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Posted

not that we are in any real danger at all. Just curious

 

37 points would have got you safe by 1 point last season.

I think with this season being as close as it is at the bottom and with teams like arsenal, city and chelsea not really dropping as many points against the rest.

 

I think 34 may even be enough this season

 

tis a very close league this season.

unless you are 9th :lol:

Posted
38 same as always.

 

The bottom 3 have 18 points from 22 games and you think they are going to getting roughly 20 points from the 16 remaining games? Plus those above them would also need to pick up their form in order for enough teams to get more than 37 points.

Posted
The bottom 3 have 18 points from 22 games and you think they are going to getting roughly 20 points from the 16 remaining games? Plus those above them would also need to pick up their form in order for enough teams to get more than 37 points.

 

 

so as I said 38 points is enough to stay up, don't know why we're worrying about it anyway. The question should be how many we need to get 8th place.

Posted

if current points per game are expanded over the rest of the season, the table would look like this, obviously some teams will go on a bad runs and some on good runs so.

 

(totals are rounded up/down)

 

Saints - 53 pts - (1.4 ppg)

Villa - 41 - (1.09 ppg)

Hull - 40 - (1.04 ppg)

Stoke - 40 - (1.04 ppg)

Norwich - 40 - (1.04 ppg)

Swansea - 38 - (1 ppg)

WBA - 38 - (1 ppg)

Palace - 35 - (0.9 ppg)

Fulham - 33 - (0.86 ppg)

Sunderland - 31 - (0.81 ppg)

West Ham - 31 - (0.81 ppg)

Cardiff - 31 - (0.81 ppg)

 

Going by that it looks like the bar for staying up will be pretty low.

Posted

On their present points per game tally, the bottom three will finish the season on 31 points each.

 

I think 32 or 33 will probably be enought to stay up.

Posted

In the last 10 seasons the points to finish safe have been 37 37 40 31 35 37 39 35 34. Based on this season so far I would think that 35 would almost certainly be safe - it's perm any 3 from all of the teams below us.

Posted

Have to take into account that teams with nothing to play for eg us newcastle towards the end of the season will give up points to those with a huge desire for them. Thats how wigan survived for so many years]

Posted
Few more wins and we're there. Hopefully end of February and we're done but I'm sure we won't make it easy for ourselves.

 

this. Knowing us, we'll make a meal out of it.

 

Anyway, based on the table so far, around 35 odd points might see you through. As long as West Ham go down, I couldn't care anymore.

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