Chez Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 What a gimp taking selfies in a pink T-shirt. I bet the 340 that voted for him instantly regretted it.
holepuncture Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Said it would happen, and that they'd get some of Labour's vote too. I wonder how much they'll grab from other parties. http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/05/06/general-election-britain-first-facebook_n_7226226.html
CB Fry Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Worry now is a Conservative majority... In real terms, it will be. Just discussed it on BBC. Sinn Fein won't turn up, so the Tories have enough. [if exit polls are correct etc] Lib Dems, UKIP, SNP, all irrelevant.
pap Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Terrible night for Labour and the LibDems if the exit polls are accurate. Also suggests that the opinion polls, including Lord Ashcroft's aren't worth the paper their written on. I think Ed Milliband performed better than a lot of people thought during the campaign. But if they end up with less seats, then he'll be out. He won't be around if Labour "lose", especially if they lose to the extent suggested by the exit polls.
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 In real terms, it will be. Just discussed it on BBC. Sinn Fein won't turn up, so the Tories have enough. [if exit polls are correct etc] Lib Dems, UKIP, SNP, all irrelevant. DUP will support most Tory policies anyway.
trousers Posted 7 May, 2015 Author Posted 7 May, 2015 Would be very surprised if this exit poll is accurate. Agree with Alastair Campbell (amongst others) that it doesn't feel right.
Twiggy Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 What I can't understand with this exit poll is the fact that they sampled roughly 20,000 people. The sample size in comparison to the population in its entirety is tiny, and if it was done in a scientific report and submitted to a committee for publishing, it would be laughed at and rejected because the ratio is obscene and assumptions cannot be made. So why is this different?
Whitey Grandad Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 I'm a wait and see sort of person. Well, ladies and gentlemen, it has been a great pleasure debating with you all over the last few interminable weeks and you have made the long wait all the more interesting. Whatever the result I'm sure we shall all be back soon enough putting the country to rights. A very good evening to you all And so to bed...
KelvinsRightGlove Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 He won't be around if Labour "lose", especially if they lose to the extent suggested by the exit polls. How many leaders (Tory/Labour) survive an election they didn't win?
CB Fry Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Would be very surprised if this exit poll is accurate. Agree with Alastair Campbell (amongst others) that it doesn't feel right. It reckon it will be. It's a massive sample and it's people immediately after they've actually voted. Basically it pis ses all over the other polls in terms of sample size and methodology.
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 It reckon it will be. It's a massive sample and it's people immediately after they've actually voted. Basically it pis ses all over the other polls in terms of sample size and methodology. That was a good article explaining it earlier, you may want to post it again...
pap Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 How many leaders (Tory/Labour) survive an election they didn't win? Kinnock survived an election loss in the 1980s. Went on to fight, and lose the sequel. Rocky it was not. He didn't survive the 1992 loss.
pap Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Nick Robinson sounds like he's on forty B&H a day. Or Sean Dyche's voice double.
Lord Duckhunter Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Worry now is a Conservative majority... Worry for Cameron. He'd rather have a coalition with cleggy than the right wing of his own party.
holepuncture Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Nick Robinson sounds like he's on forty B&H a day. Or Sean Dyche's voice double. Throat cancer you c*nt.
CB Fry Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Five years ago I am pretty sure the exit poll puzzlement was around "but everyone loves Nick Clegg, how have they lost seats?". They lost seats.
trousers Posted 7 May, 2015 Author Posted 7 May, 2015 (edited) Lord Ashcroft exit poll better for Labour: Con 34%, Lab 31%, Ukip 14%, Lib Dems 9%, Greens 7%. (12,000 sample size) Edited 7 May, 2015 by trousers
KelvinsRightGlove Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Kinnock survived an election loss in the 1980s. Went on to fight, and lose the sequel. Rocky it was not. He didn't survive the 1992 loss. Ok. None since I've been alive then (sorry). Wouldn't fancy them odds
hypochondriac Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Ok. None since I've been alive then (sorry). Wouldn't fancy them odds You weren't alive in 92? God I feel old.
KelvinsRightGlove Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 You weren't alive in 92? God I feel old. Sorry, my post may have been misleading. '92 I was, but I was 3. So probably not much better.
Unbelievable Jeff Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Throat cancer you c*nt. Lung cancer wasn't it?
