CB Fry Posted 24 December, 2023 Share Posted 24 December, 2023 (edited) 58 minutes ago, east-stand-nic said: It really needs to be 51, but I would not die if we ended up with 49. If we can finish second, great. But if not us, I want Leeds second, and Ipswich with us in the playoffs. If the two of us finish 3rd and 4th, we might meet in the final. If we're on 51 points on NYE then we'll be third for sure. We've got 2 "easy" home games, Leeds have two tough away ties (at annoying TV times for them as well). Difficult to see them winning both. If they do then Christ this is the hardest Championship season of all time to escape from. Edited 24 December, 2023 by CB Fry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 24 December, 2023 Share Posted 24 December, 2023 That last game of the season...Leeds v Saints....could be epic (also, could well be irrelevant too!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintant Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 On 29/10/2023 at 08:19, Saint_clark said: Millwall v Southampton - lose Southampton v West Bromwich Albion - draw Huddersfield Town v Southampton - win Southampton v Bristol City - draw Southampton v Cardiff City - win Watford v Southampton - draw Coventry City v Southampton - win Southampton v Blackburn Rovers - lose Queens Park Rangers v Southampton - lose Southampton v Swansea City - draw Southampton v Plymouth Argyle - win 16 points. Predictions based on typical Saints inconsistency, not what I think will happen. 24 points so far with Plymouth at home to come. Like us all you must be delighted with that return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikec Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 On 25/12/2023 at 00:51, SaintBobby said: That last game of the season...Leeds v Saints....could be epic (also, could well be irrelevant too!) Could be the 1st of 3 consecutive games against Leeds if we end up facing them in the playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfc4prem Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 On 29/10/2023 at 08:06, east-stand-nic said: If we did win 8, draw two and somehow lose one, we would amass 26 points, giving us 50 in total from 25 games. Surely this has to be the aim? Millwall v Southampton Southampton v West Bromwich Albion Huddersfield Town v Southampton Southampton v Bristol City Southampton v Cardiff City Watford v Southampton Coventry City v Southampton Southampton v Blackburn Rovers Queens Park Rangers v Southampton Southampton v Swansea City Southampton v Plymouth Argyle Millwall v Southampton - WIN Southampton v West Bromwich Albion - WIN Huddersfield Town v Southampton - DRAW Southampton v Bristol City - WIN Southampton v Cardiff City - WIN Watford v Southampton - DRAW Coventry City v Southampton - DRAW Southampton v Blackburn Rovers - WIN Queens Park Rangers v Southampton - WIN Southampton v Swansea City - WIN Southampton v Plymouth Argyle ... So, we've drawn three, but lost none so far. We've won 7, but have one more game to potentially get the 8th win that Nic hoped for. Impressive stuff. Fingers crossed we win on Friday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 7 minutes ago, mikec said: Could be the 1st of 3 consecutive games against Leeds if we end up facing them in the playoffs. or even four if we play them in the FA Cup? 😉 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfc4prem Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 On 03/12/2023 at 05:00, east-stand-nic said: Well, 13/15 points so far on that list of 11 games. If we can do the same again from the next 5, I think we will be 3rd and pushing Ipswich. Not quite the 13/15 hoped for. We got 11/15 in the 5 games that followed this post. Two draws, three wins. Just over 2 ppg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint_clark Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 50 minutes ago, saintant said: 24 points so far with Plymouth at home to come. Like us all you must be delighted with that return. Absolutely over the moon, of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
east-stand-nic Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 On 29/10/2023 at 15:06, east-stand-nic said: Probably gonna get pelters for saying this, but at least 8 of these games are totally winnable. In fact, I see no reason why we should not win all 11. Most of these clubs should finish below us...I can only see Cardiff and WBA anywhere near our level (Potentially). If we did win 8, draw two and somehow lose one, we would amass 26 points, giving us 50 in total from 25 games. Surely this has to be the aim? Millwall v Southampton Southampton v West Bromwich Albion Huddersfield Town v Southampton Southampton v Bristol City Southampton v Cardiff City Watford v Southampton Coventry City v Southampton Southampton v Blackburn Rovers Queens Park Rangers v Southampton Southampton v Swansea City Southampton v Plymouth Argyle Almost spot on there. We ended up 51 points from 25. Great run. Now need to focus on the next run of games. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gio1saints Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 20 minutes ago, east-stand-nic said: Almost spot on there. We ended up 51 points from 25. Great run. Now need to focus on the next run of games. Please predict the next 21 games! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Munster Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 10 hours ago, gio1saints said: Please predict the next 21 games! 63 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
