tisspahars Posted 20 September, 2020 Share Posted 20 September, 2020 I really didn't think I'd get to do one of these this year, but thanks to our dismal return from the mini-break and the insatiable appetite from our fans to wet the bed.....here we are! 9/1 is the opening mark if you are that way inclined...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddeer Posted 20 September, 2020 Share Posted 20 September, 2020 Those odds will shorten quickly if we persist with this ultra high-line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spyinthesky Posted 20 September, 2020 Share Posted 20 September, 2020 I had us West Brom and Fulham down for relegation after the start to the season. Early doors atm but all these teams sit in the bottom three. Next week at Burnley may provide a clearer indication. If we were to lose Ings (or to a lesser extent JWP or Bertrand) then we are royally screwed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Give it to Ron Posted 21 September, 2020 Share Posted 21 September, 2020 Links any free bets anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so22saint Posted 21 September, 2020 Share Posted 21 September, 2020 19 hours ago, spyinthesky said: I had us West Brom and Fulham down for relegation after the start to the season. Early doors atm but all these teams sit in the bottom three. Next week at Burnley may provide a clearer indication. If we were to lose Ings (or to a lesser extent JWP or Bertrand) then we are royally screwed. My sister's mate went to school with Ings - says he's off to Man City in the next 2 weeks. I thought it was bobbins but then they need a temp striker and apparently Dings loves Manchester from his Burnley days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Give it to Ron Posted 21 September, 2020 Share Posted 21 September, 2020 Links any free bets anywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tisspahars Posted 27 September, 2020 Author Share Posted 27 September, 2020 Delighted with the 1-0 win, but now we'll never know if a 1-0 loss would have resulted in the first "That's it, we're down" of the season - may well have done imo. Out to 12/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Wayman Posted 27 September, 2020 Share Posted 27 September, 2020 Burnley, West Ham & Fulham for the drop and Brighton next up just! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DT Posted 28 September, 2020 Share Posted 28 September, 2020 On 21/09/2020 at 16:15, so22saint said: My sister's mate went to school with Ings - says he's off to Man City in the next 2 weeks. I thought it was bobbins but then they need a temp striker and apparently Dings loves Manchester from his Burnley days Why would Ralph be at pains to stress that he's not, then? Seems a bit weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so22saint Posted 28 September, 2020 Share Posted 28 September, 2020 23 minutes ago, DT said: Why would Ralph be at pains to stress that he's not, then? Seems a bit weird. Agreed. I'm hoping it's BS obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Keef Posted 28 September, 2020 Share Posted 28 September, 2020 (edited) Man City are desperate for a striker. They pay silly money for just about every player they buy. Another £65m today for Ruben Dias, another defender, from Benfica. But they really really really do need a striker. So they can have Danny Ings for, say..... £200m......and for another £50m they can have Carrillo as back up.........and with that £250m they have actually just bought Southampton FC...... OK I know they can't own more than one PL club, but change their owner's name slightly and the PL will never see through it. I mean, they sanctioned Gao didn't they? Now, where did I leave that Jack Daniels? Edited 28 September, 2020 by Saint Keef Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Garrett Posted 29 September, 2020 Share Posted 29 September, 2020 On 27/09/2020 at 20:09, Charlie Wayman said: Burnley, West Ham & Fulham for the drop and Brighton next up just! West Ham won't go down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skintsaint Posted 2 October, 2020 Share Posted 2 October, 2020 Fulham, Sheff Utd & West Brom will drop this season I think...basically based on the first few games! 