Dman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) Just looking at the next 5 fixtures and I'd say its easily the hardest run of 5 games we've had since we lost 4 on the bounce - arguabbly all season. I cannot see us getting through these next 5 without a defeat, so we need to win the other 4 imo and hope leeds don't gain any ground with a game against Leicester thrown in there. 3 really tough away fixtures, especially with Brum looking a different team (under a manager whose previously outfoxed our manager this season) and Hull, who are my money for the playoffs. I'm gonna go for 8 points Saints Bristol (a) West Brom (a) Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds Milwall (h) Birmingham (a) Leeds (including 4 excluding our game in hand) Swansea (a) Plymouth (a) Leicester (h) Huddersfield (a) If we're still ahead of leeds at the end of this run of games, we would have done fantastically well. Edited February 12 by Dman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Dman said: I cannot see us getting through these next 5 without a defeat I'm inclined to disagree (all subjective of course). My gut feel is that we'll stay undeafeated during these 5 games. My concern is more about how many of those will be draws rather than the wins we need to secure automatic promotion. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whelk Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 points for Saints, 7 for Leeds. Piece of piss 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EssEffCee Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I'm really intrigued to see how we get on at Birmingham seeing as Mowbray did us over so spectacularly at Sunderland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I look at our team now and I see confidence, fitness, strength in depth, togetherness and talent. Our downfall will either be defensively (as Huddersfield showed on Saturday), injury/suspension to key players or overconfidence/cockiness. There is no reason why we can't go unbeaten for those 5 games, or indeed the rest of the season. However as a Saints fan with years of disappointment behind me I do think it's possible that as the fixtures get trickier, we may see our first defeat in donkeys. As long as it's the odd defeat amongst wins, it's not too much of an issue - it is draws that we don't want to get into the habit of. I think we will win tomorrow, I think we will also beat Hull, Millwall and Brum, the WBA game at theirs is the one I think we will possibly come a bit unstuck. But we will see. Ultimately that Leeds/Leicester game will be a key game in the next few fixtures. Win our game in hand and Leicester beat Leeds and suddenly we will have a nice gap over them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waylander Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) "Brum looking a different team" A team that lost 2-0 to Sheff. Wednesday at the weekend One significant challenge for this next block of games is Jan Bednarek is one yellow card away from a 2 match ban Edited February 12 by waylander Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheaf Saint Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Dman said: Just looking at the next 5 fixtures and I'd say its easily the hardest run of 5 games we've had since we lost 4 on the bounce - arguabbly all season. I cannot see us getting through these next 5 without a defeat, so we need to win the other 4 imo and hope leeds don't gain any ground with a game against Leicester thrown in there. 3 really tough away fixtures, especially with Brum looking a different team (under a manager whose previously outfoxed our manager this season) and Hull, who are my money for the playoffs. I'm gonna go for 8 points Saints Bristol (a) West Brom (a) Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds Milwall (h) Birmingham (a) Leeds (including 4 excluding our game in hand) Swansea (a) Plymouth (a) Leicester (h) Huddersfield (a) If we're still ahead of leeds at the end of this run of games, we would have done fantastically well. I know that Leeds fan was trying to convince everyone that we're going to come unstuck because our form against top 10 teams hasn't been so good so far, but those next four for Leeds are hardly gimmes themselves... Swansea gave us a game of it in the second half at theirs recently. Leeds needed ET to beat Plymouth at theirs in the FA cup last week (both fielded significantly weakened first 11s though, admittedly) Leicester have shown they're not unbeatable after their defeat at Coventry las month, but Leeds will have to work extremely hard to get anything out of that game And Hudds showed that they are actually much better than their league positions suggests, and if they play like they did against us on Saturday then a Leeds win is far from guaranteed. Put it this way - I wouldn't be rushing to place any bets that Leeds' points haul from their next 4 games will be any better than ours from our next 5. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRM Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, waylander said: "Brum looking a different team" A team that lost 2-0 to Sheff. Wednesday at the weekend One significant challenge for this next block of games is Jan Bednarek is one yellow card away from a 2 match ban Hopefully gets it against Hull, then banned for Millwall and Birmingham and can play in the FA Cup game in-between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
