

 

 

 

Robin Bastiman, Borderlescott "It wasn’t really his ground when he was second in heavy going last year. I was pleased with his second to Equiano and he’s come on again for the run."

 

 

 

Mark Johnston, Hacienda & Ginger Jack "Hacienda won well at Beverley and is a very nice horse. I was disappointed with his race in Ireland. Quicker ground may help. Ginger Jack could be a very good horse and quicker ground has persuaded me to run. The downside is that he’s rated on his all-weather form."

 

 

 

Richard Fahey, Old Joe Mac "This is a better race than last time, but he’s very well."

 

 

 

Andrew Balding, Balducci "It was a relief he got in and I’m very happy with him. He’s done well since Newmarket and stall 3 is fine."

 

 

 

Marcus Tregoning, Aajel "He’s in good form, the ground should be all right for him. I think his run in the Sagaro Stakes was exceptional. I think he’ll run well."

 

 

 

Richard Fahey, Johannes "He’s gone up 6lbs for his York win, but we’ve claimed 7lb off him. He’s been running very well."

 

 

 

Tim Easterby, Hamish McGonagall & Discanti "The ground is important to Hamish. It needs to be good or good to firm with no jar. As long as the ground is suitable he has a good chance. Discanti has been in fantastic form lately. Coming back to 5 furlongs could be too sharp, but I expect him to go well."

 

Miscellaneous

 

Other in-form or improving runners from the in-house Key Racing News database

 

 

 

Balducci (GB), 14:30 Haydock

 

KRN - Behind the very promising Oasis Dancer in a red hot handicap at Newmarket on May 1st and compensation unlikely to be long in coming.

 

 

 

Avonmore Star (GB), 15:50 Newbury

 

KRN - Green on debut but finished close up and looked a likely future winner in similar company. The Kempton form has taken a few knocks but also stands up quite well on a line through Phoebs. Pat Dobbs has opted for Numeral, but they are both well-regarded at home and the yard think there is little between them.

 

 

 

Discanti (IRE), 16:25 Thirsk

 

KRN - Yard's sprinters in very good form. Went from 2nd last to first very easily (on the bridle) at Ripon and then pulled well clear. Up 8lbs for that but still capable of winning on revised mark. Badly drawn latest at Thirsk when 3rd and well worth another chance when the conditions look right.

 

 

 

Red Kestrel (USA), 17:25 York

 

KRN - Is down to a winnable mark and grade, in form and likely to pick up one of these anytime soon. Ran on takingly behind the in-form Destiny's Dream. Of most interest up to Class 4.

 

 

 

 

 

Trainer/Jockey Stats

 

 

 

Leading trainer/jockey combinations with a runner (% strike rate at venue):

 

 

 

Haydock: M A Jarvis/N Callan 56%

 

Lingfield: J Noseda/G Baker 100%, H Cecil/T Queally 31%, Sir M Prescott/S Sanders 27%

 

Chester: R A Fahey/F Tylicki 33%, M Johnston/J-P Guillambert 33%, G A Swinbank/R Winston 33%

 

York: S Bin Suroor/F Dettori 32%

 

Newbury: Sir M Stout/R Moore 30%

 

Goodwood: S Kirk/G Baker 30%

 

 

 

Hot trainers (over last 14 days, with runners declared):

 

 

 

H R A Cecil 10-27 37%, R Charlton 6-18 33%, Ian Williams 3-11 27%, L M Cumani 5-20 25%, J R Jenkins 3-12 25%, H Morrison 3-12 25%, Mahmood Al Zarooni 5-22 23%, T D Barron 4-18 22%, J Noseda 4-18 22%

 

 

 

Leading course trainers (with runners):

 

 

 

Haydock: W S Kittow 4-11 36%, P J Makin 4-12 33%, M A Jarvis 22-73 30%, Sir M Stout 10-34 29%, D M Sim**** 3-12 25%, W Haggas 8-39 21%

 

Lingfield: C J Down 3-6 50%, J Noseda 14-60 23%

 

Chester: M L W Bell 6-22 27%, G A Swinbank 4-15 27%, E S McMahon 5-22 23%

 

York: J L Dunlop 9-35 26%, S Bin Suroor 19-79 24%

 

Newbury: P W D'Arcy 4-9 44%

 

Goodwood: J Noseda 14-60 23%

 

 

 

Notable trainers on the cold list (with runners). Days/runs since win:

 

 

 

A Berry 250/107, P T Midgley 43/85, B P J Baugh 147/70, M Mullineaux 113/54, M Usher 143/53, J Ryan 224/51, A P Jarvis 97/51, Paul Green 192/46, R J Price 79/42, J G Portman 86/36, W R Swinburn 22/34, B Palling 65/32

