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The Run In: All the Games - All the Teams...


.comsaint

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I still say we definitely need to win all three to stay up and I just cant see it happening.

 

Never thought id say it but Woote deserves the chance to stay should he peform this miracle feat, but then so did Pearson and look what happened to him

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Reading's form - or lack of it - is looking critical to our run in. If they beat Barnsley and Derby they'll be secure in the play offs by the time they face Norwich. So ideally we need them to beat Barnsley, but then screw up against Derby so they need a win against Norwich.

 

On the other hand we'd like Burnley to be safe in a play off place by the time we play the, but that only happens if they beat Sheffield United and Swansea and Preston both lose. However that would mean that Reading wouldn't need a win again Norwich.

 

 

So to get to a laboured point. Which is prefereable - a motivated Reading side needing a win against Norwich? Or a demotivated Burnley coasting against us?

 

I'd probably go for a demotivated Burnley myself - safe in a play off position - since Reading are looking so hopeless at the minute I reckon Norwich will beat then at Carrow Road whatever.

 

Reading will want to finish at minimum third or fourth for the second leg home advantage. They also still have an outside chance for automatic promotion so I reckon they will be up for beating Norwich knowing they have home advantage for their last game against Birmingham which could secure automatic promotion. Should Burnley win this weekend and Preston and Swansea lose Burnley will have qualified for a play off place so hopefully will not be up for the game against us.

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Reading will want to finish at minimum third or fourth for the second leg home advantage. They also still have an outside chance for automatic promotion so I reckon they will be up for beating Norwich knowing they have home advantage for their last game against Birmingham which could secure automatic promotion. Should Burnley win this weekend and Preston and Swansea lose Burnley will have qualified for a play off place so hopefully will not be up for the game against us.

 

Does it really make a difference between Burnley has anything to play for or not? In our second last home game last season, we lost to a Burnley side that got nothing to play for. I don't want that suituation to revisit us this season again.

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Does it really make a difference between Burnley has anything to play for or not? In our second last home game last season, we lost to a Burnley side that got nothing to play for. I don't want that suituation to revisit us this season again.

 

Difference being Burnley finished mid table last season, this time around they won't want any injuries going into the play off games in which they have everything to play for.

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Why go on torturing yourselves. We are down already. A Forest win tomorrow and that's it. Doesn't matter what we do any more.

 

You don't know the rules. If Forest and us keep on winning before the last game. We will still be only two points behind them before the last game. If we win the last game in City Gound. We will overtake them. "A Forest win tomorrow and that's it" is probably the most garbage statement I see in this forum. Wondering why don't you know the rules? It does matter if that is because you don't know how many points the teams got in the relagation battle and have no idea who are they playing for the last 3/4 games.

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Why go on torturing yourselves. We are down already. A Forest win tomorrow and that's it. Doesn't matter what we do any more.

 

But Forest won't win tomorrow and with Norwich losing at least one of their remaining games with us winning all three remaining games mean we will stay up. In fact Forest can win tomorrow and the next game but once we have won all our games we overtake them, simple really :D

Edited by saintwarwick
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I think Forest will stay up, they have the easiest run in and are in decent form. They'll win today for sure & draw at Blackpool at worse.

 

You'd think that Norwich have a tough run in but Reading & Ipswich are both playing pretty ****e at the moment so they'll fancy their chances in those games. One needs a win for the play offs & the other is a derby though so you never know. Charlton on the last day won't be as easy as people think either, the Addicks aren't in bad form atm despite their almost confirmed relegation and it's always difficult facing a team who are already down.

 

Barnsley have the toughest run in & i think they are favs along with us to go down.

 

I think Forest will have enough so i reckon its between us, Norwich & Barnsley.

