SupersonicSaint Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 With 16 games left of the season, what points tally do you think we'll end up on? Below are our remaining games and what I reckon are probable results: Chelsea (A) - L Leeds (A) - D Leicester (H) - D Man United (A) - L Brentford (H) - L Tottenham (H) - L West Ham (A) - D Man City (H) - L Palace (H) - D Arsenal (A) - L Bournemouth (H) - W Newcastle (A) - L Forest (A) - D Fulham (H) - W Brighton (A) - D Liverpool (H) - L Sees us with 12 points bringing our end of season total to 27. I think in our next 5 we'd have to beat Leeds and Leicester + get a point against Brentford to have any real chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BotleySaint Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 (edited) I was hoping for a thread like this. Have to say it's looking pretty grim for us now. Some of those D's need to be W's! Unfortunately going on evidence of the season so far, they are more likely to end up L's.. Edited 12 February, 2023 by BotleySaint 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nordic Saint Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 On this day one year ago we drew 1-1 at Man.United in the middle of a 7-match unbeaten run: 2022 22 January Southampton 1–1 Manchester City 5 February Southampton 2-1 Coventry FAC 9 February Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 Southampton 12 February Manchester United 1–1 Southampton 19 February Southampton 2–0 Everton 25 February Southampton 2–0 Norwich City 2 March Southampton 3-1 West Ham FAC "impressive Southampton" 44 Forster 2 Walker-Peters 35 Bednarek Sub Stephens 45'minutes 22 Salisu 15 Perraud 17 S Armstrong 8 Ward-Prowse 6 Romeu Sub Diallo 90+5'minutes 24 Elyounoussi Sub Livramento 71'minutes 18 Broja 10 Adams Man Utd 1-1 Southampton: Jadon Sancho and Che Adams score - BBC Sport 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 If we can get a manager playing to our strengths I can see 15/16 points max. So 30/31 points. Bye Prem. We really are going to have to beat some big boys\in-form teams to stand a chance. Too little too late IMO. Just looking at those last 2 games of the season we would need to be on or around 35 points by then. Brighton and Liverpool most probably nil point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric The Red Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 Breaking the matches up into groups; Firstly the games against the 'top seven', Chelsea - A, Man Utd - A, Spurs - H, Man C -H, Arsenal -A, Newcastle - A, L'pool - H, I think we need an average of a point a game, let's say 2 wins and a draw Then the other away games Leeds , West Ham , Forest, Brighton. I think we need 2 wins from these . Lastly the other home games Leicester, Brentford, Palace, Bournemouth, Fulham. Frighteningly I think we would need 3 wins and a draw So that's 7+6+10 =23 points to get to 38 and a fighting chance Likelihood of that actually happening, at the moment, minimal to nil, with an experienced premier league quality manager, pretty slight, but ................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintscottofthenortham Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 Fixture Pessimistic Realistic Optimistic Chelsea (A) 0 0 1 Leeds (A) 1 1 3 Leicester (H) 1 3 3 Man United (A) 0 0 0 Brentford (H) 0 1 3 Tottenham (H) 0 0 0 West Ham (A) 0 1 1 Man City (H) 0 0 0 Palace (H) 1 3 3 Arsenal (A) 0 0 0 Bournemouth (H) 3 3 3 Newcastle (A) 0 0 1 Forest (A) 1 3 3 Fulham (H) 3 3 3 Brighton (A) 0 1 1 Liverpool (H) 0 0 1 10 19 26 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kelkel31 Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 I can see 20 points out of those games if we play the right players in the right positions and the play somewhere to their potential whilst doing so. Id say that is definitely touch and go for survival but i also believe the required total will be low compared to normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 12 February, 2023 Share Posted 12 February, 2023 Sadly I feel that we shall end up one win away from safety especially a game that we have lost against our rivals. The home game with Nottingham Forest comes to mind. The irony is that had we won such a game then Jones might still be here. Basically we have had to wait until our case is hopeless before we got rid of him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintscottofthenortham Posted 13 February, 2023 Share