😆 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tisspahars Posted 6 October, 2020 Author Share Posted 6 October, 2020 For some reason our price was unchanged after the West Brom win - still 12/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintJackoInHurworth Posted 6 October, 2020 Share Posted 6 October, 2020 Three from four for me: Fulham, West Brom, Sheff Utd and Burnley. Brighton could also be dragged into it, but I don't think they will. West Ham, Newcastle, Palace, Leeds & Villa will be in the next tranche of clubs moving up the table. Above them will be Saints and Wolves filling the 9th and 10th places and then above them in the top 8 will be the usual top 6 plus Leicester and Everton. Liverpool and Man City will again be the top two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeremy Corbyn Posted 6 October, 2020 Share Posted 6 October, 2020 I think Brighton look pretty good, albeit form is temporary. Burnley sound like they're a mess, I could see SD walking and them dropping like a stone. I would say them and Fulham and West Brom is a safe bet, expect Wilder will graft SU out of trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John D Posted 6 October, 2020 Share Posted 6 October, 2020 I predict top 2 will be City and Liverpool CL places will be between Chelsea, Arsenal and Spurs with Leicester, Man Utd and Everton scrapping for Europa spot Wolves, West Ham, Newcastle, Palace, Leeds, Villa and Saints to all finish mid table. Bottom five between Brighton, Sheff Utd, Burnley, Fulham and West Brom with the latter 3 all going down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BallBoy Posted 6 October, 2020 Share Posted 6 October, 2020 I just wish West Ham, Burnley and any other except Saints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Le God Posted 19 October, 2020 Share Posted 19 October, 2020 West Brom, Fulham, Sheff Utd and Burnley are all terrible. I'm confident Saints won't be anywhere near a relegation battle in terms of points this season. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRM Posted 19 October, 2020 Share Posted 19 October, 2020 I'd say it's too early to call, thought West ham would be in the relegation mix after first couple of games, now they're a euro contender. Just need to put a few results together and league changes quickly. Title odds will be interesting, looks like a two horse race between Everton and Aston Villa as things stand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypochondriac Posted 19 October, 2020 Share Posted 19 October, 2020 7 minutes ago, JRM said: I'd say it's too early to call, thought West ham would be in the relegation mix after first couple of games, now they're a euro contender. Just need to put a few results together and league changes quickly. Title odds will be interesting, looks like a two horse race between Everton and Aston Villa as things stand. Why would you draw any conclusions after 5 games? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 19 October, 2020 Share Posted 19 October, 2020 It’s early days, but that bottom four do look pretty poor. As a whole - disregarding the games they’ve played against each other - their combined record over 15 matches is W 0 D 1 L 14. It’s fair to say that 0.067 points per game against the top 16 is probably relegation form. Long way to go, but I don’t remember Saints being quite this bad in the early matches in our first year back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 20 October, 2020 Share Posted 20 October, 2020 2 hours ago, Matthew Le God said: I'm basing it on player quality, not just form in a small sample of games. If not them as the bottom 4... then who else? Well, if you derive implied probabilities from bookies’ odds then you have Newcastle at 3/1, Brighton at 4/1 and Palace at 5/1 to go down. If my maths are correct, that equates to a 50.2% chance that at least one of these three will be relegated....and therefore a higher chance that one of these three will end up in the bottom four. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWar Posted 20 October, 2020 Share Posted 20 October, 2020 (edited) 11 hours ago, SaintBobby said: Well, if you derive implied probabilities from bookies’ odds then you have Newcastle at 3/1, Brighton at 4/1 and Palace at 5/1 to go down. If my maths are correct, that equates to a 50.2% chance that at least one of these three will be relegated....and therefore a higher chance that one of these three will end up in the bottom four. It's exactly 50% but your maths is sound. Incidentally how do you ignore someone? Edited 20 October, 2020 by TWar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lighthouse Posted 20 October, 2020 Share Posted 20 October, 2020 Turkish, MLG, you’ve got your own special thread to play in. If that’s not enough then find another forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted 20 October, 2020 Share Posted 20 October, 2020 19 hours ago, hypochondriac said: Why would you draw any conclusions after 5 games? Exactly. Listening to Talksport earlier and they were discussing Villa winning the title. If that happens, I'm a baboon's butt. Even Cundy last night was listing half the Premier League that could win it. (Saints were