Lighthouse Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 You weren't alive in 92? God I feel old. Give it a year or 2 and we will have players in Saints first team born in the year 2000. That REALLY makes me feel old.
John Boy Saint Posted 7 May, 2015 Posted 7 May, 2015 Give it a year or 2 and we will have players in Saints first team born in the year 2000. That REALLY makes me feel old. Where's that Whisky bottle!!!???!!!
trousers Posted 7 May, 2015 Author Posted 7 May, 2015 (edited) Tories comfortably hold Labour target seat Swindon North. Crucially, the result is in line with the exit poll prediction. Swindon North result: CONS: 50.3% (+5.7) LAB: 27.8% (-2.7) UKIP: 15.4% (+11.7) LD: 3.3% (-14.0) GRN: 3.3% (+2.3) Opinion polls leading up to the election predicted a 3% - 4% swing to Labour in this seat, but instead its a 5% swing to the Tories.... Edited 7 May, 2015 by trousers
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Posted 8 May, 2015 @robindbrant Millionaire @UKIP donor and campaigner arron banks tells BBC he thinks @conservatives have won Thanet south #ge2015
pap Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Lung cancer wasn't it? Didn't know about either. Sorry Nick!
Jonnyboy Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 @robindbrant Millionaire @UKIP donor and campaigner arron banks tells BBC he thinks @conservatives have won Thanet south #ge2015 Well that's one plus.
Lord Duckhunter Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Its looking like 1992 all over again, even had the Welsh Windbag calling the voters " self deluded" . Gonna stay up and watch the lefties cry.
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Posted 8 May, 2015 Battersea, another Labour target, has 2% swing to the Tories. Again, backs up the exit poll.
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Posted 8 May, 2015 Labour hold Wrexham but with 3% swing to Tories.
Jack Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Well this is all very boring so far. Just for entertainment, a few predictions: Tories to win Southampton Itchen Labour to win Southampton Test, run fairly close. Tories to win with around 300 seats. UKIP with a paltry 1 seat. Greens zero.
pap Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Farage loses he resigns. Every cloud and all that. Bring on the ultra-capable UKIP second stringers!
Lord Duckhunter Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Bring on the ultra-capable UKIP second stringers! What happened when the charismatic Salmond stood down from SNP leadership?
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Its looking like 1992 all over again, even had the Welsh Windbag calling the voters " self deluded" . Gonna stay up and watch the lefties cry. I've not had a good protest in a while. Best get to finding one through the tears
Jonnyboy Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Its looking like 1992 all over again, even had the Welsh Windbag calling the voters " self deluded" . Gonna stay up and watch the lefties cry. Farage looking close to tears and throwing toys at the tabloids.
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Posted 8 May, 2015 (edited) One of Labour's top targets Nuneaton comfortably held by Tories. Goes completely against pre-election polls. Edited 8 May, 2015 by trousers
Crab Lungs Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 "One person watching with interest is David Blunkett" Did he mean to say that?
Crab Lungs Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Tories looking like they've nicked eastleigh Oh yes, Mims
trousers Posted 8 May, 2015 Author Posted 8 May, 2015 Some pundits now predicting an overall Tory majority
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Some pundits now predicting an overall Tory majority :scared::scared:
Jack Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Some pundits now predicting an overall Tory majority I'd like that. Save a whole lot of fancying around and hysterical journalism.
Sour Mash Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Bring on the ultra-capable UKIP second stringers! Woolfe, Nuttall etc would have much more populist appeal than Farage, continue to take votes from 'traditional' Labour sources.
bridge too far Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Woolfe, Nuttall etc would have much more populist appeal than Farage, continue to take votes from 'traditional' Labour sources. Whilst I obviously profoundly disagree with all that UKIP stands for, I think Woolfe is a sophisticated operator and I would suggest a strong candidate to replace Farage.
Twiggy Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Whilst I obviously profoundly disagree with all that UKIP stands for, I think Woolfe is a sophisticated operator and I would suggest a strong candidate to replace Farage. Hear hear. Which is a hideous, sickening thought.
Sour Mash Posted 8 May, 2015 Posted 8 May, 2015 Hear hear. Which is a hideous, sickening thought. What on earth are you going on about?
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