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Sheaf Saint
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1 hour ago, Weston Super Saint said:

You just wait!

You'll be proven wrong when we have a heatwave at some point later in the year.  Global warming will be the culprit for sure.

 

When temperature records are continually broken and the frequency/intensity of heatwaves increases as part of a clear trend over time, then yes you can blame it on global warming.

Just because it's raining and a bit nesh in Somerset in early May doesn't prove anything (what exactly is the point you're trying to make anyway?)

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2 hours ago, Fan The Flames said:

Not sure what your point is. From the link it says :

The terms “global warming” and “climate change” are sometimes used interchangeably, but "global warming" is only one aspect of climate change.

All I've asked is when does the good bit (warming) kick in?

if you don't know the answer, just say you don't know.

P.s someone else brought up climate change, not me, I'm just interested in the good bit. I thought I'd made that clear.

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On 21/11/2023 at 12:37, Sheaf Saint said:

Q&A: Warming of 2C would trigger ‘catastrophic’ loss of world’s ice, new report says - Carbon Brief

Global warming of 2C would see “extensive, long-term [and] essentially irreversible” losses from the Earth’s ice sheets and glaciers, warns a new report.

It would also lead to polar oceans that are “ice-free” in summer and suffering “essentially permanent corrosive ocean acidification”, the report says.

The 2023 “state of the cryosphere” report from the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative (ICCI) lays out the impacts on Earth’s frozen land and seas from sustained warming at 2C and the “catastrophic global damage” that would result.

These impacts would include “potentially rapid, irreversible sea level rise from the Earth’s ice sheets”, the report says, with a “compelling number of new studies” all pointing to thresholds of sustained ice loss for both Greenland and parts of Antarctica at well-below 2C.

This would commit the world to “between 12 and 20 metres” of sea level rise “if 2C becomes the new constant”.

If the UK does it's very best in reducing emissions how much of this 2C rise can they prevent and how much is that going to cost?

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10 hours ago, Turkish said:

That article says “weather” and you were accusing others of not knowing the difference between weather and global warming 🤦

See my subsequent post...

14 hours ago, Sheaf Saint said:

When temperature records are continually broken and the frequency/intensity of heatwaves increases as part of a clear trend over time, then yes you can blame it on global warming.

 

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1 minute ago, Sheaf Saint said:

See my subsequent post...

 

So what? It was pretty funny how you arrogantly dismissed him as not knowing the difference between climate change and weather yet when asked a direct question about climate change you responded with an article about weather. 🤣🤣🤣🤣

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3 hours ago, Picard said:

If the UK does it's very best in reducing emissions how much of this 2C rise can they prevent and how much is that going to cost?

https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/news/costs-and-benefits-of-the-uk-reaching-net-zero-emissions-by-2050-the-evidence/

Screenshot_20240503_074832_Chrome.thumb.jpg.665a364859bd7ac3ceb8858b52deff15.jpg

1% of GDP by 2050, compared to an estimated 4% of global economy by 2100 if we fail to act...

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/climate-economic-costs-rising-seas-will-be-steeper-than-thought

 

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1 hour ago, Sheaf Saint said:

When temperature records are continually broken 

 

Temperatures have been a lot, lot higher in the geological past. What you call ‘records’ are only relatively recent.

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14 hours ago, Weston Super Saint said:

Not sure what your point is. From the link it says :

The terms “global warming” and “climate change” are sometimes used interchangeably, but "global warming" is only one aspect of climate change.

All I've asked is when does the good bit (warming) kick in?

if you don't know the answer, just say you don't know.

P.s someone else brought up climate change, not me, I'm just interested in the good bit. I thought I'd made that clear.

I just thought you would be interested in the article given your passion for and razor sharp understanding of the subject.

You've probably read it already or even wrote it for all I know.

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Posted (edited)
52 minutes ago, Whitey Grandad said:

Temperatures have been a lot, lot higher in the geological past. What you call ‘records’ are only relatively recent.

Yes, but we don't have records for that, only inferences from proxy data.

And as badgerx16 points out, those higher temperatures have also coincided with much higher CO2 concentrations and sea levels. An example of this is the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), which was caused by a massive release of carbon into the atmosphere, likely from volcanic activity.