[dune]

A Berry 250/107, P T Midgley 43/85, B P J Baugh 147/70, M Mullineaux 113/54, M Usher 143/53, J Ryan 224/51, A P Jarvis 97/51, Paul Green 192/46, R J Price 79/42, J G Portman 86/36, W R Swinburn 22/34, B Palling 65/32

 

Good old uncle Mick.#-o

[saintkiptanui]

Thats just confusing Chrisobee. If I win today I am going to Newbury tonight, should be lovely and warm so plenty of flesh on show, I just need to win though and that is the tricky bit.

[chrisobee]

Thats just confusing Chrisobee. If I win today I am going to Newbury tonight, should be lovely and warm so plenty of flesh on show, I just need to win though and that is the tricky bit.

 

Winning is always the tricky bit as you know Kip ! The stats are just there if anyone is interested and nothing confusing about them.

Anyway, since you clearly won't win you can take Newbury out of the equation

[chrisobee]

Good old uncle Mick.#-o

 

No chance of any worthwhile inside tips then

[dune]

No chance of any worthwhile inside tips then

 

Don't have any contact with him apart from at Weddings and Funerals and he's based near Chester. Notice he's got a couple of runners today, but won't be backing them. That said when he does have a winner it's always a good price.

[chrisobee]

Don't have any contact with him apart from at Weddings and Funerals and he's based near Chester. Notice he's got a couple of runners today, but won't be backing them. That said when he does have a winner it's always a good price.

 

Hardly surprising, I suspect winning would come as a shock both to him and the poor horses!

[dune]

Hardly surprising, I suspect winning would come as a shock both to him and the poor horses!

 

His daughters (my cousins) are fit as **** - look out for Kirstey or Michelle when they ride for him.

[chrisobee]

His daughters (my cousins) are fit as **** - look out for Kirstey or Michelle when they ride for him.

 

Thanks, that's a tip worth having !!

[dune]

done a £1 RR.

 

boy the bell 2.25 ch

perpetual 2.45 g

numeral 3.50 g

 

the last one should win, but the oher two are doubtful.

[sfcjmcsfc16]

Ziggy lee runs at york today, i hope must of you took my tip on her last time

 

13/2-6/1 now

 

£50 each way for me-been told she will run well again.

[chrisobee]

Plenty catching the eye today but as ever on a Saturday not going to get carried away. A few doubles and trebles ( maybe ew if the prices are right) might be the way to go.

 

2.00- Haydock- Tominator- ew @12/1 By no means an obvious choice but definitely needed the run at Chester 2 weeks ago and trainer Reg Hollingshead has reported he's in "great nick" so a small ew bet at 12's looks worth chancing especially as the horse has not been without market support this morning.

 

2.15 - Goodwood - Mac Gille Eoin - @ 11/2 (General)/Jarrow @6/1 ( Hills) The record of Mac Gille Eoin here reads 1/9, 7/20, 1/10, 5/27, 5/26, and 2/8 and he is suited by downhill tracks in general. Ran well on his reappearance to get within 4 lengths of a horse who subsequently won the Group Two Duke of York Stakes. Probably has bigger targets this season but looks sure to run his race under ideal conditions and is still weighted to be competitive. Stable hitting form and the selection represents their only horse at the races today. I also like Jarrow who if he gets in front could be hard to pass so at 6/1 with Hills just a small saver on this one too.

 

2.30 - Haydock - Balducci - @ 9/2 (Sportingbet)

Very competitive race but the form of Balducci's second to Irish 2000 Guineas bound Oasis Dream at Newmarket last time out could turn out to be very strong. The selection has been raised three pounds for that effort and that looks very fair with the fourth having also run well at Goodwood since. Balducci has only been seen four times so there is plenty of scope for further progression for a yard who have only sent two horses to this three day meeting.

 

2.45 - Goodwood - Record Breaker @ 8/1 (General)

Classic Vintage was very tempting with track/trip and ground ideal but, at around twice his price, Record Breaker just gets the vote. The ground has been against him in two of his last three outings but he showed enough in between on the A/W to suggest he is in form. he is now four pounds lower than when last seen winning on fast ground on turf in this country and, the faster they go today, the better it will suit him. The stable are back in form and their 16% strike rate at this track in recent seasons has yielded a l.s.p of £71.

