Pamplemousse Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 https://theanalyst.com/eu/2023/12/championship-predictions-season-december-2023-24/ Some interesting predictions from Opta's Championship Super Computer. We're still an outside bet for top two but we've got play-offs nailed on basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teamsaint Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 3 minutes ago, Pamplemousse said: https://theanalyst.com/eu/2023/12/championship-predictions-season-december-2023-24/ Some interesting predictions from Opta's Championship Super Computer. We're still an outside bet for top two but we've got play-offs nailed on basically. So they are predicting, on average 89 points for Ipswich , which is just 1.6 points per game from now , the same as WBA have done to date ? If somebody offered RM a 90 point target for promotion, he’d take it in a heartbeat, I should think. I was wondering what realistically would be a good target for us to hit from here. We have 4 very tough away games , (including Leeds last day and who knows how that will affect things ). 13 wins, 6 draws 3 defeats would get us to 93, if my maths is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric The Red Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 Opta have both Ipswich and us picking up 36 points from 22 games. That's something like 10 wins 6 draws and 6 losses. I'll be disappointed if we can't beat that total. Whether we'll get enough points for the top two is obviously very much in doubt but I'll bet 85 (the figure implied by Opta) won't be enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfc4prem Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 Just now, Eric The Red said: Opta have both Ipswich and us picking up 36 points from 22 games. That's something like 10 wins 6 draws and 6 losses. I'll be disappointed if we can't beat that total. Whether we'll get enough points for the top two is obviously very much in doubt but I'll bet 85 (the figure implied by Opta) won't be enough. Basically, Opta can suck our collective balls. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turkish Posted 27 December, 2023 Share Posted 27 December, 2023 5 hours ago, Pamplemousse said: https://theanalyst.com/eu/2023/12/championship-predictions-season-december-2023-24/ Some interesting predictions from Opta's Championship Super Computer. We're still an outside bet for top two but we've got play-offs nailed on basically. When you say interesting…… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexLaw76 Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 Leicester top of this table also. https://www.capology.com/uk/championship/salaries/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 19 minutes ago, AlexLaw76 said: Leicester top of this table also. https://www.capology.com/uk/championship/salaries/ The manager of Bognor Regis gave a talk to us one at a referees evening. He said that in his league if you showed him the salaries table he would tell you where the teams would finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coalman Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 2 hours ago, AlexLaw76 said: Leicester top of this table also. https://www.capology.com/uk/championship/salaries/ Joe Aribo - £70K Jan Bednarek - £60K Alex McCarthy - £50K Jack Stephens - £45K Will Smallbone - £25K Sekou Mara - £25K Flynn Downes - £25K Kyle Walker-Peters - £20K Gavin Bazunu - £20K If that's true it's insane. Aribo has played ok recently but no way he's worth 70K. No way is KWP worth 20K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypochondriac Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 On 27/12/2023 at 16:58, Pamplemousse said: https://theanalyst.com/eu/2023/12/championship-predictions-season-december-2023-24/ Some interesting predictions from Opta's Championship Super Computer. We're still an outside bet for top two but we've got play-offs nailed on basically. Interesting they have Leeds with a higher chance of top 2 than us. Not sure I'd agree but maybe due to the fact that we haven't scored as many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypochondriac Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 11 minutes ago, coalman said: Joe Aribo - £70K Jan Bednarek - £60K Alex McCarthy - £50K Jack Stephens - £45K Will Smallbone - £25K Sekou Mara - £25K Flynn Downes - £25K Kyle Walker-Peters - £20K Gavin Bazunu - £20K If that's true it's insane. Aribo has played ok recently but no way he's worth 70K. No way is KWP worth 20K. Alex McCarthy is the real face palm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coalman Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 Just now, hypochondriac said: Interesting they have Leeds with a higher chance of top 2 than us. Not sure I'd agree but maybe due to the fact that we haven't scored as many. Also interesting that our chance of the top two jumped from 8% to 20% in the course of the last week. I'm more interested in the direction of travel of that percentage than the current value. Every week our chance of making the automatic promotion spots seems to be increasing which correlates with what we're seeing - a team that has good form and has growing momentum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coalman Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 1 minute ago, hypochondriac said: Alex McCarthy is the real face palm. I missed Mason Holgate on £70K a week too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodymatt Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 2 minutes ago, hypochondriac said: Interesting they have Leeds with a higher chance of top 2 than us. Not sure I'd agree but maybe due to the fact that we haven't scored as many. We've actually scored 1 more than Leeds so far, due to our recent big wins. Its their defence that is giving them the GD edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypochondriac Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 Just now, coalman said: Also interesting that our chance of the top two jumped from 8% to 20% in the course of the last week. I'm more interested in the direction of travel of that percentage than the current value. Every week our chance of making the automatic promotion spots seems to be increasing which correlates with what we're seeing - a team that has good form and has growing momentum. I think we have had some pretty easy fixtures though. The real test will come against some of these better teams away from home. Avoid defeat or even win in a couple of them and we will increase our chance massively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypochondriac Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 1 minute ago, goodymatt said: We've actually scored 1 more than Leeds so far, due to our recent big