east-stand-nic Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 OK then. So, let's look at the next 8 games taking us to the end of February. Southampton v Sheffield Wednesday 3 Swansea City v Southampton 1 Southampton v Hull City 1 Rotherham United v Southampton 3 Southampton v Huddersfield Town 3 Bristol City v Southampton 1 West Bromwich Albion v Southampton 0 Southampton v Millwall 3 Some very winnable games in there, but also a couple of potential losses/draws. I have feeling we will start to drop a few points here and there, which to be honest has to start happening sooner or later. Perhaps a bit negative with the draw at home to Hull, but as I say, sometime sooner or later we will start to drop a few unexpected points. This is 15 from 8 games, so almost 2 points per game still. Will it be enough to get us into second? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodymatt Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 hours ago, east-stand-nic said: OK then. So, let's look at the next 8 games taking us to the end of February. Southampton v Sheffield Wednesday 3 Swansea City v Southampton 1 Southampton v Hull City 1 Rotherham United v Southampton 3 Southampton v Huddersfield Town 3 Bristol City v Southampton 1 West Bromwich Albion v Southampton 0 Southampton v Millwall 3 Some very winnable games in there, but also a couple of potential losses/draws. I have feeling we will start to drop a few points here and there, which to be honest has to start happening sooner or later. Perhaps a bit negative with the draw at home to Hull, but as I say, sometime sooner or later we will start to drop a few unexpected points. This is 15 from 8 games, so almost 2 points per game still. Will it be enough to get us into second? I think we will need to better 2ppg in this period to grab second. Harder fixtures follow too. Our last 18 games have been 2.33ppg, I’d be disappointed to drop below 2 during this period. As Saints fans we are conditioned to expect us to mess up. Keep proving us wrong, Saints! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gio1saints Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 (edited) The narrative for the season so far has been one of learning a new style of football and ( hopefully ) gradually getting better at it. That appears to be happening. A sweetener to the story is that the PB football that this style is based on takes more out of the legs of our opponents than of us. That also appears to be true given the above average number of late goals we score. We’ve also been told that it’s a long season and that injuries , suspensions and plain fatigue will all play a part. Squad depth in which case is vital. And that our squad is relatively stronger vs the rest of the league. The proof will be shown in these last 21 matches. We have delivered c 2pts per match to date and the stats suggest we will do at least, and more likely better, in these final 21 matches. Consequently I’d envisage somewhere between 42 and 48 points to be the most likely achieved tally in these matches. Major injuries to key players excepted of course. Anything under 42 would be disappointing imo given our form. 42 points is par and above 42 is what I hope/expect. A total of 95-100 should mean automatic promotion - but if it’s not fair play to the other two. Edited January 4 by gio1saints 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
east-stand-nic Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 2 hours ago, goodymatt said: I think we will need to better 2ppg in this period to grab second. Harder fixtures follow too. Our last 18 games have been 2.33ppg, I’d be disappointed to drop below 2 during this period. As Saints fans we are conditioned to expect us to mess up. Keep proving us wrong, Saints! Looking at the 8 games Ipswich have in that period... Ipswich Town v Sunderland 1 Leicester City v Ipswich Town 0 Ipswich Town v Rotherham United 3 Preston North End v Ipswich Town 1 Ipswich Town v West Bromwich Albion 1 Millwall v Ipswich Town 3 Swansea City v Ipswich Town 3 Ipswich Town v Birmingham City 1 Think they might get 13 points so they might still be just ahead of us. Really depends if they really have come off the rails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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