 

3.00 Haydock: Borderlescott @ 4/1: Has won the last two runnings of the Nunthorpe, one of the feature sprints of the year, and he has enjoyed success on ground ranging from good to firm through to soft. He reopposes Equiano today on the same terms as when beaten three-quarters-of-a-length by him at Newmarket last time, when he looked much more in need of the run than the winner, and he looks capable of reversing the placings today.

 

 

 

3.40 - York:

Hamish McGonagall - @ 5/1 (General)

River Falcon - @ 11/1 (Sportingbet)

Both Hamish McGonagall and River Falcon have run plenty of good races on this track in their time. Hamish McGonagall has returned to run two good races this season and he is well handicapped on his best efforts of last season. He hasn't won since October 2008 but his turn looks near and the likely fast pace today will suit. The yard could hardly be in better form. River Falcon hasn't won for nearly three years but, even though in the veteran stage, he has shown enough in two outings this season to suggest he can win from his lowest mark for five years. He is another who will enjoy a fast pace and is unlikely to be seen until the latter stages.

 

 

3.45 Curragh : Canford Cliffs @ 3/1/Oasis Dncer ew @25/1 ( General)- Canford Cliffs is the one for me in this race too though I'm not going against my normal instincts in these big races and will be a small bet only. Definitely a high class horse, hopefully can settle better than on some of his previous runs in which case should be there or thereabouts. Oasis Dancer @ 25/1 looks interesting and with the stable upbeat about his chances a small ew bet on this one too.

 

4.05 - Haydock - Novellen Lad - @ 5/1 (General)

Has tended to need his initial run of the season in the past but the booking of Ryan Moore suggests he may be more forward than usual for the start of this campaign. He can be a strong traveller and, as a horse who stays seven furlongs, he will appreciate a strong gallop at this shorter trip. He starts the season on a pound lower mark than when finishing just over a length 4/14 over this C/D at the end of last season. That was a much better race than this and he can take advantage of the drop in class for a yard whose horses are running well, even if they haven't found a winner from 20 entries this month.

 

4.35 - Chester - Dazzling Light - @ 4/1 (General)

 

5.00- Goodwood Gordon Flash @2/1 Progressed in maidens at 2 yrs and stepped up again when placed both starts this year, shaping as though further will suit. Should go well again, though a 5 lb penalty is a slight concern.

 

5.35 - Goodwood - Moynahan -@ 15/2 (Stan James)

 

 

 

Good luck all.

 

Chris

[frankie]

What a fantastic days racing, to be honest it's hard not to go overboard with selections as there are so many to choose from, but here are mine for what they are worth....

 

Curragh

 

Irish 2000 Guineas

 

All the right sounds have been coming from the Hannon stable for Canford Cliffs but I feel there are too many question marks against him so I am going for is Noll Wallop, he was very impressive last time out and his trainer is in great form, the ground may be a problem as he has not run on anything this firm before but at his current price he offers good value. I will also be chucking a couple of quid on Purple Heart as I saw him make his debut at Naas last year, he is a big horse that has some talent and at 1000 on Betfair I would kick myself if the improbable happened.

 

Haydock.

 

Really competitive at Haydock so will keep stakes pretty small

 

2.30 I fancied No Hubris in this but he is now a non runner, Balducci looks to have a favs chance...no bet race for me.

 

3.00 Some brilliant old sprinters in this race, Benbaun ran his usual solid race in France last week only just being denied by Marchant D'or who is no slouch, hopefully he will blast out of the stalls and nothing will catch him. I will be watching Look Busy closely too as this filly is one of my favourite racehorses

 

4.05 Despite being 4 Crimea has only raced four times, winning twice, he has left Mark Johnstons stable to join Dandy Nicholls who often does very well with other trainers outcasts, lets hope he can weave some magic with this one.

 

Goodwood.

 

2.15 John Bests yard is flying at the moment and I like the look of his Freeforaday in this race, he shaped as if he needed the run on his reappearance and is very interesting now he should strip fitter, he improved with each run last year and hopefully that improvement will continue.

 

3.20 I tipped Storm Ultralight last time out and he won very impressively, he is still unexposed and could be a very good horse.

 

York.

 

I have had a good word for Mull of dubai in the 2.05

 

3.10 With question marks about the stamina and temperament of some of these, the 20/1 on offer with Betfair for last years winner Carraciola is too good to turn down, he is a veteran and may be exposed by some of his younger rivals but he goes on any ground, loves the course and will run his usual game consistent race...go old boy.

 

3.40 I have had a word for Sohraab in this race, but I cannot desert out forum hero Ziggy Lee, he was extremely impressive last time out and is still subject to some possible improvement as he is lightly raced.

