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Were your pre-season predictions worse than El Tel's?


SaintBobby
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I'll refrain from commenting until I've seen what I said on the SaintsWeb season preview, which I think mentioned both Swansea and West Brom struggling under new managership. :blush: Tbf though, we all knew that was going to be wrong after a couple of games.

 

At least I didn't continue that delusion all season like Lawrenson, whose predictions, done on a WEEKLY basis, if compiled into a league saw QPR top half and Swansea relegated. :D

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Will always remember Venables as the England manager when Matt was on fire and who never gave him a chance.

 

He always struck me as having a pretty closed view of the world, you were either part of his 'in' crowd or not.

 

Tragically for England Matt was not and the rest is history.

 

Sounds like his disdain for this club lingers.

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'He's a football manager so knows more than any nobber on some forum', so the argument goes. It's almost as if predictions aren't help by a complete lack of research or thought isn't it.

 

It is of course cobblers - if anything a footballer manager (current) is in a worse place to make judgement because they have too much information at their disposal and too many biases and relationships with people still involved in the process, and it's easier to make overall judgements from a high level view. Of course there's a flip side, knowing how the likes of Steve Clarke is suited to management could be an advantage...

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Will always remember Venables as the England manager when Matt was on fire and who never gave him a chance.

 

He always struck me as having a pretty closed view of the world, you were either part of his 'in' crowd or not.

 

Tragically for England Matt was not and the rest is history.

 

Sounds like his disdain for this club lingers.

 

Sounds like a criticism that can be aimed at all national managers, and nothing to do with Saints at all. It's easy to predict that a twice-promoted team isn't going to stay up - my favourites for relegation next season at the moment are the three promoted clubs for a start, and we don't even know who one of them is yet ! Along with Sunderland...

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Hmmm, a rank correlation coefficient of 0.675 is fairly bad really, especially if you discount both Manchester clubs as finishing 1 and 2 (that drops it to 0.556) and take into account that he supposedly knows what he is talking about.

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I've had no respect for his judgement ever since he paid £1 to buy the Skates and didn't expect to have change from the transaction.

 

But regarding his predictions for this past season, I expect that he'll be a bit reticent to step up to the plate predicting next season's placings, as he will come in for massive ridicule on how badly wrong he was here.

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To be fair, no one can predict league positions with the greatest accuracy before a season even starts.

 

It's a pointless excercise.

 

Agreed. El Tel is a pointless dinosaur but have a look at any such pre-season prediction and there will likely be at least a major gaffe or two. Not worth getting in a huff about, I'd suggest.

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I've had no respect for his judgement ever since he paid £1 to buy the Skates and didn't expect to have change from the transaction.

 

But regarding his predictions for this past season, I expect that he'll be a bit reticent to step up to the plate predicting next season's placings, as he will come in for massive ridicule on how badly wrong he was here.

 

 

No he won't. I doubt he even remembers what he predicted in the most part and if he's still writing for the sun, he'll get the same gig again next season. Gaurenteed that there will have been hundreds of pundits, writers, bloggers etc doing these type of start of season predictions and very very few will have got close to the actual league table.

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To be fair, no one can predict league positions with the greatest accuracy before a season even starts.

 

It's a pointless excercise.

 

Top 6 shouldn't have been too difficult, one of the bottom 3 at least was going to come from the promoted teams, as for the rest, well no-one guessing anyone from 9th-17th was far out and with the margins being only 5 points across half the league pretty much anything in that pile would be close.

 

When it comes down to it, anyone who said WBA/Swansea/West Ham would do well, that Man U would win the title and that QPR and Wigan would go down has got all there was to predict.

 

Unfortunately for me, West Brom and Swansea were the two I thought would struggle. :D

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One of the old school of managers and players who don't keep up with the modern game and like to spout off about little Southampton, or brave Swansea without ever getting off their lazy arses and watching some games. Bit like the current England manager, in fact.

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