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George Galloway wins Bradford West byelection - fluke or...


saintbletch

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...an indication of things to come?

 

From the Guardian, from the Telegraph - (there's balance for you!).

 

Did gorgeous George win because he's gorgeous George, or does his Respect party have a future?

 

Is there an untapped Muslim vote that a party like Respect can tap into?

 

Can we expect to see other areas turn to independent MPs?

 

Are we all so disillusioned with the 3 main parties that Independent MPs will become more common?

 

Your views?

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No. But you just did.

 

It's OK though, as arbiter of what members can or cannot post on here, I will allow you - just this once.

 

Touch a nerve?

 

:)

 

Me? A nervous system? I think you may be mistaking me for a human being...

 

Anyway, something else we need to establish before sharing my wisdom....how would the thread title and OP have been worded if it we were waking up this morning to the Tories suffering a c.36% swing in a by-election in opposition for a seat they had safely held since 1974 following one of the worst PR weeks for the party in government...?

 

:-)

 

This is first and foremost a disastrous result for Labour regardless of the veneer or spin people which to put on it.

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Good to see that Howling Laud Hope got 111 votes.

 

More seriously, Galloway's no fool. He did this before in 2005 in London, overturning a 10000 majority. The turnout was over 50%, very high for a by-election.

 

Judging by the TV coverage he seems to have captured the Asian vote, bit ironic as the Labour guy is a Pakistani Muslim.

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The country is still wading through ****. The Labour party got us there and the Coalition seem to be doing their best to ensure we stay there as long as possible, so undoubtedly there was a backlash against mainstream politics. Although not familiar with the local political landscape i wouldn't be suprised if the London-centric party animials really were half arsed in their attempts to secure votes, leaving the way for GG to embark on a focused campaign that the locals felt was genuine and meant something to them.

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Me? A nervous system? I think you may be mistaking me for a human being...

 

Anyway, something else we need to establish before sharing my wisdom....how would the thread title and OP have been worded if it we were waking up this morning to the Tories suffering a c.36% swing in a by-election in opposition for a seat they had safely held since 1974 following one of the worst PR weeks for the party in government...?

 

:-)

 

This is first and foremost a disastrous result for Labour regardless of the veneer or spin people which to put on it.

 

Good point (the thread title - not the nervous system).

 

As you say, I suspect it would have been spun that way, but with George Galloway at the centre of the story - it would inevitably end up being about him.

 

My views? Well I agree it's a disastrous result for Labour. But I'm not actually sure that it's that representative given the c.10% lead in national polls (yes I know, I know). To me, it does look like a one-off given the characters involved and the high Muslim population of the ward.

 

That said, it probably does say that Milliband (jnr) is not the right leader for Labour (he wasn't able to energise the voters), and it also tells them that they can no longer rely on immigrant votes simply because they have a marginally more immigrant-friendly image. Given the mess they made of governing us last time, I suspect voters will think hard before placing their mark next to the Labour candidate for some time.

 

Also, given that the incumbent coalition is having to put in place pretty unpopular policies, it makes it more surprising that voters deserted Labour. Labour should be a shoe-in next election once government policies really start to bite, but between our memories and Milliband, they're going to have a problem.

 

This is what made me think about the Independent angle. I posted the other day that 200+ doctors and surgeons had said they would stand as independents and I wondered if it's a trend we might see more of.

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Why oh why would anyone vote for that guy? was celebrity big brother not enough to kill any slight credability he had? Not to mention having an independent MP is pretty much like being in a brothel with erectile dysfunction you've got no chance. How is he going to get any of his election aims (assuming he had any) through with a party vote of 1? I assume people voted for him on his anti-war stance I'm sure his one vote will overturn the policy of two successive goverments.

 

As for Labour...ouch that's got to hurt with all the crap the goverment have been getting lately and they can't even win a nailed on safe seat.

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Why oh why would anyone vote for that guy? was celebrity big brother not enough to kill any slight credability he had? Not to mention having an independent MP is pretty much like being in a brothel with erectile dysfunction you've got no chance. How is he going to get any of his election aims (assuming he had any) through with a party vote of 1? I assume people voted for him on his anti-war stance I'm sure his one vote will overturn the policy of two successive goverments.

 

As for Labour...ouch that's got to hurt with all the crap the goverment have been getting lately and they can't even win a nailed on safe seat.

Why do you think they voted for him? :rolleyes:
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I think people want a proper party for working people rather have than the choice of tory party's we now have who only seem to like lining the pockets of the few like bankers and speculators and other non productive sectors of the ecnomey.