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20. NOTT'M FOR.......Plyd 44...(GD-17 )...Pts...49

21. BARNSLEY..........Plyd 43...(GD -14)...Pts...47

------------------------------------------------

22. NORWICH...........Plyd 43...(GD -8 )...Pts...46

23. SAINTS.............Plyd 44...(GD -21)....Pts..44

24. CHARLTON.........Plyd 43...(GD -23)....Pts..35

 

 

REMAINING FIXTURES:

 

 

NORWICH : Ipswich (A); Reading (H); CHARLTON(A).

 

NOTT'M FOREST: Blackpool (A); SAINTS (H).

 

BARNSLEY: Coventry (A); Wolves (H); PLYMOUTH (A).

 

SAINTS: Burnley (H); FOREST (A).

 

CHARLTON: Cardiff (H); Derby (A); NORWICH (H).

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Ipswich 0 - 1 Norwich.

 

Boo hoo.

 

If Barnsley win on Tuesday and this stays as it is then we will be as good as down because of our g/d. All I wanted was for the Forest game to actually mean something.

 

But Andy we are down, we were when we lost at home to Charlton, all the rest is jingoistic tub thumping to get arses on seats at SMS so that the admins and Barclays can get their cash.

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20. NOTT'M FOR.......Plyd 44...(GD-17 )...Pts...49

21. BARNSLEY..........Plyd 43...(GD -14)...Pts...47

------------------------------------------------

22. NORWICH...........Plyd 44...(GD -9 )...Pts...46

23. SAINTS.............Plyd 44...(GD -21)....Pts..44

24. CHARLTON.........Plyd 43...(GD -23)....Pts..35

 

REMAINING FIXTURES:

 

NORWICH : Reading (H); CHARLTON(A).

NOTT'M FOREST: Blackpool (A); SAINTS (H).

BARNSLEY: Coventry (A); Wolves (H); PLYMOUTH (A).

SAINTS: Burnley (H); FOREST (A).

 

 

We will probably go down. But until it is mathematically proven I'll keep looking for a miracle. I can't really imagine all the possible scenarios, but unless we get 6 points from the last two games, we're certainly gone. So imagine we pull a surprise win over Burnley and then out of nowhere find the quality to beat Forest on the last day - this is the only scenario that *might* end up with us playing in the CCC next season:

 

20. SAINTS.............Plyd 46...(GD -21)....Pts..50

21. NOTT'M FOR.......Plyd 45...(GD-17 )...Pts...49

------------------------------------------------

22. BARNSLEY..........Plyd 43...(GD -14)...Pts...47

23. NORWICH...........Plyd 44...(GD -9 )...Pts...46

 

REMAINING FIXTURES:

 

NORWICH : Reading (H); CHARLTON(A).

NOTT'M FOREST: Blackpool (A)

BARNSLEY: Coventry (A); Wolves (H); PLYMOUTH (A).

 

 

The question then is: can two from Forest, Barnsley and Norwich be kept below 50 points? The answer: probably not, but this is the slim hope we have...

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20. NOTT'M FOR.......Plyd 44...(GD-17 )...Pts...49

21. BARNSLEY..........Plyd 43...(GD -14)...Pts...47

------------------------------------------------

22. NORWICH...........Plyd 44...(GD -9 )...Pts...46

23. SAINTS.............Plyd 44...(GD -21)....Pts..44

24. CHARLTON.........Plyd 43...(GD -23)....Pts..35

 

REMAINING FIXTURES:

 

NORWICH : Reading (H); CHARLTON(A).

NOTT'M FOREST: Blackpool (A); SAINTS (H).

BARNSLEY: Coventry (A); Wolves (H); PLYMOUTH (A).

SAINTS: Burnley (H); FOREST (A).