petermcpete Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, JRM said: Hopefully gets it against Hull, then banned for Millwall and Birmingham and can play in the FA Cup game in-between. I think any ban would cover all English games (league, FA cup, league cup) - so the FA cup game would be included in the ban. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRM Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, petermcpete said: I think any ban would cover all English games (league, FA cup, league cup) - so the FA cup game would be included in the ban. I could be wrong but was told booking related suspensions are competition specific, whereas straight red suspensions cover all games. Either way a 2 game ban would be over quite quickly the number of games we have coming up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waylander Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 8 minutes ago, petermcpete said: I think any ban would cover all English games (league, FA cup, league cup) - so the FA cup game would be included in the ban. I don't think that is the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, waylander said: "Brum looking a different team" A team that lost 2-0 to Sheff. Wednesday at the weekend One significant challenge for this next block of games is Jan Bednarek is one yellow card away from a 2 match ban 12 minutes ago, JRM said: Hopefully gets it against Hull, then banned for Millwall and Birmingham and can play in the FA Cup game in-between. Hopefully he can hold out until after matchweek 37 (9th March) as that's the cut-off date for 10 yellow cards (after that the trigger is 15 yellow cards for the remainder of the season, but that would result in a 3 game ban) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 10 minutes ago, petermcpete said: I think any ban would cover all English games (league, FA cup, league cup) - so the FA cup game would be included in the ban. 3 minutes ago, JRM said: I could be wrong but was told booking related suspensions are competition specific, whereas straight red suspensions cover all games. Either way a 2 game ban would be over quite quickly the number of games we have coming up 2 minutes ago, waylander said: I don't think that is the case Yep, it's competition specific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
petermcpete Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Interesting, in that case definitely hope he can get through tonight without a yellow. I think we'd be fine without him vs Hull - we can score so many at home now we'd be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee On Solent Saint Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Expecting wins in them all to be honest, save for WBA. Think we'll draw that one, read somewhere they had a couple of injuries at Ipswich last time out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OnceaSaintalwaysaSaint Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Yes, this week's games could be close but I don't see these games being season defining. Mid-March is Ipswich and couple of weeks later is Leicester. That could be more make or break though by then we could be eight points clear of third in the League! 9 minutes ago, Lee On Solent Saint said: Expecting wins in them all to be honest, save for WBA. Think we'll draw that one, read somewhere they had a couple of injuries at Ipswich last time out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pingpong Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 hours ago, Dman said: Just looking at the next 5 fixtures and I'd say its easily the hardest run of 5 games we've had since we lost 4 on the bounce - arguabbly all season. I cannot see us getting through these next 5 without a defeat, so we need to win the other 4 imo and hope leeds don't gain any ground with a game against Leicester thrown in there. 3 really tough away fixtures, especially with Brum looking a different team (under a manager whose previously outfoxed our manager this season) and Hull, who are my money for the playoffs. I'm gonna go for 8 points Saints Bristol (a) West Brom (a) Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds Milwall (h) Birmingham (a) Leeds (including 4 excluding our game in hand) Swansea (a) Plymouth (a) Leicester (h) Huddersfield (a) If we're still ahead of leeds at the end of this run of games, we would have done fantastically well. I'd expect 13 points for us from those, maybe 11 if things goes badly, can't imagine losing to any of those. For Leeds, I'd predict 7 or 9 it's. Which leaves us looking pretty tidy if all goes as you'd expect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheaf Saint Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 21 minutes ago, Lee On Solent Saint said: Expecting wins in them all to be honest, save for WBA. Think we'll draw that one, read somewhere they had a couple of injuries at Ipswich last time out. They did. Kyle Bartley is a first choice CB so will be a big miss. And Daryl Dike is a very injury prone striker who has only played 5 games all season (and scored once). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee On Solent Saint Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Sheaf Saint said: They did. Kyle Bartley is a first choice CB so will be a big miss. And Daryl Dike is a very injury prone striker who has only played 5 games all season (and scored once). Yeah, Bartley is a huge player for them, he was pretty impressive at St Marys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tommy Mulgrew Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 13 points for us and 9 for Leeds. That will be enough to give us a bigger cushion to cover our match at Elland Road. Easy-Peasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarvSFC Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Small murmurs around Corberan being replaced at West Brom too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cabrone Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Forget Ipswich at your peril. They have Millwall(a), Swansea(a), Rotherham(h) and Brum (a). If they get their mojo back now they will climb right back into this. Also looks like Millwall, Brum and Swansea will have a big say on how we come out of this patch of games. Huddersfield was a good sparring session for us, I've felt that it's been a plain sailing for too long. We needed that game to knock out any complacency. Hopefully we'll still be 2nd at the end of these but it's just too tight to call. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I keep thinking we'll have a wobble or do something odd, but we keep turning out results - different sort of results too. You've got the really comfortable and professional jobs against the likes of Swansea, Blackburn, Wednesday etc, then you've got the 'dig in' until the last min against Millwall, Hull City etc. Then you've got another way we've won - 2-0 down, 3-2 down and still win the game. It's something we haven't associated with our team for many years, but we seem to be mentality monsters. They've got the sort of relentless momentum which can be hard to shake. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 (edited) 4 hours ago, HarvSFC said: Small murmurs around Corberan being replaced at West Brom too. Where are you hearing that? He's done wonders to get them anywhere near the Top 6 in my opinion. If he does get chopped then the fan reaction to their ownership would be so toxic and would totally end their season over night. Edited February 12 by S-Clarke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErwinK1961 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 hours ago, HarvSFC said: Small murmurs around Corberan being replaced at West Brom too. I hope so, that would be a mahoosive blow to WBA. Ideally before Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Munster Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 7 minutes ago, ErwinK1961 said: I hope so, that would be a mahoosive blow to WBA. Ideally before Friday. Especially if they can get Rooney in to replace him. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 hours ago, HarvSFC said: Small murmurs around Corberan being replaced at West Brom too. Had a look and it appears to come from a guy who is trying to buy the club, and if he does he's going to appoint Juric the Torino manager. So it is about the ego of a businessman who hasn't even bought WBA yet. Could all be bullshit anyway. I don't think WBA will have a different manager come Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry_SFC Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I think the make or break period is the one that we buggered up earlier in the season. Sunderland, Leicester, Middlesbrough and then Ipswich. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, Harry_SFC said: I think the make or break period is the one that we buggered up earlier in the season. Sunderland, Leicester, Middlesbrough and then Ipswich. How odd that we get that run of 4 again, certainly an opportunity to put right our wrongs there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Micky Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Harry_SFC said: I think the make or break period is the one that we buggered up earlier in the season. Sunderland, Leicester, Middlesbrough and then Ipswich. Agree. We have to keep winning until we get to these games and then not get beat. If we take something from Sunderland, Leicester, Borough, Ipswich and Leeds we'll be rosy. The period 9 March to 1 April is crucial for us, we need to take points off those around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Who? Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 12 hours ago, Dman said: Just looking at the next 5 fixtures and I'd say its easily the hardest run of 5 games we've had since we lost 4 on the bounce - arguabbly all season. I cannot see us getting through these next 5 without a defeat, so we need to win the other 4 imo and hope leeds don't gain any ground with a game against Leicester thrown in there. 