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Posted (edited)
12th on 44 points, thought I was being realistic with the scores as well.Probably why I don't gamble much. I'm a bookies dream.

 

20 more points from 13 remaining games is European form. Good luck with that.

Edited by CB Fry
Posted
20 more points from 13 remaining games is European form. Good luck with that.

 

That includes play

Man city

Chelsea

Liverpool

Spurs

 

Yeah. No chance are we getting 20 more points...

 

13-14 more points I reckon.

Posted
That includes play

Man city

Chelsea

Liverpool

Spurs

 

 

 

Yeah. No chance are we getting 20 more points...

 

13-14 more points I reckon.

 

Which will more than likely be enough.

Posted
That includes play

Man city

Chelsea

Liverpool

Spurs

 

Yeah. No chance are we getting 20 more points...

 

13-14 more points I reckon.

 

Correct. And we are simply not going to win all our crunch games either - the QPRs Readings etc. We're going to lose some. We just will.

 

Think we'll stay up and finish bottom five. Which is fine.

Posted (edited)
20 more points from 13 remaining games is European form. Good luck with that.

 

We've taken 20 points from our last 15 games, 16 in the last 13. I my opinion nothing in our three last matches indicates we can't make a similar or better run in our last 13 matches.

Edited by ToreSF
Posted
We've taken 20 points from our last 15 games, 16 in the last 13. I my opinion nothing in our three last matches indicates we can't make a similar our better run in our last 13 matches.

 

Good for us. Both of those stats are nearer to 1.3 points a game. ie not European form.

 

Last three games 0.6 points per game.

Posted

It'll go to the last day, I'm expecting a maximum 4 points from the next six games (losing to City, Newcastle, Chelsea and Liverpool, draw with QPR and win at Norwich),which would see us bottom f the table. then at least 10 from the remainder (Wins over Stoke, West Ham and WBA, draw at Swansea). That's pretty poor form but should just be enough.

Posted
Good for us. Both of those stats are nearer to 1.3 points a game. ie not European form.

 

Last three games 0.6 points per game.

 

I like to believe that our last 15 games is more representative to the quality in our team than our current league position. Honestly think we'll manage to get 40 + points. But, as we all know, nothing is predictable in this game.

Posted

Last three games 0.6 points per game.

 

Any team's 'last 3' results could look poor when 2 of them are away, one of them @ OT. In all 3 we didn't play at all badly, and with 'rub of the green' the 2 points could have been 7. I'm confident that the 'last 15' form is indicative of how we are performing.

Posted
t6b8dc.png

 

That is mine, goes pretty much down to the wire. On the pitch on the last game when Guly scores.

I have a feeling Reading are going to start flying up the table now

 

Why? They get battered almost every game they play, just have a bit of a spirit about them and a very good finisher in ALF. Nowhere near enough quality

Posted
I like to believe that our last 15 games is more representative to the quality in our team than our current league position. Honestly think we'll manage to get 40 + points. But, as we all know, nothing is predictable in this game.

 

Any team's 'last 3' results could look poor when 2 of them are away, one of them @ OT. In all 3 we didn't play at all badly, and with 'rub of the green' the 2 points could have been 7. I'm confident that the 'last 15' form is indicative of how we are performing.

 

Yes, and our last 15 results is around 1.3 points per game, not the European form needed to generate a further 20 points from now.

 

And my point around the last three games is that spirited performances/didn't we do well against the big teams don't actually equate to many points. We were doing "didn't we do well against the big team but never mind" in August.

 

Thanks for making my point for me.

Posted
Correct. And we are simply not going to win all our crunch games either - the QPRs Readings etc. We're going to lose some. We just will.

 

Think we'll stay up and finish bottom five. Which is fine.

 

Yep,

 

agree with that.

Posted
Why? They get battered almost every game they play, just have a bit of a spirit about them and a very good finisher in ALF. Nowhere near enough quality

 

there you go, answered your own question

Posted
Yes, and our last 15 results is around 1.3 points per game, not the European form needed to generate a further 20 points from now.

 

1.3 per game until the end of the season takes us to 41, which should be enough. This was MY point.

Posted
1.3 per game until the end of the season takes us to 41, which should be enough. This was MY point.

 

 

 

Which you've just made for the first time. So not sure why you need the sarky capital letters. Well done though.

Posted

LMFAO at Bear's table :lol:

 

As for me, I like to do a worst-case (realistic) scenario with these things. Sadly, it ended up with us going down with Villa and QPR :cry:

 

F**king Wigan finish a point above us.

Posted
there you go, answered your own question

 

Most Sunday league sides have a bit of spirit, the 'nowhere near enough quality' bit of my post means they will finish a country mile away from 11th

Posted
Most Sunday league sides have a bit of spirit, the 'nowhere near enough quality' bit of my post means they will finish a country mile away from 11th

 

There is something about Reading, I don't know what but they grind out results when they aren't expected to.

The last couple of comebacks has proved that, I agree they don't have quality, but lets be honest here did Wigan or QPR have quality when they stayed up last year? I would argue not.

Posted
There is something about Reading, I don't know what but they grind out results when they aren't expected to.

The last couple of comebacks has proved that, I agree they don't have quality, but lets be honest here did Wigan or QPR have quality when they stayed up last year? I would argue not.

Reading are going down. They'll get found out sooner or later. Mark my words.

Posted
I have us on 35 points, surviving with a win on the very last day!

 

Ah ...those dreamy days of "Great Escapes" ..... Beating Stoke at home on the last day of the season. Easy !

Posted
For what it's worth I had us finishing comfortably midtable on 44 points!

 

Unfortunately I remember reaching a broadly similiar conclusion back in 2005/6 ...

I just find it incredible how anyone thinks we can get 44 points..!!!!!!

Posted
45 points

 

 

massive LOL

 

i reckon 37 at best

 

Only thought we'll manage a draw against city, so I'll adjust my prediction to 47 points.

Posted

Got us finishing 11th with 44 points, been fairly realistic I think too. If we win against the likes of QPR, Reading and Newcastle, we're laughing.

 

Bottom three are Reading (35), QPR (32), A Villa (29).

 

Reading have got a tough run in, if they drop points in any of their 6-pointers, they could drop like a stone in my opinion.

Posted

Never ever forget goal difference. At the end of each season it is always a remarkably accurate predictor of final finishes.

I first noticed this in the late nineties when we often used to look like relegation candidates, but goal difference is almost invariably bang in line at the end of the season.

Accordingly without bothering to do the predictor I am confident we will stay up, finish above Norwich and I would hope for a position about 11th to 14th.

It also worked in each of our promotion seasons.

I'm now back to white underpants and confident I won't have to do a Puncheon!

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