Chez Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 What a gimp taking selfies in a pink T-shirt. I bet the 340 that voted for him instantly regretted it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holepuncture Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Said it would happen, and that they'd get some of Labour's vote too. I wonder how much they'll grab from other parties. http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/05/06/general-election-britain-first-facebook_n_7226226.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Worry now is a Conservative majority... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Worry now is a Conservative majority... In real terms, it will be. Just discussed it on BBC. Sinn Fein won't turn up, so the Tories have enough. [if exit polls are correct etc] Lib Dems, UKIP, SNP, all irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pap Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Terrible night for Labour and the LibDems if the exit polls are accurate. Also suggests that the opinion polls, including Lord Ashcroft's aren't worth the paper their written on. I think Ed Milliband performed better than a lot of people thought during the campaign. But if they end up with less seats, then he'll be out. He won't be around if Labour "lose", especially if they lose to the extent suggested by the exit polls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 In real terms, it will be. Just discussed it on BBC. Sinn Fein won't turn up, so the Tories have enough. [if exit polls are correct etc] Lib Dems, UKIP, SNP, all irrelevant. DUP will support most Tory policies anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 7 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Would be very surprised if this exit poll is accurate. Agree with Alastair Campbell (amongst others) that it doesn't feel right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twiggy Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 What I can't understand with this exit poll is the fact that they sampled roughly 20,000 people. The sample size in comparison to the population in its entirety is tiny, and if it was done in a scientific report and submitted to a committee for publishing, it would be laughed at and rejected because the ratio is obscene and assumptions cannot be made. So why is this different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitey Grandad Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 I'm a wait and see sort of person. Well, ladies and gentlemen, it has been a great pleasure debating with you all over the last few interminable weeks and you have made the long wait all the more interesting. Whatever the result I'm sure we shall all be back soon enough putting the country to rights. A very good evening to you all And so to bed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KelvinsRightGlove Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 He won't be around if Labour "lose", especially if they lose to the extent suggested by the exit polls. How many leaders (Tory/Labour) survive an election they didn't win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Would be very surprised if this exit poll is accurate. Agree with Alastair Campbell (amongst others) that it doesn't feel right. It reckon it will be. It's a massive sample and it's people immediately after they've actually voted. Basically it pis ses all over the other polls in terms of sample size and methodology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 It reckon it will be. It's a massive sample and it's people immediately after they've actually voted. Basically it pis ses all over the other polls in terms of sample size and methodology. That was a good article explaining it earlier, you may want to post it again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pap Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 How many leaders (Tory/Labour) survive an election they didn't win? Kinnock survived an election loss in the 1980s. Went on to fight, and lose the sequel. Rocky it was not. He didn't survive the 1992 loss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pap Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Nick Robinson sounds like he's on forty B&H a day. Or Sean Dyche's voice double. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Duckhunter Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Worry now is a Conservative majority... Worry for Cameron. He'd rather have a coalition with cleggy than the right wing of his own party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
holepuncture Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Nick Robinson sounds like he's on forty B&H a day. Or Sean Dyche's voice double. Throat cancer you c*nt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Five years ago I am pretty sure the exit poll puzzlement was around "but everyone loves Nick Clegg, how have they lost seats?". They lost seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 7 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 7 May, 2015 (edited) Lord Ashcroft exit poll better for Labour: Con 34%, Lab 31%, Ukip 14%, Lib Dems 9%, Greens 7%. (12,000 sample size) Edited 7 May, 2015 by trousers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KelvinsRightGlove Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Kinnock survived an election loss in the 1980s. Went on to fight, and lose the sequel. Rocky it was not. He didn't survive the 1992 loss. Ok. None since I've been alive then (sorry). Wouldn't fancy them odds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pastor Patrón Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Team UKIP, lets go guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypochondriac Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Ok. None since I've been alive then (sorry). Wouldn't fancy them odds You weren't alive in 92? God I feel old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KelvinsRightGlove Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 You weren't alive in 92? God I feel old. Sorry, my post may have been misleading. '92 I was, but I was 3. So probably not much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Throat cancer you c*nt. Lung cancer wasn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lighthouse Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 You weren't alive in 92? God I feel old. Give it a year or 2 and we will have players in Saints first team born in the year 2000. That REALLY makes me feel old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Boy Saint Posted 7 May, 2015 Share Posted 7 May, 2015 Give it a year or 2 and we will have players in Saints first team born in the year 2000. That REALLY makes me feel old. Where's that Whisky bottle!!!???!