wins. Its their defence that is giving them the GD edge. Fair enough. I expect it's all those tough away games then that swings it for them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coalman Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 6 minutes ago, hypochondriac said: I think we have had some pretty easy fixtures though. The real test will come against some of these better teams away from home. Avoid defeat or even win in a couple of them and we will increase our chance massively. Yeah. That's probably why Leeds are rated more likely than us as we have Leicester and Leeds away at the end of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted 29 December, 2023 Share Posted 29 December, 2023 7 hours ago, coalman said: Joe Aribo - £70K Jan Bednarek - £60K Alex McCarthy - £50K Jack Stephens - £45K Will Smallbone - £25K Sekou Mara - £25K Flynn Downes - £25K Kyle Walker-Peters - £20K Gavin Bazunu - £20K If that's true it's insane. Aribo has played ok recently but no way he's worth 70K. No way is KWP worth 20K. Holgate on 70k - might explain why we plan on letting him go back to Everton in January - his contributions have not been worth that. At least Aribo has started to earn his money even if he's still a long way away from being worth 70k. GIVE KWP A NEW CONTRACT FFS!!! Oh and McCarthy - that's just disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfc4prem Posted 30 December, 2023 Share Posted 30 December, 2023 Very nice indeed for Leicester... https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-leicestershire-67718718 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
badgerx16 Posted 30 December, 2023 Share Posted 30 December, 2023 On 24/12/2023 at 12:40, ErwinK1961 said: Reading won the league from there.... And were relegated straight back down the following season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 30 December, 2023 Share Posted 30 December, 2023 From The Times this morning, ”West Ham want to offload Said Benrahma, the winger, and Danny Ings, the forward, whose wages of about £100,000 a week could be an issue for buyers.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexLaw76 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Rooney sacked at Brum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken Tone Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 31 minutes ago, AlexLaw76 said: Rooney sacked at Brum So wayne-rooney's-birmingham-city will have to find a new name !😉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lighthouse Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 5 minutes ago, Ken Tone said: So wayne-rooney's-birmingham-city will have to find a new name !😉 Knowing their owners, Megan Rapinoe's BC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScandiSaint Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Does anybody know when the fixtures around April time will be announced regarding changes due to TV (Championship fixtures)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SotonianWill Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 (edited) On 29/12/2023 at 16:39, coalman said: Joe Aribo - £70K Jan Bednarek - £60K Alex McCarthy - £50K Jack Stephens - £45K Will Smallbone - £25K Sekou Mara - £25K Flynn Downes - £25K Kyle Walker-Peters - £20K Gavin Bazunu - £20K If that's true it's insane. Aribo has played ok recently but no way he's worth 70K. No way is KWP worth 20K. Considering all players must have had a relegation wage reduction, this doesn't add up. I'm looking mainly at Aribo still being so high (same salary as reported last season) and Smallbone being higher than KWP. Edit: And if true, who in their right mind sanctioned the Aribo £70,000 a week without a reduction Edited January 2 by SotonianWill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSA96 Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, ScandiSaint said: Does anybody know when the fixtures around April time will be announced regarding changes due to TV (Championship fixtures)? Here you go: https://www.efl.com/how-to-watch/tv-game-selection-process/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koolman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just 15 games. Don't understand the media's love affair with him..... https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/67858866 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Fan CaM Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Koolman said: Just 15 games. Don't understand the media's love affair with him..... https://www.bbc.com/sport/football/67858866 Cause he sells media stories and that’s regardless of whether he’s successful or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woodsaint1 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Looking like another Lampard and to some extent Gerrard (although he did have a good spell with Rangers) in the management stakes. A successful playing career doesnt always translate to successful managerial spells, no matter how many doors are already opened for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farawaysaint Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I said he would do well, I’m a footballing genius 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rooney Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 6 hours ago, woodsaint1 said: Looking like another Lampard and to some extent Gerrard (although he did have a good spell with Rangers) in the management stakes. A successful playing career doesnt always translate to successful managerial spells, no matter how many doors are already opened for you. Agree, but at least he has had a go more than once rather than take an easy life by being a pundit like J Rednapp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notnowcato Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 28 minutes ago, rooney said: Agree, but at least he has had a go more than once rather than take an easy life by being a pundit like J Rednapp. Hi Wayne 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tamesaint Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 30 minutes ago, rooney said: Agree, but at least he has had a go more than once rather than take an easy life by being a pundit like J Rednapp. J Rednapp talks clearly and can string a sentence together. Different from mumbling Wayne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Convict Colony Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 bloody hell vardy on 140k pw, leciester going for the all or nothing approach to promotion, they'd be fucked if they didnt get up this season if this is anywhere remotely true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Convict Colony Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Ok am calling bullshit that list has KWP on 20k a week 