Posted 13 February, 2023 59 minutes ago, Whitey Grandad said: Sadly I feel that we shall end up one win away from safety especially a game that we have lost against our rivals. The home game with Nottingham Forest comes to mind. The irony is that had we won such a game then Jones might still be here. Basically we have had to wait until our case is hopeless before we got rid of him. I think this is what Rasmus meant when they said they would only pull the trigger on NJ when they no longer believed, or however it was put. Seems nonsensical to me, as a change as soon as it was obvious it was going to be a disaster (Forest) would've seen us fair a far better chance. How the trigger wasn't pulled after Brentford is beyond me. Totally wasted the Wolves fixture. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toussaint Posted 13 February, 2023 Share Posted 13 February, 2023 6 hours ago, saintscottofthenortham said: I think this is what Rasmus meant when they said they would only pull the trigger on NJ when they no longer believed, or however it was put. Seems nonsensical to me, as a change as soon as it was obvious it was going to be a disaster (Forest) would've seen us fair a far better chance. How the trigger wasn't pulled after Brentford is beyond me. Totally wasted the Wolves fixture. I think it was one week too late, we had some good results and performances after Forest. City, Everton, Villa, it’s not too late to save the season, our January signings look really promising. Hopefully the new manager will suss out the numpties straight away and we won’t have to suffer them going forward. I’m happy to provide him a list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWY Posted 13 February, 2023 Share Posted 13 February, 2023 35 points will be some achievement from where we are, not enough to keep us up though. It would give us some positivity heading into a difficult summer though. Can't see us getting more than 32 points though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woodsaint1 Posted 13 February, 2023 Share Posted 13 February, 2023 20 hours ago, Nordic Saint said: On this day one year ago we drew 1-1 at Man.United in the middle of a 7-match unbeaten run: 2022 22 January Southampton 1–1 Manchester City 5 February Southampton 2-1 Coventry FAC 9 February Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 Southampton 12 February Manchester United 1–1 Southampton 19 February Southampton 2–0 Everton 25 February Southampton 2–0 Norwich City 2 March Southampton 3-1 West Ham FAC "impressive Southampton" 44 Forster 2 Walker-Peters 35 Bednarek Sub Stephens 45'minutes 22 Salisu 15 Perraud 17 S Armstrong 8 Ward-Prowse 6 Romeu Sub Diallo 90+5'minutes 24 Elyounoussi Sub Livramento 71'minutes 18 Broja 10 Adams Man Utd 1-1 Southampton: Jadon Sancho and Che Adams score - BBC Sport Just shows what confidence and good coaching/organisation can do for this team. Ralph had us really firing during that spell, the win away to Spurs was one of the best attacking performances from us in recent years. Would love to see a managerial appointment which gets an immediate response from the team 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
david in sweden Posted 14 February, 2023 Share Posted 14 February, 2023 Just calculate it the quick way. Choose any of those games you want. We need a MINIMUM 7 wins, which would give us 36 points, (that has been enough to survive in some seasons....) BUT I really can't see 3 teams who are worse than us at present. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OnceaSaintalwaysaSaint Posted 18 February, 2023 Share Posted 18 February, 2023 On 12/02/2023 at 17:49, Nordic Saint said: On this day one year ago we drew 1-1 at Man.United in the middle of a 7-match unbeaten run: 2022 22 January Southampton 1–1 Manchester City 5 February Southampton 2-1 Coventry FAC 9 February Tottenham Hotspur 2–3 Southampton 12 February Manchester United 1–1 Southampton 19 February Southampton 2–0 Everton 25 February Southampton 2–0 Norwich City 2 March Southampton 3-1 West Ham FAC "impressive Southampton" 44 Forster 2 Walker-Peters 35 Bednarek Sub Stephens 45'minutes 22 Salisu 15 Perraud 17 S Armstrong 8 Ward-Prowse 6 Romeu Sub Diallo 90+5'minutes 24 Elyounoussi Sub Livramento 71'minutes 18 Broja 10 Adams Man Utd 1-1 Southampton: Jadon Sancho and Che Adams score - BBC Sport That was a good game and the only one I've been to at Old Trafford when we've got something. Left feeling good. Today left the ground feeling even better. Hope has been resumed. Just looking to see what other six games we can win....Leicester, Brentford, Palace, Bournemouth, Forest & Fulham...or is that a bit too obvious? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LegalEagle Posted 18 February, 2023 Share Posted 18 February, 2023 (edited) W5, D5 and L5 from here should be enough to stay up. Wins v Leeds, Leicester, Palace, Bournemouth, Fulham Draws v Brentford, West Ham, Forest, Spurs, Liverpool Losses v Man U, Man City, Arsenal, Newcastle, Brighton Not going to be easy but far from impossible Edited 18 February, 2023 by LegalEagle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rut Posted 18 February, 2023 Share Posted 18 February, 2023 On 12/02/2023 at 11:18, SupersonicSaint said: With 16 games left of the season, what points tally do you think we'll end up on? Below are our remaining games and what I reckon are probable results: Chelsea (A) - L Leeds (A) - D Leicester (H) - D Man United (A) - L Brentford (H) - L Tottenham (H) - L West Ham (A) - D Man City (H) - L Palace (H) - D Arsenal (A) - L Bournemouth (H) - W Newcastle (A) - L Forest (A) - D Fulham (H) - W Brighton (A) - D Liverpool (H) - L Sees us with 12 points bringing our end of season total to 27. I think in our next 5 we'd have to beat Leeds and Leicester + get a point against Brentford to have any real chance. and your zillion team accumulator is busted! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttawaSaint Posted 19 February, 2023 Share Posted 19 February, 2023 Forest away late in the season. Reminds me of 97 we were bottom in April and went there (I was there!). Micky Evans double took us off the bottom, leapfrogging Forest (who eventually down). "We are staying up" being sung walking back. Good omen...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilchards Posted 19 February, 2023 Share Posted 19 February, 2023 3 hours ago, OttawaSaint said: Forest away late in the season. Reminds me of 97 we were bottom in April and went there (I was there!). Micky Evans double took us off the bottom, leapfrogging Forest (who eventually down). "We are staying up" being sung walking back. Good omen...? I was there and what an atmosphere that was. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttawaSaint Posted 19 February, 2023 Share Posted 19 February, 2023 6 minutes ago, Pilchards said: I was there and what an atmosphere that was. Epic wasn't it. I travelled down from Newcastle where I was attending Uni. Never forget a 50 50 between Stuart Pearce and Uli Van Gobbel. Ground was shaking! Great opener by Jim Magilton too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 19 February, 2023 Share Posted 19 February, 2023 34 minutes ago, Pilchards said: I was there and what an atmosphere that was. Me too. Great days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Garrett Posted 20 February, 2023 Share Posted 20 February, 2023 Put this on the Leeds thread, but probably should be here really... We can't just rely on the below home fixtures now IMO. We probably need roughly 22 points, maybe 20 depending on how many we'll need to stay up. My gut feeling is it'll be relatively high this season. Lets assume the ones I've highlighted we get 0 points...we need say 6 wins and a 4 draws from remaining 15 games. It's going to be incredibly tough to stay up from here without beating the teams around us. Home Games Leicester Brentford Spurs City - 0 Palace Bournemouth Fulham Liverpool - 0 Away Games Leeds Man Utd - 0 West Ham Arsenal - 0 Newcastle - 0 Forest Brighton We need to beat Leeds and Leicester IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chez Posted 20 February, 2023 Share Posted 20 February, 2023 16 minutes ago, Saint Garrett said: Put this on the Leeds thread, but probably should be here really... We can't just rely on the below home fixtures now IMO. We probably need roughly 22 points, maybe 20 depending on how many we'll need to stay up. My gut feeling is it'll be relatively high this season. Lets assume the ones I've highlighted we get 0 points...we need say 6 wins and a 4 draws from remaining 15 games. It's going to be incredibly tough to stay up from here without beating the teams around us. Home Games Leicester Brentford Spurs City - 0 Palace Bournemouth Fulham Liverpool - 0 Away Games Leeds Man Utd - 0 West Ham Arsenal - 0 Newcastle - 0 Forest Brighton We need to beat Leeds and Leicester IMO. Very hard to predict those other games. We