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40/1 to be relegated currently on Betfair.


tisspahars

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Why is everyone so sure we'll stay up?

 

I'm not saying this just to wine on about us going down (as usual) but as a genuine question.

 

I've heard on this forum, from mates, overhearing conversations on away coaches etc. that people 'never thought we'd go down' in 04/05 and that everyone 'thought we'd beat United easily' on the last day of the season.

 

Just wondering why this is?

 

We go on and on about other teams being 'arrogant, deluded' etc. but do we just all collectively rate our squad, players and team TOO highly?

 

I'm guilty of this too as I feel we've got a much better team than pretty much every other team from 10th down in the Prem, so why haven't we been able to convert our quality on paper to quality on grass?

 

The first 6 games perhaps can be described as 'Us finding our feet' and 'having a very tough first 6 games' but after that I don't really understand why we've struggled with the squad we've got?

 

But here we are with 2 games left, 4 points clear of the relegation zone (it'll probably be 1 point clear at this time tomorrow).

 

Is it just 'typical Saints' or do we expect too much of our young squad?

 

Everyone?? Behave. That was the first year of the Prem that I genuinely believed we were going down. We were just awful. That last min Everton goal. Surrendering a 2-0 lead to Boro in 90th minute. Capitulating from 2-0 up against Villa. The whole David Prutton suspension debacle. We were so panicky at the back under any kind of pressure, even though our forwards actually weren't that bad.

 

Even then, finishing bottom, we were only 2 points away from safety.

 

 

 

Anyway, hopefully the panic-merchants will be allayed after today's result. I'm really looking forward to us giving Sunderland and Stoke a damn good game.

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Odd that we are still only 40/1 to get relegated

 

The accumulator on Wigan winning both games and Saints losing both is over 260/1 ( source oddschecker)

So if any pessimist really wants to hedge then do it this way.

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Odd that we are still only 40/1 to get relegated

 

The accumulator on Wigan winning both games and Saints losing both is over 260/1 ( source oddschecker)

So if any pessimist really wants to hedge then do it this way.

 

 

I suppose that doesnt take Norwich or the Toon into account.

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Odd that we are still only 40/1 to get relegated

 

The accumulator on Wigan winning both games and Saints losing both is over 260/1 ( source oddschecker)

So if any pessimist really wants to hedge then do it this way.

 

It seems to me that the bookies have set these long odds to entrap the nervous and/or innumerate. The individual match odds are about 500/1 or more on Saints going down.

 

Similarly, Fulham are still being quoted at 100/1 to go down - but they are 100% safe as long as they don't lose their last two games by a combined total of 12 goals. Even if they did so, they'd probably stay up. The real odds of Fulham going down must be something like 10,000/1 or more.

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Odd that we are still only 40/1 to get relegated

 

The accumulator on Wigan winning both games and Saints losing both is over 260/1 ( source oddschecker)

So if any pessimist really wants to hedge then do it this way.

 

 

113/1 last time I looked at Betfair; when I was working out the odds of us going down and Wigan winning 12-0 against Villa

 

123/1 today

 

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation/best-odds

Edited by Window Cleaner
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Bookies aren't stupid, otherwise they would be poor. A couple of them quote 40/1 so all the numpties climb in at 100/1 with the other bookies and think they've got a bargain.

 

Indeed. The wisest bet today right now would be a bundle on Wigan to be relegated with Betfair. It's a horse past the post and 8/25 seems generous to me. Won't get those odds come a quarter to 5 today.

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