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Southampton can't finish in the top 4!


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SOUTHAMPTON CAN'T FINISH IN THE TOP 4!

 

Often heard around various watering holes. We're here to throw some sexy stats at those folk:

 

Our record with our strongest back 5 this season (Boruc, Clyne, Fonte, Lovren and Shaw) was: P15 W8 D5 L2.

 

That equates to a top 4 finish in 13 of the last 15 Premier League seasons. Top 3 finish in 5 of the last 15 and 2nd in 3 of the last 15.

 

Our home record with those five is even more impressive: P7 W5 D2 L0 Scored 14 Conceded 4. We were also #1 for possession in the Premier League this season. #2 in the table including only England goals and #18 worldwide for World Cup reps in Brazil.

 

From all of the above, we'd say that the European dream isn't impossible. It's entirely possible. Some quality depth to cover for injury and we're right in the mix.

 

So f**k the rumours and keep that half-full glass close by.

The Saints are coming.

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Thats all well and good if;

 

A. It doesnt go to pot when your prefered choices are injured.

B. We can consistantly stick the ball in the back of the net (we cant)

C. We manage to hold on to our best players

 

So, if we manage that ? And sign able deputants or invest in more 1st team quality (effectively doing the same thing) then maybe just maybe we will become more of a nuissance to the top 6 but make no mistake that takes a big financial clout that I fear we dont have.

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Thats all well and good if;

 

A. It doesnt go to pot when your prefered choices are injured.

B. We can consistantly stick the ball in the back of the net (we cant)

C. We manage to hold on to our best players

 

So, if we manage that ? And sign able deputants or invest in more 1st team quality (effectively doing the same thing) then maybe just maybe we will become more of a nuissance to the top 6 but make no mistake that takes a big financial clout that I fear we dont have.

 

A: We briefly mentioned. We're not living in fantasy land and hoping that those 5 play all 38 games this season, no hope. Just that we need reasonable back up in a few positions. That wouldn't cost the world. It certainly would cost less than losing our stars, our team spirit and getting relegated..We're an optimistic bunch down under.

 

B: That was factored in. Although Jay Rod's injury and Osvaldo being a c**t doesn't help things. 4 of those 8 wins were 1-0. Good enough for me.

 

C: The idea here. Rather than sell the farm, keep them together and aim for the stars. They're all under contract as far as I'm aware.

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Interesting stats and backs up my personal opinion which is that our First XI is Champions League quality already. The problem, as is obvious, is that we simply don't have the depth at GK, striker and centre back ( and arguably attacking mid) to maintain that form over a season.

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Interesting stats and backs up my personal opinion which is that our First XI is Champions League quality already. The problem, as is obvious, is that we simply don't have the depth at GK, striker and centre back ( and arguably attacking mid) to maintain that form over a season.

 

Pretty much this.

 

And the catch 22 is that it's nigh on impossible to attract "champions league quality" players to sit on the bench at a club like Southampton.

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Back up GK LB CB Winger and maybe CF if we can offload Osvaldo, and we can finish top 6, each postion would cost 5-6 mill max, some would even be frees or loans.

 

This season i am a firm believer we would of beaten Cardiff if Jay Rod was fit and Villa away, as we lacked his pace and power, add them extra 5 points on and were going into the UTD game knowing a win takes us above them, there is very little we need to add, to ensure another top 8 finish and maybe sneak a 6th place finish with luck on the injury front.

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It's perfectly possible if the club is prepared to spend 80 - 100m on transfers and wages to give us enough squad depth to challenge for those extra 20 points we need.

 

All your stats show is we finished where we deserve to finish. Good, but nowhere near good enough.

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Anyone brave enough to do the stats for games where at least 2 of those 5 weren't playing?

 

Alas, the chap that used to provide those kind of stats on a regular basis has been banned.... ;)

Edited by trousers
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It's perfectly possible if the club is prepared to spend 80 - 100m on transfers and wages to give us enough squad depth to challenge for those extra 20 points we need.

 

All your stats show is we finished where we deserve to finish. Good, but nowhere near good enough.

 

Doesn't it indicate that our results dropped away so sharply because we didn't have the depth in defence? Meaning that if similar quality was available in reserve (entirely possible) the total would've more than likely been much higher. It's a hypothetical, but surely holds some weight.

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Anyone brave enough to do the stats for games where at least 2 of those 5 weren't playing?

 

P16 W3 D5 L8

 

From the games below results were respectable when both Yoshida and Chambers played together: W3 D1 L1 (Omitting the two draws highlighted with an asterisk)

 

So if we exclude those games that leaves us with: W0 D2 L7 (Omitting the two draws highlighted with an asterisk)

 

Norwich 1-0 Southampton: Boruc, Lovren, Fonte, Fox, Chambers

Arsenal 2-0 Southampton: Boruc, Lovren, Fonte, Shaw (Davis – 45’,) Hooiveld

Southampton 1-1 Man City: Gazzaniga, Lovren, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

Newcastle 1-1 Southampton: Gazzaniga, Lovren, Hooiveld, Shaw, Chambers

Southampton 2-3 Spurs: Gazzaniga, Lovren, Hooiveld, Fox (Gallagher – 78’) , Chambers

Cardiff 0-3 Southampton: Gazzaniga, Yoshida, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

Everton 2–1 Southampton: Davis, Lovren, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

Southampton 0–3 Chelsea: Davis, Lovren, Fonte, Shaw (Clyne – ’45) Chambers

Sunderland 2-2 Southampton: Boruc, Lovren (Yoshida – 88’) Fonte, Shaw, Chambers *Goals conceded with 4/5 defenders

Southampton 2-2 Arsenal: Boruc, Yoshida, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

Fulham 0-3 Southampton: Boruc, Yoshida, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers (Clyne – 58’)

Southampton 2-2 Stoke: Boruc, Yoshida, Fonte, Shaw, Clyne (Chambers – 80’) *Goals conceded with 4/5 defenders

Hull 0-1 Southampton: Boruc, Yoshida, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

West Ham 3-1 Southampton: Boruc, Yoshida, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

Man City 4-1 Southampton: Gazzaniga, Lovren, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers

Southampton 0-1 Cardiff: Gazzaniga, Lovren, Fonte, Shaw, Chambers (Clyne – 67’)

 

We also lost 3-2 to Villa when Yoshida was pushed to left back

 

Southampton 2-3 Aston Villa: Boruc, Lovren, Yoshida, Clyne (Fonte – 59’)

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Remember I was thinking that with Big Vic protecting the back four even Hooiveld looked decent in that game...

 

Yep, he had a torrid opening 10 mins - they hit the bar, coming in off our left and had another very good chance down the same side; but he calmed down immeasurably after that.

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