 

Nothing jumps of the page for me at Chester, although I have had a tip for Flipando in the 3.25 and a big tip for Norwegian Dancer in the 5.10 so will have a few pound on them.

 

Off to see Hairspray at the Mayflower with the missus tonight, have a good weekend all and enjoy the sunshine.

 

Frankie

[chrisobee]

Ziggy lee runs at york today, i hope must of you took my tip on her last time

 

13/2-6/1 now

 

£50 each way for me-been told she will run well again.

 

Good luck, I've opted for 2 others in what is a very tricky race.

[saint_stevo]

Good luck, I've opted for 2 others in what is a very tricky race.

 

I went for Johannes

[saint_stevo]

nice little canford cliff and beyond desire treble. Get in

[sfcjmcsfc16]

Told you ziggy would run well, also had inside info for another horse tonight!!

[chrisobee]

Told you ziggy would run well, also had inside info for another horse tonight!!

 

He did but Hamish McGonagall won well at 7/2, pretty much had the race sewn up between us

[chrisobee]

nice little canford cliff and beyond desire treble. Get in

 

Canford Cliffs was very impressive, another good winner. Beyond Desire was well fancied and duly obliged in good style too.

[chrisobee]

After a decent day yesterday just going to have a quiet Sunday. Have had very strong words for the following but no great prices, might even do a treble and a few doubles?

 

FAKENHAM

 

4.00 Alahaque @ Evens (General) Really looks to be between Alhaque and Moonstreaker. Alhaque rounded-off last season with success in a Class 2 novice event at Ascot. That’s very strong form to bring to the table on his return to action. However, at around evens not one to get carried away with though the connections are very keen on his chances.

 

5.10 Ruby Isabel @ 7/2 ( General) Looks worth chancing ahead of Gunnadoit and Ghaill Force. Tim Vaughan's mare doesn't have the greatest of profiles but she takes a bit of a drop in grade today and on ground that should suit she can run well. Her jockey is having a good season and the pair can put in a big performance. Was a beaten favourite last time out, connections will be looking to retrieve losses today.

 

 

 

PERTH

 

3.45 Cabernet Sauvignon : Very disappointed with the price, best price only 8/11. However this in-form hurdler is ridden by AP McCoy who with trainer Gordon Elliott boasts a 48% strike-rate at this course over the past 5 seasons. Looks a very likely winner but maybe one to include if you're looking for one for Kips favourite Super Yankee or a placepot banker !

 

BATH

 

3.05 Four Kicks @ 7/4 ( General) : Goes for a third win in a row having performed well at Brighton and Nottingham. Off a favourable mark in this handicap he can kick on to another victory.

 

Cheers,

 

Chris

Edited 23 May, 2010 by chrisobee
Add tips

[saintkiptanui]

The Curragh you old fool, thats where it's at today. I despair.

 

1.40 - Great Huzzar

2.10 - Ibelieveinmiracles

2.40 - Icon dream

3.10 - Moskova

4.15 - Lolly for dolly

 

Super Yankee, fill your boots.

[chocco boxo]

After heavy losses at Goodwood yesterday, going to try and recoup with Music Show!!! Channon Horse, who I never seem to win on!

[chrisobee]

The Curragh you old fool, thats where it's at today. I despair.

 

1.40 - Great Huzzar

2.10 - Ibelieveinmiracles

2.40 - Icon dream

3.10 - Moskova

4.15 - Lolly for dolly

 

Super Yankee, fill your boots.

 

I could give you many reasons why I tend to leave Irish racing alone kipper, not being able on the whole to get a true picture of the form being one. My advice if you receive a strong word from Ireland for a horse is to ignore it. Lots of talking but also lots of empty wallets !

[Doctoroncall]

Carlisle

2:45 Moody Tunes (forecast with Royal Dignitary)

3:15 Ace of Spies

3:45 Refuse to Wait (although a couple of others look good)

4:15 Coolella

4:45 Two Turtle Doves (EW)

5:15 Eastern Hill (EW)

 

Leicester

2:00 Cadeaux Fax

3:00 Bold Ring

3:30 Sierra Alpha

4:30 Saltagioo

[frankie]

Lovely weekend guys, don't know how the horses will cope with the heat..here are a few that I hope do...just selections i'm afraid as short of time.

 

Leicester

 

2.00 Bilberry

 

3.30 Mr Irons

 

Carlisle

 

2.45 Royal Dignitary

 

3.15 Tripbiyah

 

4.15 Kanace

 

Good luck all.

 

Frankie

 

p.s. Nice tipping over the weekend Saint Stevo and ChrisO