Edited by Sheaf Saint
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8 minutes ago, Sheaf Saint said:

Yes, but we don't have records for that, only inferences from proxy data.

And as badgerx16 points out, those higher temperatures have also coincided with much higher CO2 concentrations and sea levels. An example of this is the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), which was caused by a massive release of carbon into the atmosphere, likely from volcanic activity.

Could that volcanic activity happen again? And if so, how likely is it?

If so, would that render man's efforts to control CO2 redundant?

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49 minutes ago, Fan The Flames said:

I just thought you would be interested in the article given your passion for and razor sharp understanding of the subject.

You've probably read it already or even wrote it for all I know.

I enjoyed the article. Those spacemen really know how to write!  Fantastic stuff.

I also enjoy hypocrits getting agitated over the weather and climate.

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15 minutes ago, Weston Super Saint said:

Could that volcanic activity happen again? And if so, how likely is it?

If so, would that render man's efforts to control CO2 redundant?

Potentially, yes. There's no way of predicting super-volcanic eruptions with any degree of accuracy. And yes, if such an event were to occur, anthropogenic emissions would pale in comparison to the level of CO2 it would release. But we could be talking thousands or even millions of years in the future, so it doesn't negate the point of controlling our emissions in the here and now.

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2 minutes ago, Sheaf Saint said:

Potentially, yes. There's no way of predicting super-volcanic eruptions with any degree of accuracy. And yes, if such an event were to occur, anthropogenic emissions would pale in comparison to the level of CO2 it would release. But we could be talking thousands or even millions of years in the future, so it doesn't negate the point of controlling our emissions in the here and now.

Or we could be talking five, ten or twenty years. Or we could see a series of smaller volcanic eruptions giving the combined effect of a super volcano.

So many unknowns.

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6 hours ago, Weston Super Saint said:

Could that volcanic activity happen again? And if so, how likely is it?

If so, would that render man's efforts to control CO2 redundant?

1. Yes

2. Quite

3. Less relevant 

 

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7 hours ago, Weston Super Saint said:

Ps 3rd of May today - a relatively balmy 9 degrees and only drizzling this morning. Rumour has it the golden orb will make an appearance for an hour or so later.

Early May 1976.

Sunny and warm.

Early May 2024

Overcast, wet and miserable.

Global warming?

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On 03/05/2024 at 17:18, spyinthesky said:

Early May 1976.

Sunny and warm.

Early May 2024

Overcast, wet and miserable.

Global warming?

It was so humid on cup final day. Overcast ish too. Must have been all those planes criss-crossing Wembley pumping out chemtrails. 

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  • 1 month later...
28 minutes ago, sadoldgit said:

Met office figures are bullshit?

records dating back to 1884”
 

That doesn’t sound as alarming as “warmest on record”

The Met Office has an agenda. As does everybody. Always look behind the headlines.

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16 minutes ago, pingpong said:

What's your reason to disbelieve the data? (Is it your feelings?)

Crazy isn't it, the Met Office are just reporting the facts, what the temperature was and comparing it to previous years. And people claim these figures are bullshit, the only explanation is that Dell Daze must think the MO is making them up.

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18 minutes ago, Whitey Grandad said:

records dating back to 1884”
 

That doesn’t sound as alarming as “warmest on record”

The Met Office has an agenda. As does everybody. Always look behind the headlines.

Both are just statements of fact, neither are alarming, unless you are a bit delicate.

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Quote

Weatherwise, it has been a rubbish May. And it has been an abysmal spring. It has been cold and wet. And everyone knows it. But according to the Meteorological Office, the U.K. has just experienced its hottest ever May, and its hottest ever spring. As news reports and the Met Office’s own press release have correctly indicated, this “may come as a surprise” to many people who actually live here (rather than on the planet that the Met Office’s scientists inhabit). To those people, many of whom had their heating on for a good part of the month, the Met Office’s statement, as well as the “akshully…” news reports that claim to shed light on the difference between perception and reality, look like actual gaslighting. Even if the claim is true, which remains to be seen, what it reveals is the inadequacy of temperature as a metric on which U.K. climate and energy policy rests.

