Jump to content

View from West Ham..


Saint Garrett
 Share

Recommended Posts

That is not really mathmatically safe in the accepted sense - ie impossible, mathmatically - but who cares.

 

We've been safe since New Years day.

 

We've got as much chance of going down as Man United.

 

I fully expect to be lamblasted for this comment and for it be brought up again and again and again as "evidence" of how stupid i am. That's how it works on here right?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We've got as much chance of going down as Man United.

 

I fully expect to be lamblasted for this comment and for it be brought up again and again and again as "evidence" of how stupid i am. That's how it works on here right?

 

To be fair, Manure are over the 40 point mark and we are not so they should be safe and we are not !

Link to comment
Share on other sites

To be fair, Manure are over the 40 point mark and we are not so they should be safe and we are not !

 

Blackadder telegram to Charlie Chaplin "please, please, please, stop".

 

Are you really unable to see that with 12 games to go and the bottom 3 on 24 points and under and twelve teams below Saints that we won't be caught by enough teams to send us down even if we lose every remaining game and stay on 39 points?

 

Surely you are more intelligent than that? For your own sake I hope you are on a pointless windup rather than actually believe it! Although as you repeat this nonsense every single year that in itself is also a concern.

 

Do you get a kick out of bites you get? Like the one I've just given you. Just give it up ffs and be positive in a golden spell for your club.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree entirely, but it's an interesting point. There must be some way of feeding all remaining fixtures into an equation, with all possible outcomes, and ending with a final minimum points figure which would guarantee safety regardless of what else happens. I'm hopeless at maths, maybe we should ask Bletch ;)

 

It can be solved in excel using the "solver" add in...

 

It would require some time on someones part and little bit of know how, but shouldn't be too difficult.

 

Ultimately, you would have input all remaining fixtures, then set the solver to maximize the value of the 18th placed team and allow it to auto compute the results. (Not that the table would obviously fluctuate with each permutation so the objective would simply be to maximize the cell value for points at league position 18. You'd have to do some look ups to make the league table function.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Blackadder telegram to Charlie Chaplin "please, please, please, stop".

 

Are you really unable to see that with 12 games to go and the bottom 3 on 24 points and under and twelve teams below Saints that we won't be caught by enough teams to send us down even if we lose every remaining game and stay on 39 points?

 

Surely you are more intelligent than that? For your own sake I hope you are on a pointless windup rather than actually believe it! Although as you repeat this nonsense every single year that in itself is also a concern.

 

Do you get a kick out of bites you get? Like the one I've just given you. Just give it up ffs and be positive in a golden spell for your club.

 

Oh come on, I was not really being serious, surely you could see that ! As for being positive, read around I am positive but there many who are not at the moment.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes, I know. Thats why I say mathematically. Mathematically they would continue the same win ratio.

 

So pretty much useless though in asking the question are we statistically safe ie no permutations in which we could go down on 39pts

As evry team can potentially gain a further 36pts I am sure that all bar 2 could pass 39pts quite easily.

 

Tis what the bbc predicter was for if anyone could be arsed, or if it still exists?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So pretty much useless though in asking the question are we statistically safe ie no permutations in which we could go down on 39pts

As evry team can potentially gain a further 36pts I am sure that all bar 2 could pass 39pts quite easily.

 

Tis what the bbc predicter was for if anyone could be arsed, or if it still exists?

 

For all the teams below us to surpass 39 points it would mean a large number of upsets during the rest of the season. It simply won't happen as the large number of teams below us will either be taking points off each other, or facing the likes of Man City, Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal, Spurs, Everton, Newcastle and Man Utd in their remaining 12 games.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

For all the teams below us to surpass 39 points it would mean a large number of upsets during the rest of the season. It simply won't happen as the large number of teams below us will either be taking points off each other, or facing the likes of Man City, Chelsea, Liverpool, Arsenal, Spurs, Everton, Newcastle and Man Utd in their remaining 12 games.

 

Yes, we know. The likelihood of Saints going down this season is on a par with the likelihood of my mrs going down on me when it isn't my birthday. However, I'd have thought that at least you, being the resident statto, would see some interest value of taking all remaining fixtures and working out the number of points required statistically to stay up (fnarr fnarr) regardless of any combination of results. In fact, it had occurred to me that clubs might already use such a system when deciding on whether/when to sack their managers during the course of a season.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So, anyway.... West Hams view

 

Seems they find us calling Jay Rodriguez "JRod" embarrassingly childish, yet they blow bubbles at their games. Right then.

 

Oh the irony of advert with a Mj chimp in it next to your post

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Are people really still talking about being safe.... OMG! Let just see if we can get 6th. Everton and Man U fail to win today and we pick up 3 points, it will look back on! COYR!!!!

 

Oh and for your information and you may not like it, but Nolan is West Ham's best player.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...