The9 Posted 1 February, 2013 Share Posted 1 February, 2013 No way. We need 3 points. We need about 39 more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cabrone Posted 1 February, 2013 Share Posted 1 February, 2013 Just watched some highlights from their Stoke game. Absolutely BATTERED them second half. On-form and on-song at the moment. And let's be honest - if we ever had a "bogey team" Wigan is it. Can't see us not scoring but reckon they might just have too much in attack for us. Give us a point now I'd say. No, I want all 3 and I think we can get them. They are not nearly as bad a team as a lot of posters on here would have you believe though. Said all along that this relegation battle is going to be tough, there are no mugs at the bottom. Villa are probably the worst but that is due to confidence more than anything, if they pick up a win or two they could transform. Other than them Wigan are a useful outfit, QPR are showing real resilience and an upturn in form, Reading are showing a huge upturn in form and we are looking good now. Newcastle, Norwich, Fulham and West Ham should be concerned. I can see at least 1 of them falling into the bottom 3. At least 40 points is the target and to be super safe 43 IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNSUN Posted 1 February, 2013 Share Posted 1 February, 2013 Newcastle, Norwich, Fulham and West Ham should be concerned. I can see at least 1 of them falling into the bottom 3. At least 40 points is the target and to be super safe 43 IMO. Norwich and West Ham perhaps could drop, both are in poor form and Norwich just don't look strong enough. How Becchio does is key to their survival hopes. I personally think Newcastle will be fine now - they've made some shrewd acquisitions and IMO benefitted most from the transfer window. Fulham - mmm, I said up until recently they could drop, but in Jol they have a solid manager and they've made a decent signing or two this window. The relegation battle IMO will be between Reading, QPR, Wigan, Us, Villa, Norwich and possibly West Ham. As long as we finish 17th or higher, I couldn't give a stuff. Yes we should be looking higher, but I'll be happier just to stay up so Pochettino can tinker with the team in his image in the summer. Reading and Villa will go down in my opinion, with one from Wigan, QPR or us. Beating Wigan tomorrow would make me, and all of us, feel a lot more positive about staying up this season - and even doing very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
red&white56 Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 Wigan will be up for this game - so i think a point is the mst probable result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 We need about 39 more than that. 42 more points, winning every single one of our remaining 14 games. I admire your ambition, but I wouldn't say "need". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Fan CaM Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 NO spells NO. We need WINS WINS WINS This in spades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brmbrm Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 If I was offered a point at Wigan now I'd report the individual concerned to the appropriate authorities. Zero tolerance for match fixing here. I'd take the point, then go and try to win the game, Grobelaar mode apprantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 I'd take a point. (almost always would for an away game in this division) Wigan are the bookies favourities, btw at 11/8. We're 5/2 and the draw is 5/2 too. I don't know why people think it will require 40 points to stay up. Yeah, it may do if the struggling teams perform much better in the remaining 14 games than in the first 24. But at the moment the bottom four are only averaging 0.83 points a game. If that continues, then 32 points would be enough to stay up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 (edited) I'd take a point. (almost always would for an away game in this division) Wigan are the bookies favourities, btw at 11/8. We're 5/2 and the draw is 5/2 too. I don't know why people think it will require 40 points to stay up. Yeah, it may do if the struggling teams perform much better in the remaining 14 games than in the first 24. But at the moment the bottom four are only averaging 0.83 points a game. If that continues, then 32 points would be enough to stay up. 32 sounds a bit tight but you're right it won't be 40. 37/8 will be plenty, could be as low as 34/5. Points per game will creep up as the season goes on. The teams at the bottom will face teams with not much to play for, or teams ahead of cup semi finals etc. Edited 2 February, 2013 by CB Fry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 Just had a glance at the table. Wigan's home form is pretty abysmal - W 2 D 3 L 7 (-10 GD) Worse than their away form of W 3 D 2 L 7 (-. In fact, their away form is better by exactly the 2-0 winning margin they had at St Mary's.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintBobby Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 32 sounds a bit tight but you're right it won't be 40. 37/8 will be plenty, could be as low as 34/5. Points per game will creep up as the season goes on. The teams at the bottom will face teams with not much to play for, or teams ahead of cup semi finals etc. That seems to be the conventional wisdom - does anyone know if it's actually borne out by the stats? (i.e. is it generally the case that the weaker teams perform better in the last 1/3 of the season?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CB Fry Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 (edited) That seems to be the conventional wisdom - does anyone know if it's actually borne out by the stats? (i.e. is it generally the case that the weaker teams perform better in the last 1/3 of the season?) Don't know, it seems that way anyway. Someone put up the table from this time last season and the points in and around the bottom three were about the same as this season, and 32 wasn't enough last season. So probably true. Edited 2 February, 2013 by CB Fry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aintforever Posted 2 February, 2013 Share Posted 2 February, 2013 don't think a draw would be a bad result but we are capable of beating them so no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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