 

Course they don't. They want a party that separates them from the rest of us. Like others have said I feel so sorry for the English people up there who have to put up with it.

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Very arrogant of Labour to denounce their loss due to Galloway's media profile. As already pointed out, he tapped into the constituents worries/needs and was voted in accordingly. Credit where it's due.
agree and don't forget the tories share of the vote dropped even more in percentage terms.its nice to have someone who is not just clone and a character rather than the current crop who all look alike.
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I'm leaning more towards UK Independant at next election, but the thought of allowing the champagne socialists of New Labour back in scares me. Slough's similar to Bradford but on a much smaller scale, whereby we have all sorts of diverse cultural backgrounds who despite the Labour Council saying we all live together as one for Slough, keep to themselves.

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In a sense, you can't read too much into this particular by-election. Galloway has been fairly consistent with his anti-war message, which would resonate with a lot of Muslim voters in the area. Lets not forget that it was Labour who decided to join in with the big ol' US adventure, something that will not quickly be forgotten.

 

However, I do genuinely feel that people are going to fall out of love with mainstream parties as things get worse, particularly since we've seen all of them in action in recent times. The spectacle has been far from impressive, and the choice on offer? Well, you can have any colour you like as long as its business-driven neo-liberalism.

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Wont be long before there is a muslim party winning lots of votes\seats in these areas.

 

It is apartheid through choice. What we've seen with this result (and others that will follow) is conclusive proof that multiculturalism involving muslims has failed. And I single out muslims here because it's wrong to lump the seikhs, hindus, blacks etc in with them because although many of these communities clump together they don't rock the boat like muslim communities do.

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In a sense, you can't read too much into this particular by-election. Galloway has been fairly consistent with his anti-war message, which would resonate with a lot of Muslim voters in the area. Lets not forget that it was Labour who decided to join in with the big ol' US adventure, something that will not quickly be forgotten.

 

However, I do genuinely feel that people are going to fall out of love with mainstream parties as things get worse, particularly since we've seen all of them in action in recent times. The spectacle has been far from impressive, and the choice on offer? Well, you can have any colour you like as long as its business-driven neo-liberalism.

thats the trouble we had boom years under Blairs Labour party but the bottom of society has not seen any benefits while the richest have seen laws pass which helps them even more.
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In a sense, you can't read too much into this particular by-election. Galloway has been fairly consistent with his anti-war message, which would resonate with a lot of Muslim voters in the area. Lets not forget that it was Labour who decided to join in with the big ol' US adventure, something that will not quickly be forgotten.

 

However, I do genuinely feel that people are going to fall out of love with mainstream parties as things get worse, particularly since we've seen all of them in action in recent times. The spectacle has been far from impressive, and the choice on offer? Well, you can have any colour you like as long as its business-driven neo-liberalism.

thats the trouble we had boom years under Blairs Labour party but the bottom of society has not seen any benefits while the richest have seen laws pass which helps them even more.
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It is apartheid through choice. What we've seen with this result (and others that will follow) is conclusive proof that multiculturalism involving muslims has failed. And I single out muslims here because it's wrong to lump the seikhs, hindus, blacks etc in with them because although many of these communities clump together they don't rock the boat like muslim communities do.

 

Pathetic post from the forum racist.

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It is apartheid through choice. What we've seen with this result (and others that will follow) is conclusive proof that multiculturalism involving muslims has failed. And I single out muslims here because it's wrong to lump the seikhs, hindus, blacks etc in with them because although many of these communities clump together they don't rock the boat like muslim communities do.

 

It's clear that you have no historical context here, dune, or at least - a very warped one.

 

How welcome do you think our 50s counterparts made the new immigrants? Do you think they wanted them living in the same street?

 

Sorry mucker, but the establishment of geographical areas largely comprised of a particular ethnic minority simply couldn't have happened without the complicity of the white population.

 

My nan used to tell me that Newtown used to be regarded as 'gentry'. Now, in order for that area of Southampton to have transformed so much, a lot of white people would have had to move out, which they did.

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Not to mention having an independent MP is pretty much like being in a brothel with erectile dysfunction you've got no chance. How is he going to get any of his election aims (assuming he had any) through with a party vote of 1? I assume people voted for him on his anti-war stance I'm sure his one vote will overturn the policy of two successive goverments.

 

Yeah, been thinking the same thing doddisalegend - just without the erectile dysfunction.