3 really tough away fixtures, especially with Brum looking a different team (under a manager whose previously outfoxed our manager this season) and Hull, who are my money for the playoffs. I'm gonna go for 8 points Saints Bristol (a) West Brom (a) Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds Milwall (h) Birmingham (a) Leeds (including 4 excluding our game in hand) Swansea (a) Plymouth (a) Leicester (h) Huddersfield (a) If we're still ahead of leeds at the end of this run of games, we would have done fantastically well. Saints Bristol (a) W West Brom (a) L Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds W Milwall (h) W Birmingham (a) W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfc4prem Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 9 hours ago, Dr Who? said: Saints Bristol (a) W West Brom (a) L Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds W Milwall (h) W Birmingham (a) W 12 pts out of a possible 15. Nearly 2.5 pts per game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 hours ago, sfc4prem said: 12 pts out of a possible 15. Nearly 2.5 pts per game. If we achieve that we will have a comfortable working lead over Leeds (and Ipswich). We can't all keep winning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wade Garrett Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 On 12/02/2024 at 10:35, Dman said: Just looking at the next 5 fixtures and I'd say its easily the hardest run of 5 games we've had since we lost 4 on the bounce - arguabbly all season. I cannot see us getting through these next 5 without a defeat, so we need to win the other 4 imo and hope leeds don't gain any ground with a game against Leicester thrown in there. 3 really tough away fixtures, especially with Brum looking a different team (under a manager whose previously outfoxed our manager this season) and Hull, who are my money for the playoffs. I'm gonna go for 8 points Saints Bristol (a) West Brom (a) Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds Milwall (h) Birmingham (a) Leeds (including 4 excluding our game in hand) Swansea (a) Plymouth (a) Leicester (h) Huddersfield (a) If we're still ahead of leeds at the end of this run of games, we would have done fantastically well. If we keep playing the way we are, and we now have more players fit, I would be really disappointed with 8 points. In truth, we’ll continue ripping this league apart. Fuck Leeds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wade Garrett Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 17 hours ago, Dr Who? said: Saints Bristol (a) W West Brom (a) L Hull (h) - Game in hand on Leicester and Leeds W Milwall (h) W Birmingham (a) W West Brom will be a tough game. They played very well in our home game, although we hadn’t hit the form we’re in now back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 On 12/02/2024 at 10:38, trousers said: I'm inclined to disagree (all subjective of course). My gut feel is that we'll stay undeafeated during these 5 games. My concern is more about how many of those will be draws rather than the wins we need to secure automatic promotion. Looks like I picked the wrong week to go ultra-positive... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintant Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 If we can somehow conjure up a win at West Brom we follow that with two home games and I'm confident we'll win both. That would give us 9 points from the 4 games including tonight's which would be a decent return. The hard part is obviously beating West Brom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Yes the positive thing is if we win the (unquestionably tough) game against West Brom, and then beat Hull, we're back in second and it is in our hands again. Leeds are not going to win every single game, just like we aren't. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dman Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 3 hours ago, CB Fry said: Yes the positive thing is if we win the (unquestionably tough) game against West Brom, and then beat Hull, we're back in second and it is in our hands again. Leeds are not going to win every single game, just like we aren't. Absolutley. But personally, I think on balance - given they're hitting some real form and have an easier run in, they'll end up with more points than us. It was always stupid people who thought we could chase down leicester. It was never going to happen, as proven. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dman Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 10 hours ago, saintant said: If we can somehow conjure up a win at West Brom we follow that with two home games and I'm confident we'll win both. That would give us 9 points from the 4 games including tonight's which would be a decent return. The hard part is obviously beating West Brom. Hull will be an incredibly tough game as well. They're looking a really good side, especially going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dellyears Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 9 hours ago, Dman said: Absolutley. But personally, I think on balance - given they're hitting some real form and have an easier run in, they'll end up with more points than us. It was always stupid people who thought we could chase down leicester. It was never going to happen, as proven. Quite right. We are in the hunt for second place and I'm more than happy with that. Last night was terrible and such a shock after recent form, but 'don't panic' some lessons will have been learnt and no reason to think it was more than a blip. WBA had better look out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dman Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 Looks like its gonna be break, rather than make. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 (edited) I'm looking at the next block of 4 - Millwall, Birmingham, Middlesborough and Sunderland - 12 points required from that to keep us within touch, anything less and Leeds will be pulling far away into the horizon and not to be seen again. 