david in sweden Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 the big question now has to be....Is the recent run of 5 games - a revival of fortunes, "a new dawn" or just a pleasant blip in an otherwise "indifferent" season? Perhaps the next 5 games will give us an answer. Swansea (A) Chelsea (H) Bournemouth (A) Sunderland (H) Stoke (A) IMHO .....10- 12 points would keep us in the running. Good results at Man U and Arsenal make a pleasant change of fortune, but now we face a string of teams who are below us in the league. One wonders how long the clean sheets will continue?, but after the inevitable 95 minutes are up, it's the points tally that counts. The defence seems to have clicked-in OK, but we are still woefully lacking goal-power away from home. Perhaps by the time we return fron the Stoke fixture, we'll know...which was the wind is blowing. ...Will it end with more Europa League action, or will it go down as a season of mid-table mediocrity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheaf Saint Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 With our recent form and results, we have no reason to fear any of those opponents. I would say the trickiest of them is Stoke away, as they are normally an incredibly difficult team to beat at the Britannia, although Everton made them look poor today so they are clearly beatable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
um pahars Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 the big question now has to be....Is the recent run of 5 games - a revival of fortunes, "a new dawn" or just a pleasant blip in an otherwise "indifferent" season? Perhaps the next 5 games will give us an answer. Swansea (A) Chelsea (H) Bournemouth (A) Sunderland (H) Stoke (A) IMHO .....10- 12 points would keep us in the running. Good results at Man U and Arsenal make a pleasant change of fortune, but now we face a string of teams who are below us in the league. One wonders how long the clean sheets will continue?, but after the inevitable 95 minutes are up, it's the points tally that counts. The defence seems to have clicked-in OK, but we are still woefully lacking goal-power away from home. Perhaps by the time we return fron the Stoke fixture, we'll know...which was the wind is blowing. ...Will it end with more Europa League action, or will it go down as a season of mid-table mediocrity? I think 8 or 9 would be a decent return, but given our recent form I could imagine us looking for more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toomer Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Swansea win Chelsea win Bournemouth draw Sunderland win Stoke draw Am I expecting a little bit to much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Swansea W Chelsea D Bmouth D Sunderland W Stoke D 9 points I reckon we will be sixth after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
positivepete Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Based on corresponding fixtures we are on course for only 51 points this season, but in the same way we dropped off last year when Forster was injured, our form is improving with his return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 (edited) Swansea win Chelsea win Bournemouth draw Sunderland win Stoke draw Am I expecting a little bit to much. Yes. If this season has taught us anything it us that everyone is wildly inconsistent, except Leicester. Can't see us going ten unbeaten. We will be terrible and lose to someone sometime - at least one of Chelsea, Sunderland, Stoke. Either way it is looking very good for us to finish top eight again now which would be quite something. Edited 7 February, 2016 by CB Fry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simo Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Just keep churning out the clean sheets and the points will take care of themselves! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cat Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 By the time we play Stoke they will be out of their slump. Bournemouth could go either way, Chelsea too. Swansea have picked up a bit and could hold us to a draw. I'd be happy with 8-9 points from those games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Fan CaM Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws and a loss which I think will be a resurgent Chelski. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miltonaggro Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Swansea win Chelsea win Bournemouth draw Sunderland win Stoke draw Am I expecting a little bit to much. Second that as an optimist, would set us up very nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalek2003 Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 3 points off the magic 40 point mark. We should be safe after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 3 points off the magic 40 point mark. We should be safe after that. At which point the Dalek comedy roadshow rolls on to you hilariously pretending you think we are going to finish up with stupidly low points totals. Don't tell me, we'll relax and finish up on 45 points. Oh how we will laugh and laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trader Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 3 points off the magic 40 point mark. We should be safe after that. We're safe now - 37 points will be good enough to stay up this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Lej Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 A reasonably accurate way of looking at what the safety points total will be at the end of the season is to look at how many points per game the team in 18th currently has (Norwich - 23 from 25 games) and add a point per game to the end of the desk. which is usually fairly reliable to giving you the points total of the team in 18th at end of season. This would therefore be 36 points, so it's probable that 37 points will see you safe at the end of the season. Of course if everyone at the bottom wins next weekend, you can re-calculate using this simple method. Simple but effective Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whelk Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 We're safe now - 37 points will be good enough to stay up this season. Think 2 or at most 3 have gone down on 37 points in last 10 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Munster Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Yes. If this season has taught us anything it us that everyone is wildly inconsistent, except Leicester. Can't see us going ten unbeaten. We will be terrible and lose to someone sometime - at least one of Chelsea, Sunderland, Stoke. Either way it is looking very good for us to finish top eight again now which would be quite something. Villa have been fairly consistent this season too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cat Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 At which point the Dalek comedy roadshow rolls on to you hilariously pretending you think we are going to finish up with stupidly low points totals. Don't tell me, we'll relax and