have struggled to beat teams, so none are going to be easy, home or away. Our form and performances have been terrible, but if it improves (let's say we beat Leeds, confidence will start to come back) then games like Leicester will appear winnable, rather than daunting (as mist have recently). One game at a time. Leeds is huge. Win it, we join the pack and we get on a run. Lose and we are back to square one - relegation bound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OnceaSaintalwaysaSaint Posted 20 February, 2023 Share Posted 20 February, 2023 5 hours ago, Saint Garrett said: Put this on the Leeds thread, but probably should be here really... We can't just rely on the below home fixtures now IMO. We probably need roughly 22 points, maybe 20 depending on how many we'll need to stay up. My gut feeling is it'll be relatively high this season. Lets assume the ones I've highlighted we get 0 points...we need say 6 wins and a 4 draws from remaining 15 games. It's going to be incredibly tough to stay up from here without beating the teams around us. Home Games Leicester Brentford Spurs City - 0 Palace Bournemouth Fulham Liverpool - 0 Away Games Leeds Man Utd - 0 West Ham Arsenal - 0 Newcastle - 0 Forest Brighton We need to beat Leeds and Leicester IMO. With our new additions of Tall Paul and Sulemana and a fit Lavia bossing midfield, we are a solid mid table team. The hope has been restored. Barring possibly Brighton, we can beat any of those teams not zeroed. Tall Paul's hold up and laying off play is promising and we have better attacking options now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forester Posted 20 February, 2023 Share Posted 20 February, 2023 An obvious comment, but wins against rivals are much more valuable than us beating top half teams. Still have Palace, Leicester, Forest, Wet Spam, Leeds and Bournemouth to play. Win four of those and we have a great chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Matty 76 Posted 21 February, 2023 Share Posted 21 February, 2023 (edited) Few fixture changes. Bournemouth at home moved to a Tuesday night which is going to be a pain. An additional note about the Arsenal game as well - Friday 21 April 20:00 Arsenal v Southampton (Sky Sports)* *This will move to 23 April, 19:00, live on Sky Sports if Arsenal are involved in UEFA Europa League the Thursday before. This is also subject to Southampton's participation in FA Cup semi-finals Edited 21 February, 2023 by Saint Matty 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Garrett Posted 21 February, 2023 Share Posted 21 February, 2023 And city game might get moved back to Sat 8th… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wooley7 Posted 21 February, 2023 Share Posted 21 February, 2023 Looking at the three teams we can finish above, Palace are the team to come back in to it. Their fixtures over the next ten games are Split in two halves. Next 5 are very tough and it’s quite possible they could come out without any points. On the back of that they have 5 games against relegation rivals, with low confidence and the press speculating about the future of Viera the timing of their slump could really suck them in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintstowin Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 14 hours ago, Saint Garrett said: And city game might get moved back to Sat 8th… Do we know if that is the only date it could be moved to? So either it'll be the Sunday as now scheduled, or back to the Saturday? My son's football team have a coach load due to go to it. I'm assuming MC will progress but maybe then it depends on whether they are given the Tuesday CL fixture date not the Wednesday. What a mess these latest changes are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Garrett Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 (edited) 44 minutes ago, saintstowin said: Do we know if that is the only date it could be moved to? So either it'll be the Sunday as now scheduled, or back to the Saturday? My son's football team have a coach load due to go to it. I'm assuming MC will progress but maybe then it depends on whether they are given the Tuesday CL fixture date not the Wednesday. What a mess these latest changes are. I think it gets moved back to the Saturday, due to them playing on the following Tuesday. Not 100% sure though. It's an absolute shambles really. 