 

But I imagine that as a voter, feeling completely unrepresented in parliament on an issue as singularly important as war must feel worse than knowing that your MP's policies will never become law - especially if you occasionally get to see your independent MP representing your specific views when calling the PM to account at PMQs?

 

Also consider that the choice might be between not voting at all (because none of the candidates represents your views) or voting for an independent.

 

In that way it's not a wasted vote - as the vote wouldn't have been cast without an independent candidate.

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Respect are hardly the Muslim Brotherhood. Galloway won, because whatever you think about him, and I don't agree with him before anyone attacks me as a sympathiser, he is an effective campaigner. He got on the ground at this election and made sure his vote turned out. I don't think we can look too much into this though as labour have won the last 5 by elections. Cataclysmic night for the coalition though, doesn't bode well, but was to be expected. And this comes from a paid up member of the Liberal Democrats.

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Yeah, been thinking the same thing doddisalegend - just without the erectile dysfunction.

 

But I imagine that as a voter, feeling completely unrepresented in parliament on an issue as singularly important as war must feel worse than knowing that your MP's policies will never become law - especially if you occasionally get to see your independent MP representing your specific views when calling the PM to account at PMQs?

 

Also consider that the choice might be between not voting at all (because none of the candidates represents your views) or voting for an independent.

 

In that way it's not a wasted vote - as the vote wouldn't have been cast without an independent candidate.

 

For most MPs in Government, the commitment to representation public pretty much ends when the returning officer announces the results.

 

Everyone else is pretty much irrelevant when a Government has a working enforceable majority.

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So people are upset that a muslim majority voted in a scottish (no doubt protestant) white man instead of a local born muslim man....surely this is democracy at it's finest?

 

Personal I'm upset becuase Galloway is a numpty who will no doubt plague the media for the next couple of years.

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So people are upset that a muslim majority voted in a scottish (no doubt protestant) white man instead of a local born muslim man....surely this is democracy at it's finest?

 

Personal I'm upset becuase Galloway is a numpty who will no doubt plague the media for the next couple of years.

 

George Galloway is a catholic I believe.

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Numpty though he is he spot on here when he says

 

Labour "must stop imagining that working people and poor people have no option but to support them if they hate the Tory and Liberal Democrat coalition partners.

 

I remember as a youngster people like Michael foot and Tony Benn, who even if you didn't agree with them, were proper socalists. Ever since New Labour it feels like you're faced with three parties whose main defining feature is what colour tie they wear.

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It is apartheid through choice. What we've seen with this result (and others that will follow) is conclusive proof that multiculturalism involving muslims has failed. And I single out muslims here because it's wrong to lump the seikhs, hindus, blacks etc in with them because although many of these communities clump together they don't rock the boat like muslim communities do.

 

I feel sorry for you, really I do. Your world must be a very frightening one.

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I worked into the night last night and got home to turn on Sky News, the Labour faces at the count told their own story. They really thought they were going to win this one.

 

If Ed Millibandwagon can't win Bradford what hope has he got, and he was supposed to have had a "good week".

 

His party came second in a one horse race.He should forget who Cameron had for dinner and start worrying about who Balls and Cooper are inviting.

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Galloway has some contrary views and I disagree with nearly all of them. However he is very smart, an independent thinker and isnt cowed into betraying his principles for a party promotion by the whips. We could do with 650 of his calibre in parliament

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Take the blinkers off kid. Everything I said is spot on.

 

I note that you haven't addressed the points in my post.

 

Who lived in Newtown prior to the diverse ethnic mix that live there now?

 

Why did they move out?

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I worked into the night last night and got home to turn on Sky News, the Labour faces at the count told their own story. They really thought they were going to win this one.

 

If Ed Millibandwagon can't win Bradford what hope has he got, and he was supposed to have had a "good week".

 

His party came second in a one horse race.He should forget who Cameron had for dinner and start worrying about who Balls and Cooper are inviting.

 

Have you looked at the percentage swings?

 

Tories lost a greater percentage of their (admittedly pathetic) vote than Labour.

 

The Lib Dems didn't even get their deposit back.

 

Completely agree that this is a disaster for the Labour Party.

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A few people were pretty confident of the result. The Labour guy was 50-1 on whereas George was 33-1.

 

Due to a load of bets suddenly being placed on George, the odds were shortened and betting was, at one point briefly suspended.

 

Nevertheless, a few punters walked away with £100k from Ladbrokes.

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