finish up on 45 points. Oh how we will laugh and laugh. Put him on ignore then. Your posts responding to his are just as formulaic and pointless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lets B Avenue Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Put him on ignore then. Your posts responding to his are just as formulaic and pointless. Where as your riposte to him is a shining beacon of wit and sagacity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurosaint Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 3 points off the magic 40 point mark. We should be safe after that. Yeah, then roll on August and you can start the same old bollarks all over again ! We're all looking forward to it, no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Put him on ignore then. Your posts responding to his are just as formulaic and pointless. Yet another post from you complaining about me responding to Dalek. Give it a rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cat Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Where as your riposte to him is a shining beacon of wit and sagacity. Eh? I didn't reply to Dalek's post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Biscuits Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 One game at a time, aiming for three points from each. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalek2003 Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Put him on ignore then. Your posts responding to his are just as formulaic and pointless. I would be very happy if CB Fry did put me on ignore. In fact, he might do quite a few people a favour if he put them on ignore, then we could say goodbye to his constant trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winnersaint Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 I would be very happy if CB Fry did put me on ignore. In fact, he might do quite a few people a favour if he put them on ignore, then we could say goodbye to his constant trolling. What and leave you and Alps as chief trolls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kingsland Red Posted 7 February, 2016 Share Posted 7 February, 2016 Based on corresponding fixtures we are on course for only 51 points this season, but in the same way we dropped off last year when Forster was injured, our form is improving with his return. Positivepete, - 53 points, not 51: We had 24 points after 19 games. Using 24 points as our second half 'total' we have gained / lost the following: Norwich -3; Watford +2; West Brom +2, Man U +3; Arsenal -2; West Ham +3 29 points QED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fan The Flames Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 Last season we got 60 points so we need 7 wins and 3 draws to beat that tally, that's three losses only. Season before we got 56 so we need 6 wins and 2 draws to beat it, that's 5 losses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gingeletiss Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 Where as your riposte to him is a shining beacon of wit and sagacity. Loving this word! sagacity səˈɡasɪti/ noun the quality of being sagacious. "a man of great political sagacity" synonyms: wisdom, (deep) insight, intelligence, understanding, judgement, acuity, astuteness, insight, sense, canniness, sharpness, depth, profundity, profoundness, perceptiveness, penetration, perception, percipience, perspicuity, discernment, erudition, learning, knowledgeability, thoughtfulness; raresapience "a man of great sagacity" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WALK DMC Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 The recent performances have been very positive and it is great to start looking up the table rather than down. However, the stat that we have only scored 2 goals in our last 5 away games is something that needs to be put right (and has been an issue most of the season). Unless this improves, we will struggle to get into a European position. I think that the game on Saturday is a great opportunity to see if our recent form has masked a fundamental issue that has yet to be addressed. Nobody expects us to score a hat full at Old Trafford or Emirates, but Swansea are not at the same level and we have to win this type of match if we are to climb further up the league. Fingers crossed, that we see a decent 2-0 victory on Saturday..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chez Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 if we are the mid table side that the season to date suggests, then we shouldn't be surprised if our form goes again. Having said that, perhaps the new formation, the players coming back from injury, and the new players finding their feet might all add up to us being a little more than a mid table side. Fine lines, and unlike earlier in the season we are falling the right side of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Give it to Ron Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 3 points off the magic 40 point mark. We should be safe after that. Norwich are nowhere near 40 points! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintTex Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 Southampton Title Chances http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/Southampton.html We have a better odds of 4th place than relegation, so why don't we talk about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintTex Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 So far ~~ 25 matches | 37 points = 1.48 points a game if we carry our season average of 1.48 over our last 13 games we'll have : 19 points 37 points + 19 points = 56 points. on pace to finish with 56 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cabrone Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 Who knows, this has been a complete funfair ride of a season. Since Newcastle (a) our form has been .........won 1 in 8 -> unbeaten in 8 -> won 1 in 10 -> unbeaten in 5 with 5 clean sheets. Funny old season so far. The only thing I am confident of is we're not going to get relegated.......I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Lej Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 Two seasons ago at this point we had 36 points from 25 games (W9 D9 L7). So we are 1 point ahead at the moment. Last season we had a massive 46 points but fell away a bit, as we know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angelman Posted 8 February, 2016 Share Posted 8 February, 2016 As has been brought up, you can't really compare seasons like for like, as other clubs have changed as well. If they had all stood still, then the variables wouldn't be there and you could, but they haven't and you can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whelk Posted 9 February, 2016 Share Posted 9 February, 2016 3 points off the magic 40 point mark. We should be safe after that. Surprised to see such a complacent attitude. West Ham may have thought that and look where they slept walked in 2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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