4 games have been moved, and 3 of them might get moved again. Edited 22 February, 2023 by Saint Garrett 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRM Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 On 19/02/2023 at 18:51, OttawaSaint said: Epic wasn't it. I travelled down from Newcastle where I was attending Uni. Never forget a 50 50 between Stuart Pearce and Uli Van Gobbel. Ground was shaking! Great opener by Jim Magilton too. Great away day that one , what a legend Evans was, good Saints end 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRM Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 4 hours ago, Saint Garrett said: I think it gets moved back to the Saturday, due to them playing on the following Tuesday. Not 100% sure though. It's an absolute shambles really. 4 games have been moved, and 3 of them might get moved again. Couldn't believe it when I read the announcement, all over the place, Arsenal could be Friday night, but more likely SUNDAY NIGHT (good chance Arsenal progress in Europa) or even not at all if we're at Wembley in the semi final. If Arsenal does move to the Sunday then Bournemouth home on a Thursday night could be a big one , think I'd prefer that to the Tuesday. Man City really frustrating, will get short notice on whether Saturday or Sunday, depends on them going through in Europe but then also the draw / fixture schedule to see which day they play in the next round why not just put it on the Saturday now and remove all doubt West Ham moving to a Sunday might be better for the travelling fans with a train strike planned for the Saturday currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suhari Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 3 hours ago, JRM said: Great away day that one , what a legend Evans was, good Saints end Yep. I was there. Brilliant win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HedgeEnder Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 22 minutes ago, Suhari said: Yep. I was there. Brilliant win. I was there that day, great win. We were dead and buried before that game, the win sparked a brilliant recovery (I’m sure we pretty much won every game after that, losing to Villa on last day of season, could be wrong though my memory is crap these days 😂) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttawaSaint Posted 22 February, 2023 Share Posted 22 February, 2023 4 hours ago, JRM said: Great away day that one , what a legend Evans was, good Saints end Always rated Maik Taylor and felt he was hard done by to be relegated to #2 the season after. He was the better keeper. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rut Posted 12 March, 2023 Share Posted 12 March, 2023 Chelsea (A) - L (no - W)Leeds (A) - D (no - L)Leicester (H) - D (no - W)Man United (A) - L (no - D)Brentford (H) - L Thankfully you went for Saints to lose on Weds. Long may your very shitty predictions continue! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miltonaggro Posted 12 March, 2023 Share Posted 12 March, 2023 On 22/02/2023 at 22:12, OttawaSaint said: Always rated Maik Taylor and felt he was hard done by to be relegated to #2 the season after. He was the better keeper. Maik Taylor displaced by Dave Jones’ Stockport man, Paul Jones. Taylor should have been our no. 1 for a number of seasons - solid, strong keeper. Underatted. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 12 March, 2023 Share Posted 12 March, 2023 1 hour ago, Miltonaggro said: Maik Taylor displaced by Dave Jones’ Stockport man, Paul Jones. Taylor should have been our no. 1 for a number of seasons - solid, strong keeper. Underatted. Jones brought in his mate from Stockport.Taylor was a much better keeper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted 12 March, 2023 Share Posted 12 March, 2023 7 points from 4 matches ain't bad. Keep that ratio up for the last 12 games and we'll be laughing. Brentford, Spurs, West Ham, City in the next 4. 7 is doable but we'd need to learn how to attack. Much better from the defence though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suhari Posted 12 March, 2023 Share Posted 12 March, 2023 1 hour ago, Whitey Grandad said: Jones brought in his mate from Stockport.Taylor was a much better keeper. And don't forget Lee Todd...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 12 March, 2023 Share Posted 12 March, 2023 15 minutes ago, Suhari said: And don't forget Lee Todd...... Please, I was trying to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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