 

Quote

The Met Office’s charts for May and Spring show mean U.K. temperatures far in excess of what most people would expect. The mean temperature for May was a full degree warmer than the next warmest May in 2017. ‘Mean temperature’ is the average of the minimum and maximum temperatures recorded on one day. And the two extremes is obtained by averaging the highest and lowest temperatures of all stations in the MO’s network of weather stations. But as the following chart shows, while the max temperature is equal highest with 2018, it is the average minimum temperature which really makes May 2024 an outlier at 9°C, which is 1.2°C warmer than the next warmest average minimum, which was in May 2022.
Quote

 

wanted to see for myself how the raw data had been turned into this kind of zombie climate stat. It has been a long time since I bothered doing a deep dive into meteorological data, because it turns out that you do not need any kind of weather statistics to know, for absolute sure, that there is no ‘climate crisis’, so I haven’t felt the need. However, I was surprised to discover that data from the weather stations that are used in the Met Office’s analysis are not available to the public at higher than monthly resolution.

That’s a problem because in order to build an estimate of how useful minimum and maximum temperature data are, even in one location, never mind across an entire country, it would need to be compared to hourly data at a minimum. But not even daily data are available.

 

 

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6 minutes ago, AlexLaw76 said:

 

 

It takes ten minutes to read the MO report and it's states that the average temp has been affected by higher night time temperatures. So colder in the day warmer in the night, averaged out, warmer overall. Simple or is the climate irrelevant when you are asleep.

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22 minutes ago, Fan The Flames said:

It takes ten minutes to read the MO report and it's states that the average temp has been affected by higher night time temperatures. So colder in the day warmer in the night, averaged out, warmer overall. Simple or is the climate irrelevant when you are asleep.

Alexei is clued in to the fact that the Met Office is just a branch of the Ministry of Truth.

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59 minutes ago, Fan The Flames said:

Both are just statements of fact, neither are alarming, unless you are a bit delicate.

They aren’t alarming but the way they are reported is intended to be so.

The question is why so? There is an agenda at work here.

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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Whitey Grandad said:

They aren’t alarming but the way they are reported is intended to be so.

The question is why so? There is an agenda at work here.

It doesn't come across alarming, you are a climate change sceptic so maybe you are just too hyper vigilant.

Edited by Fan The Flames
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1 hour ago, Whitey Grandad said:

They aren’t alarming but the way they are reported is intended to be so.

The question is why so? There is an agenda at work here.

Genuinely interested to know what do you think the agenda is?

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4 hours ago, Fan The Flames said:

It takes ten minutes to read the MO report and it's states that the average temp has been affected by higher night time temperatures. So colder in the day warmer in the night, averaged out, warmer overall. Simple or is the climate irrelevant when you are asleep.

You appear to be questioning the validity of the the measurement for the hottest May ever. 
 

anyway I’m sure bexy will be along later with all his graphs to show us the facts

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15 minutes ago, Turkish said:

You appear to be questioning the validity of the the measurement for the hottest May ever
 

anyway I’m sure bexy will be along later with all his graphs to show us the facts

I really can't see how you get to that conclusion.

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Turkish said:

You appear to be questioning the validity of the the measurement for the hottest May ever. 
 

anyway I’m sure bexy will be along later with all his graphs to show us the facts

Happy to oblige

Graph showing May's mean temperature since 1884. The graph shows year-to-year variability, but a warming trend.

Source: Warm May and spring for the UK - Met Office

It really is very simple, except to those who refuse to see.

image.png.5f0cba6ab90104784c338052e3e3752e.png

Edited by Sheaf Saint
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1 minute ago, Weston Super Saint said:

Would the "warm, overnight temperatures" have been influenced by the cloudy, miserable, wet weather trapping the warmth, as opposed to cloudless skies letting it escape?

Very likely, yes.

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5 hours ago, Fan The Flames said:

It doesn't come across alarming, you are a climate change sceptic so maybe you are just too hyper vigilant.

Then ask yourself why it is released to the media?

Im not a climate change sceptic. Of course the climate is changing. It always has and it always will. 

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