 

 

We will probably go down. But until it is mathematically proven I'll keep looking for a miracle. I can't really imagine all the possible scenarios, but unless we get 6 points from the last two games, we're certainly gone. So imagine we pull a surprise win over Burnley and then out of nowhere find the quality to beat Forest on the last day - this is the only scenario that *might* end up with us playing in the CCC next season:

 

20. SAINTS.............Plyd 46...(GD -21)....Pts..50

21. NOTT'M FOR.......Plyd 45...(GD-17 )...Pts...49

------------------------------------------------

22. BARNSLEY..........Plyd 43...(GD -14)...Pts...47

23. NORWICH...........Plyd 44...(GD -9 )...Pts...46

 

REMAINING FIXTURES:

 

NORWICH : Reading (H); CHARLTON(A).

NOTT'M FOREST: Blackpool (A)

BARNSLEY: Coventry (A); Wolves (H); PLYMOUTH (A).

 

 

The question then is: can two from Forest, Barnsley and Norwich be kept below 50 points? The answer: probably not, but this is the slim hope we have...

 

Your assumption is that we will beat Forest, so they can only get a draw at Blackpool.

 

Blackpool need a point to ensure they are safe

 

If we beat Burnley by 1-0 then we will have - 20

Forest -17

so we will need to beat them by 2 clear goals.

 

 

If Barnsley win 1 and lose 2 then their goal difference could be still -14 or worse. (assume 1-0 win, and 2 1-0 defeats), we will have to win by atleast 4-0 and a 3-0 in the 2 matches.

 

when you look at their matches I think they will be safe.

 

so they key one is Blackpool V Forest

but it assumes we can win 2

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We will know either way. Either I will have wasted 28 quid on a Forest ticket and could not sell it for love or money, or else it will be like goldust in Southampton if we can go there, win and stay up!

 

As you say its the hope that gets you......

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only 4 points.

 

My guess is that Forest draw with Blackpool

Barnsley lose to Wolves

Saints beat Burnley

 

Last day

 

Saints need to beat Forest

Barnsley need to beat Plymouth

 

2 wins and we will be ok.

 

Why do you think we will beat Burnley, good side, too good for us I'm afraid.

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Beating Burnley is a really tough ask IMO, they looked excellent last night. The only way i see us winning is by playing like we did in the first half against Preston.

 

IMO Forest will beat Blackpool & be safe, Barnsley should lose to Wolves and hopefully are a bit down after having a vital 3 points clutched from their grasp tonight.

 

I think Plymouth can beat Barnsley too, but can we win 2 games? I seriously doubt it with this current crop of sh*te.

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I guess I'm right in saying that all we can hope for is to go to Forest on the final day needing a definite win to stay up. I'd grab that scenario with both hands right now with bells on it!

 

I agree that beating Burnley is a big, big ask. But you have to believe...or what's the point?

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I have spent many a season hoping for a Saints win. Saturday is no different

 

We are staying up!

 

And by "Saturday" you mean the 3 games on Saturday, one on Monday and then the 3 games the following Sunday that almost if not all have to go our way for us to stay up ?

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I still hope that we can beat Burnley and still be in with a shout by other results going our way. I then hope that we can go on to beat Forest...

 

...But if I'm honest I don't think it's gonna happen.

 

I just hope that there's a big crowd there on Saturday and that we will actually be able to limp on to the end of the season... and then, most importantly, that a buyer will come in and save the club.

 

I think it would be great too if we could have a decent following at Forest even if we do get relegated before then. I would love to be there myself, though, sadly I don't think it will be possible.

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And by "Saturday" you mean the 3 games on Saturday, one on Monday and then the 3 games the following Sunday that almost if not all have to go our way for us to stay up ?

 

We only need all of the games this weekend to go our way (ie Saints win everybody else lose), followed by beating Forest (irrespective of the other results in the final day).

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We only need all of the games this weekend to go our way (ie Saints win everybody else lose), followed by beating Forest (irrespective of the other results in the final day).

 

Exactly! It's fully well possible, so we have to show some courage. Realistically we will not get anything from the Burnley game, but we can't give up without a fight. Ask me again once we have lost or drawn Burnley and I'll admit it's over, but for now the fight is still on. Maybe somewhere somehow the Saints suddenly rise to the occasion...

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