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 7 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 7 May, 2015 (edited) Tories comfortably hold Labour target seat Swindon North. Crucially, the result is in line with the exit poll prediction. Swindon North result: CONS: 50.3% (+5.7) LAB: 27.8% (-2.7) UKIP: 15.4% (+11.7) LD: 3.3% (-14.0) GRN: 3.3% (+2.3) Opinion polls leading up to the election predicted a 3% - 4% swing to Labour in this seat, but instead its a 5% swing to the Tories.... Edited 7 May, 2015 by trousers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 8 May, 2015 @robindbrant Millionaire @UKIP donor and campaigner arron banks tells BBC he thinks @conservatives have won Thanet south #ge2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pap Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Lung cancer wasn't it? Didn't know about either. Sorry Nick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonnyboy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 @robindbrant Millionaire @UKIP donor and campaigner arron banks tells BBC he thinks @conservatives have won Thanet south #ge2015 Well that's one plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Duckhunter Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Its looking like 1992 all over again, even had the Welsh Windbag calling the voters " self deluded" . Gonna stay up and watch the lefties cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Battersea, another Labour target, has 2% swing to the Tories. Again, backs up the exit poll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Labour hold Wrexham but with 3% swing to Tories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Farage loses he resigns. Every cloud and all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Well this is all very boring so far. Just for entertainment, a few predictions: Tories to win Southampton Itchen Labour to win Southampton Test, run fairly close. Tories to win with around 300 seats. UKIP with a paltry 1 seat. Greens zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pap Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Farage loses he resigns. Every cloud and all that. Bring on the ultra-capable UKIP second stringers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Duckhunter Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Bring on the ultra-capable UKIP second stringers! What happened when the charismatic Salmond stood down from SNP leadership? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Its looking like 1992 all over again, even had the Welsh Windbag calling the voters " self deluded" . Gonna stay up and watch the lefties cry. I've not had a good protest in a while. Best get to finding one through the tears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonnyboy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Its looking like 1992 all over again, even had the Welsh Windbag calling the voters " self deluded" . Gonna stay up and watch the lefties cry. Farage looking close to tears and throwing toys at the tabloids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smirking_Saint Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Tories looking like they've nicked eastleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 8 May, 2015 (edited) One of Labour's top targets Nuneaton comfortably held by Tories. Goes completely against pre-election polls. Edited 8 May, 2015 by trousers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crab Lungs Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 "One person watching with interest is David Blunkett" Did he mean to say that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crab Lungs Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Tories looking like they've nicked eastleigh Oh yes, Mims Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Now where did I leave those placards... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Some pundits now predicting an overall Tory majority Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Some pundits now predicting an overall Tory majority :scared::scared: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Some pundits now predicting an overall Tory majority I'd like that. Save a whole lot of fancying around and hysterical journalism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sour Mash Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Bring on the ultra-capable UKIP second stringers! Woolfe, Nuttall etc would have much more populist appeal than Farage, continue to take votes from 'traditional' Labour sources. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bridge too far Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Woolfe, Nuttall etc would have much more populist appeal than Farage, continue to take votes from 'traditional' Labour sources. Whilst I obviously profoundly disagree with all that UKIP stands for, I think Woolfe is a sophisticated operator and I would suggest a strong candidate to replace Farage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Whilst I obviously profoundly disagree with all that UKIP stands for, I think Woolfe is a sophisticated operator and I would suggest a strong candidate to replace Farage. Hear hear. Which is a hideous, sickening thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sour Mash Posted 8 May, 2015 Share Posted 8 May, 2015 Hear hear. Which is a hideous, sickening thought. What on earth are you going on about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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