100+ points plus for the top 2 this year IMO, which is mental. I think we'll get high 80's, low 90's at best. Not to discredit as in most seasons that is an auto promotion tally and a great season, i.e our last two promotion efforts, but the level required this year is ridiculous and I don't see how we do it with our run and Leeds run. That's how it feels to me right now. The level requires us to be faultless, and we haven't been. Edited February 21 by S-Clarke 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dman Posted February 21 Author Share Posted February 21 3 minutes ago, S-Clarke said: I'm looking at the next block of 4 - Millwall, Birmingham, Middlesborough and Sunderland - 12 points required from that to keep us within touch, anything less and Leeds will be pulling far away into the horizon and not to be seen again. 100+ points plus for the top 2 this year IMO, which is mental. I think we'll get high 80's, low 90's at best. Not to discredit as in most seasons that is an auto promotion tally and a great season, i.e our last two promotion efforts, but the level required this year is ridiculous and I don't see how we do it with our run and Leeds run. That's how it feels to me right now. The level requires us to be faultless, and we haven't been. Given the teams we'll likley face in the play-offs, we'll need to be faultless in those as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintant Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 On 13/02/2024 at 23:28, saintant said: If we can somehow conjure up a win at West Brom we follow that with two home games and I'm confident we'll win both. That would give us 9 points from the 4 games including tonight's which would be a decent return. The hard part is obviously beating West Brom. I hadn't bargained for last night's crazy team selection - don't think anyone other than RM would have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baz Fl Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 My biggest fear is what our squad will look like if we don’t go up this season. Automatic or through playoffs I don’t care which one at this point. Most of our best performers are loan players and we will loose them all for next season if still stuck in the Championship and without those players our quality level drops drastically and that would basically sentence us to a long period away from promotion. Fingers are still crossed and enough games left to play, COYS!!🙏🙏🙏 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 9 minutes ago, Baz Fl said: My biggest fear is what our squad will look like if we don’t go up this season. Automatic or through playoffs I don’t care which one at this point. Most of our best performers are loan players and we will loose them all for next season if still stuck in the Championship and without those players our quality level drops drastically and that would basically sentence us to a long period away from promotion. Fingers are still crossed and enough games left to play, COYS!!🙏🙏🙏 The drop off next season if we fail will be enormous. The following won't be here - THB, Bednarek, KWP, Sulemana, Fraser, Brooks, Adams, S.Armstrong, Rothwell, Downes - and we'll probably get bids which will be hard to turn down for Adam Armstrong (as he will only have a year left). Core of the team next year if we fail will be built around Stephens, Charles, Manning, Mara, Bree, Smallbone, Dibling, SAA - things of nightmares tbh. Of course we'll reinvest and rejuvenate the squad, but there won't be a like for like replacement quality wise. The drop off will be quite steep, but hopefully the league won't be as ridiculous next season standard wise so a playoff push should still be a genuine target. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weston Super Saint Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 hour ago, S-Clarke said: The drop off next season if we fail will be enormous. The following won't be here - THB, Bednarek, KWP, Sulemana, Fraser, Brooks, Adams, S.Armstrong, Rothwell, Downes - and we'll probably get bids which will be hard to turn down for Adam Armstrong (as he will only have a year left). Core of the team next year if we fail will be built around Stephens, Charles, Manning, Mara, Bree, Smallbone, Dibling, SAA - things of nightmares tbh. Of course we'll reinvest and rejuvenate the squad, but there won't be a like for like replacement quality wise. The drop off will be quite steep, but hopefully the league won't be as ridiculous next season standard wise so a playoff push should still be a genuine target. At least one, maybe even two of the current top four will still be in it. Probably Everton as well. Will still be tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 22 minutes ago, Weston Super Saint said: At least one, maybe even two of the current top four will still be in it. Probably Everton as well. Will still be tough. Not saying it'll be easy at all, still a very tough league. I do think (if it comes to it) we'd sort ourselves out enough to be in the playoff convo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cabrone Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The Leeds game may well to be to our advantage if we can stay within 3 of them and improve our g.d. It becomes our free hit rather than theirs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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