BBC Predictor

[Thedelldays]

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm

 

do it..

 

despite my thinking we are not very good...I have us staying up with a defeat at sunderland and staying up on 36 points...

 

some of the others down here have some very tough games...I tried to be a little more generous to them and a little more harsh on us

I even had us lose 3 games in a row (liverpool, chelsea, reading)

 

the 9 points I had us getting

 

win - QPR, West Ham

Draw - Norwich, WBA, Stoke

Edited 24 February, 2013 by Thedelldays

[NorthamSteve]

I have us finishing pretty clear of relegation, and West Ham going down(!) Also, Spurs finishing only 3 points behind City for 2nd.

[Shroppie]

I had us on 38 points and quite comfortable. Wigan, Aston Villa and QPR to go down (Reading close). We finish above West Ham.

[KelvinsRightGlove]

I have us finishing pretty clear of relegation, and West Ham going down(!) Also, Spurs finishing only 3 points behind City for 2nd.

 

Does that mean Utd are going down too?

[SaintIT]

You probably already know of this site. Updated each matchday.

 

http://www.dectech.co.uk/football_sites/football_dectech/

 

You can select end of season predictions and up and coming games from the menu on the left hand side.

[Jimmy_D]

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/Premier.html

 

This one is good as well.

 

Uses previous results to estimate strength and simulates all remaining fixtures two million times.

 

The numbers are percentages that the team finished in that position.

 

They also do League One

 

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/LeagueOne.html

[Appy]

Reading, Villa and QPR go down on mine.

 

Had spurs 2nd, but then realised City miss a game on there.

[trousers]

I always find myself predicting an above average number of draws (for all teams) on these predictor things on the basis that where you get two relatively equally matched teams (on paper) the most logical prediction is a draw.

 

I tried to be harsher on us and not so on our bottom half of table competitors but still had us coming out in 11th (on 41 points - probably far too high in the table for that points total due to the aforementioned over emphasis on draws).

 

I had Villa, Reading and QPR relegated on 35, 32 and 35 points respectively.

 

I think what struck me most of all is that I'd rather have our run in to the those of the teams around us. Our home games vs Stoke and West Brom seem to come at just the right time (yes, I know there's no such thing as an easy game in the prem but those two at home but be the least daunting on paper)

 

edit: Wigan, West Ham, Man Utd and Man City come out with just 37 games after updating all the results...

Edited 25 February, 2013 by trousers

[110_Persaint]

Down on 35 points with Villa and QPR

 

Had us beating West Ham and Liverpool at home, while drawing with West Brom, Stoke, and QPR. Pessimistic yes but all my other predictions were very reasonable.

[KelvinsRightGlove]

Down on 35 points with Villa and QPR

 

Had us beating West Ham and Liverpool at home, while drawing with West Brom, Stoke, and QPR. Pessimistic yes but all my other predictions were very reasonable.

 

Considering you clearly don't know the meaning of 'reason', I'd imagine this is doubtful.

[trousers]

Down on 35 points with Villa and QPR

 

Had us beating West Ham and Liverpool at home, while drawing with West Brom, Stoke, and QPR. Pessimistic yes but all my other predictions were very reasonable.

 

That would give us 36 points, not 35...

[110_Persaint]

That would give us 36 points, not 35...

sorry typo it was in fact 36. Wigan stay up on goal difference (I overestimated their victories since they seem to be resounding when they do win).

[Turkish]

QPR, Reading and villa to go down, Wigan send Villa down with a last day win over them. Had us to finish 13th on 41 points, ahead of Sliding down the table Norwich on goal difference. Wins for us against QPR, West Ham, West Brom and Stoke. Us to be mathmatically safe with 2 games to spare.

[badgerx16]

Saints on 41 - wins aginst QPR, West Ham, West Brom, and an end of season celebration against Stoke.

 

Reading, Wigan, and QPR go down

[110_Persaint]

Saints on 41 - wins aginst QPR, West Ham, West Brom, and an end of season celebration against Stoke.

 

Reading, Wigan, and QPR go down

How did you keep Villa up? You have a soft spot for them or just being overly generous?

[badgerx16]

How did you keep Villa up? You have a soft spot for them or just being overly generous?

 

I think I was harsh on Wigan.

[NorthamSteve]

Does that mean Utd are going down too?

 

Now, that is a very good crack a comedy. Keep trying.

 

If it isn't, GCSE English might help, or a book on grammar.

[Charlie Wayman]

sorry typo it was in fact 36. Wigan stay up on goal difference (I overestimated their victories since they seem to be resounding when they do win).

 

At last, somebody who doesn't view everything with rose tinted specs. I fear you are right and Saints will be relegated simply because we throw so many points away from winning positions. Other teams around us are less eye-catching but seem to know better how to win even with less skilful players.

[SaintIT]

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/England/Premier.html

 

This one is good as well.

 

/QUOTE]

 

Thanks. Good it explains how its done too.

[Saint Garrett]

Basically says if we win 3 more games then we should be fine. Big step towards staying up would be a win Saturday !!

[hutch]

89.4% chance of staying up

[110_Persaint]

Post-Norwich: DOWN on 34 pts. Beat West Ham, draw with Albion, Reading and Stoke. Lose all the rest.

[saints_is_the_south]

I think we'll beat Reading, West Ham & Stoke,

Draw with West Brom & Sunderland.

Lose to Liverpool, Chelsea, Swansea and Spurs.

 

39 points total.

[Glasgow_Saint]

Ouch..... Have us relegated by a ingle point. Wish i didnt do that

 

Feel worse now

[110_Persaint]

Ouch..... Have us relegated by a ingle point. Wish i didnt do that

 

Feel worse now

Don't feel so down mate, keep the faith we have a tactical genius at the helm!!

[Horley CTFC Saint]

I think we'll beat Reading, West Ham & Stoke,

Draw with West Brom & Sunderland.

Lose to Liverpool, Chelsea, Swansea and Spurs.

 

39 points total.

 

Also got us on 39 pts

 

16 - Saints

17 - QPR

18 - Wigan

19 - Reading

20 - Villa

[David Strover]

Mental.

 

I had us relegated on the last day of the season with a 2-2 draw against Stoke - changed it to 2-1 and we finished 14th! It was pretty tight, I could see a lot of draws and we got thrashed at Tottenham and Swansea plus we lost at Sunderland but QPR and Reading didn't make it!

 

Oh well no one knows, what happens will happen but I don't feel confident to be honest.

[Glasgow_Saint]

I don't feel confident to be honest.

 

Watching Tino's post match interview again just there, you get a real sense that he is now very lost and extremely worried too. He looks defeated and very stressed....... Hope the players arent influenced too much...... Big games coming up, time for Tino's game face

[Saint Without a Halo]

I feel the likes of Sunderland, Stoke, Norwich and Fulham will be dragged in and it will be very tight at the end from 11th to 20th

with just a handful of points seperating 10 teams! We should just make it (I hope)

[Greenridge]

Watching Tino's post match interview again just there, you get a real sense that he is now very lost and extremely worried too. He looks defeated and very stressed.......

 

Lol are you a body-language expert as well now?

[Glasgow_Saint]

Lol are you a body-language expert as well now?

 

Expert no - but i have read a number of Allan Pease's books and Tino is textbook.

[Greenridge]

Expert no - but i have read a number of Allan Pease's books and Tino is a textbook.

 

Maybe it's getting lost in translation.