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Posted

The Betfair market is only settled if a manager completes 10 games in charge which means you have the bizarre situation where you can currently back Mark Hughes to be next Saints manager at around 4/6 despite the fact that he already is! Working out if that is a good or bad price is a particularly salty problem imo. I think we can be pretty sure he will complete 8 games but you then have to factor in the likelihood of whether we stay up or not and whether that makes him more likely to stay or not. For an odds addict like me it is, as I say, a fascinating one.

Posted

Does it include cup games? In which case if we beat Wigan, he'll have managed for 10 games (8 league games + 2 cup games) even if he gets the boot at the end of the season.

Posted
The Betfair market is only settled if a manager completes 10 games in charge which means you have the bizarre situation where you can currently back Mark Hughes to be next Saints manager at around 4/6 despite the fact that he already is! Working out if that is a good or bad price is a particularly salty problem imo. I think we can be pretty sure he will complete 8 games but you then have to factor in the likelihood of whether we stay up or not and whether that makes him more likely to stay or not. For an odds addict like me it is, as I say, a fascinating one.

 

Surely if we win on Sunday and make the semis that’ll be 10?

Posted
No, league games only.

 

Bet Victor have paid out on him within 5 mins of the announcement. Gotta watch some of these bookies, a bet that’s not particularly fair !

Posted

I’ve been trying to work out why they’ve not paid out today but doesn’t the below suggest the 10 game rule only applied for ‘interim’, ‘temporary’ or ‘caretaker’ managers?

 

3a81447b0f804fb558c37dcda199772b.jpg

 

 

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Posted

No it means they don't settle on someone described as interim manager unless he completes 10 games, but also the same for someone described as permanent.

Posted
The Betfair market is only settled if a manager completes 10 games in charge which means you have the bizarre situation where you can currently back Mark Hughes to be next Saints manager at around 4/6 despite the fact that he already is! Working out if that is a good or bad price is a particularly salty problem imo. I think we can be pretty sure he will complete 8 games but you then have to factor in the likelihood of whether we stay up or not and whether that makes him more likely to stay or not. For an odds addict like me it is, as I say, a fascinating one.

 

So what happened with C Palace and de Boer?

Posted
No it means they don't settle on someone described as interim manager unless he completes 10 games, but also the same for someone described as permanent.

 

Is that captured in the rules elsewhere then?

 

I can’t see how someone described as permanent falls within para 1 or 2 of my screenshot

 

Sorry if being thick..

 

 

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Posted
So what happened with C Palace and de Boer?

He wasn't described as interim, caretaker or temporary so they'd have paid out despite him getting the boot after 4 games. The issue is when someone described as an interim, caretaker or temporary boss manages for less than 10 league games.

Posted
Is that captured in the rules elsewhere then?

 

I can’t see how someone described as permanent falls within para 1 or 2 of my screenshot

 

Sorry if being thick..

 

 

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

He's not being described as permanent but 'until the end of the season' which is covered in brackets in para's 1 & 2 : http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/43403577

 

 

Also para 4 relies on official info from the club : https://southamptonfc.com/news/2018-03-14/announcement-mark-hughes-new-southampton-manager

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