not one of them). Far too many people jumping the gun this early into the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turkish Posted 20 October, 2020 Share Posted 20 October, 2020 4 hours ago, Lighthouse said: Turkish, MLG, you’ve got your own special thread to play in. If that’s not enough then find another forum. So when I said a asking a mod would be more of a sensible option than Jesus to sort out a forum posting spat I was right. Thank you for proving me right lighthouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 22 October, 2020 Share Posted 22 October, 2020 Might be that the top of the table is mad and close this season and the relegation scrap involving way fewer teams. I agree it’s hard to see Villa winning the league, but the 3/1 on it being any team other than Man City or Liverpool is pretty tempting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony F Posted 23 October, 2020 Share Posted 23 October, 2020 Fulham 1/3 West Brom 8/13 Burnley 11/8 Sheffield Utd 11/8 Newcastle 9/4 Crystal Palace 7/2 Brighton 9/2 West Ham 13/2 Leeds 12/1 Southampton 14/1 Aston Villa 22/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony F Posted 23 October, 2020 Share Posted 23 October, 2020 Odds according to Skybet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skintsaint Posted 23 October, 2020 Share Posted 23 October, 2020 Leeds might be worth a go at for $20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 24 October, 2020 Share Posted 24 October, 2020 13 hours ago, skintsaint said: Leeds might be worth a go at for $20. Remind me to ask you for your lottery numbers - and to avoid them! 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilchards Posted 24 October, 2020 Share Posted 24 October, 2020 On 06/10/2020 at 16:31, John D said: I predict top 2 will be City and Liverpool CL places will be between Chelsea, Arsenal and Spurs with Leicester, Man Utd and Everton scrapping for Europa spot Wolves, West Ham, Newcastle, Palace, Leeds, Villa and Saints to all finish mid table. Bottom five between Brighton, Sheff Utd, Burnley, Fulham and West Brom with the latter 3 all going down Very much how I see it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skintsaint Posted 25 October, 2020 Share Posted 25 October, 2020 On 24/10/2020 at 11:41, SaintBobby said: Remind me to ask you for your lottery numbers - and to avoid them! 🙂 38 games in a season mate. Think Leeds will run out of puff around Xmas and drop. Might be wrong..$20 isn't much if I am! 😄 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JRM Posted 31 October, 2020 Share Posted 31 October, 2020 Looks like 7 or 8 points could be enough to stay up this season 😄 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 6 November, 2020 Share Posted 6 November, 2020 Going to stick a tenner on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 7 November, 2020 Share Posted 7 November, 2020 We are about 120/1 to win the league and 66/1 to go down. Not sure when our odds to win the league were less than half of our odds to go down? (unless both were mathematically impossible). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint_clark Posted 7 November, 2020 Share Posted 7 November, 2020 If you were going to lay heavy on it, £100 or £200 say, now would be the time to do it. A drop in form and us falling down the table again would see the cashout shoot up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 8 November, 2020 Share Posted 8 November, 2020 The bottom four are still looking hopeless against the top 16. Played 25....Won 0 Drawn 3 Lost 22...For 16 Against 54 Points per game = 0.12 In the unikely event that this dismal form continues all season, the bottom four will each pick up 3 or 4 points on average against the top 16 over the whole season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Le God Posted 8 November, 2020 Share Posted 8 November, 2020 On 07/11/2020 at 07:27, Saint_clark said: If you were going to lay heavy on it, £100 or £200 say, now would be the time to do it. A drop in form and us falling down the table again would see the cashout shoot up. Or you could not burn £200. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tisspahars Posted 15 February, 2021 Author Share Posted 15 February, 2021 Well hello again.......80/1 on Betfair for those who thought our great run was always going to end but our losing streak will obviously just keep going forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whelk Posted 15 February, 2021 Share Posted 15 February, 2021 Down from 350/1. Although must admit I am willing the bottom 3 to lose so not totally complacent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint_Tony Posted 16 February, 2021 Share Posted 16 February, 2021 I'm one of the most pessimistic fans I know, but seriously, we could almost stay up on 29 points. Fulham are so great they have won 3 games all season. We could lose our next 10 games, in which Ralph would be gone, and a new manager could scrape a couple of wins. It's likely to be a dire end to the season, but we have overperformed. Look at our net spend and what we have spent. You have the big six then the likes of Everton, West Ham and Leicester who operate a level above and will now spend £40-£50m on players. Our top end is £20million. It's frustrating, but that's where we are. We have no right to be better than the likes of even Newcastle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Singapore Saint Posted 17 February, 2021 Share Posted 17 February, 2021 16 hours ago, Saint_Tony said: We could lose our next 10 games, in which case Ralph would be gone, and a new manager could scrape a couple of wins. Will Ralph really be gone if we lose the next 10 games? He seems to be concubine no. 1 for half the fan base and the club have not issued the poisonous statement, "We have every faith in him." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevy777_x Posted 17 February, 2021 Share Posted 17 February, 2021 4 minutes ago, Singapore Saint said: Will Ralph really be gone if we lose the next 10 games? He seems to be concubine no. 1 for half the fan base and the club have not issued the poisonous statement, "We have every faith in him." Ralph is good manager and we are lucky to have him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Singapore Saint Posted 17 February, 2021 Share Posted 17 February, 2021 7 minutes ago, stevy777_x said: Ralph is good manager and we are lucky to have him Call me controversial but I'd have Puel back in a heartbeat. He knew how to pace a game, keep a tight defence and grind out wins, which is more than can be said for your beloved Ralph. Ralph is a one-trick pony who has been fortunate to have Armstrong, Ings and JWP who happens to be on form with his freekicks. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noodles34 Posted 17 February, 2021 Share Posted 17 February, 2021 5 hours ago, stevy777_x said: Ralph is good manager and we are lucky to have him We’re not lucky to have him FFS. 9 out of 10 managers would have been gone after a Leicester last season as the subsequent Everton results. Even more so with a dicking at OT and losing a club record six in a row. seriously, he’s lucky to be in a job, most wouldn’t be. im not advocating his dismissal but to say, “we’re lucky to have him....” you will have to explain that one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint lard Posted 17 February, 2021 Share Posted 17 February, 2021 9 hours ago, stevy777_x said: Ralph is good manager and we are lucky to have him Give your head a wobble fella. he’s contributing big time to some humiliating statistics in our clubs history. he might be great with more resources at his disposal.....but any manager would be that’s just the law of averages. but right now he’s mediocre at best. he seems to be getting a free pass with many,and those people are just blindly blaming gao. im not saying get shot of Ralph....but he’s more than culpable for a string of dire performances and results. many other gaffers would be gone. perhaps he’s lucky we are potless....so we can’t afford to fire him. that’s something those who hold him in such high regard should high fiving Gao for perhaps.....being skint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris cooper Posted 17 February, 2021 Share Posted 17 February, 2021 24 minutes ago, saint lard said: Give your head a wobble fella. he’s contributing big time to some humiliating statistics in our clubs history. he might be great with more resources at his disposal.....but any manager would be that’s just the law of averages. but right now he’s mediocre at best. he seems to be getting a free pass with many,and those people are just blindly blaming gao. im not saying get shot of Ralph....but he’s more than culpable for a string of dire performances and results. many other gaffers would be gone. perhaps he’s lucky we are potless....so we can’t afford to fire him. that’s something those who hold him in such high regard should high fiving Gao for perhaps.....being skint. Ralph Hilariously being linked with the spuds job and on a short list on news now page If jose gets the bullet! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tisspahars Posted 24 February, 2021 Author Share Posted 24 February, 2021 50/1 post Leeds which, to those insistent that we are clearly slap-bang in the middle of a dogfight, must seem er, huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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