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rooney Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 On 03/01/2024 at 08:09, Tamesaint said: J Rednapp talks clearly and can string a sentence together. Different from mumbling Wayne. yes to an extent but he tries to talk Bow Bells when he was born in Milford-on-Sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SotonianWill Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Leicesters Ndidi out for 3 months, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintsFan86 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, SotonianWill said: Leicesters Ndidi out for 3 months, Lucky for Leicester it's the transfer window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 29 minutes ago, SotonianWill said: Leicesters Ndidi out for 3 months, Big loss for them. I'm sure they'll strengthen though and they'll still pick up enough points to top 100 IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Badger Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-67895315 10 or15 point deduction for Ipswich surely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, Badger said: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-suffolk-67895315 10 or15 point deduction for Ipswich surely. There was a can thrown at the front and a can thrown at the back. A Beer Can sandwich if you will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Badger Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, SNSUN said: There was a can thrown at the front and a can thrown at the back. A Beer Can sandwich if you will. Okay you’ve convinced me. It’s a 20-30 point deduction. (Sing about that Sheeran, you ginger gimp). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Maybe potential banana skins for Leicester and Leeds? Cov in decent form and a local game, if not a proper rivalry. You’d expect Ipswich to win as their home record is so good but some pressure on after no wins in 5. We have to win to pile that pressure on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turkish Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 34 minutes ago, Jack said: Maybe potential banana skins for Leicester and Leeds? Cov in decent form and a local game, if not a proper rivalry. You’d expect Ipswich to win as their home record is so good but some pressure on after no wins in 5. We have to win to pile that pressure on If we win we'll be above Ipswich at their kick off so pressure will really be on them. Sunderland are capable of a result there, Ipswich should win but wont be easy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
east-stand-nic Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 On 05/01/2024 at 22:52, SNSUN said: Big loss for them. I'm sure they'll strengthen though and they'll still pick up enough points to top 100 IMO. Will they be able to though? Rumours abound that they are close to breaching FFP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goodymatt Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 58 points from 28 league games so far. Just had another look to see how that compares with last season and our last promotion season in the championship. 7 ahead of our last successful promotion and 4 behind ‘Mission Burnley’. If Leicester win tonight they will be on 68 points which is quite ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gio1saints Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 46 minutes ago, goodymatt said: 58 points from 28 league games so far. Just had another look to see how that compares with last season and our last promotion season in the championship. 7 ahead of our last successful promotion and 4 behind ‘Mission Burnley’. If Leicester win tonight they will be on 68 points which is quite ridiculous. It is remarkable how many points Leicester have got compared to above. Record breaking. And the historical data for getting promoted from this league also makes for interesting reading. For example Pompey are in the top ten most points to get out of this league ( I think with 92) and for me that’s an interesting secondary target for Saints in back of my mind😂😇. Though be prewarned - by posting “ statistical data” on here guaranteed some misery guts will pipe up with “ those stats are BS and only tell you what happened then - not what is going to happen now”. They failed History at school as well btw. 🤭. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turkish Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Is Leicester and the the top 4s point tally an indication as to how good they are or how poor the league is? Honestly, from what i've seen we look good although how we'd do in the premier league playing this way is to be seen, Leicester look good Ipswich and Leeds half decent with some good players but the rest of the league is pretty dire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexLaw76 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Comparing to a points tally 10 years ago is completely pointless. This league differs a fair bit year-on-year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Clarke Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Turkish said: Is Leicester and the the top 4s point tally an indication as to how good they are or how poor the league is? Honestly, from what i've seen we look good although how we'd do in the premier league playing this way is to be seen, Leicester look good Ipswich and Leeds half decent with some good players but the rest of the league is pretty dire. I think the quality of the 3 relegated sides has created an unusual gulf season, the gap between us 3 and the playoff chasers is pretty illustrative of that. All 3 of us have been able to keep hold of players who are PL players, as we were all established PL sides with some hefty wages bills/expensive players. Ipswich are the anomaly in all of this, but in most leagues you often get 1 side who do something against the norm. On the other hand the PL for me is as low quality as it has been since I can remember. The three promoted sides look like dead-rubber, if you stuck Luton and Sheffield United in this league this year I don't think they'd be anywhere near us, Leeds and Leicester. I have seen people saying that the bottom 3's struggles in the PL this year shows how the gap is widening, it doesn't really for me - if you come up, sell your best players and don't spend any money then there is only ever going to be one outcome. I'd say Leeds, Leicester and ourselves would give the league much more of a crack. The quality for me is much lower than the media try to make out (Palace, Forest, Brentford, Everton, Bournemouth in and around it). Not much to be scared of up there if you are prepared to compete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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