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Reading have got me worried


SaintAmongSkates

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If my old school mate and his millions denies us promotion, school reunions are going to be fun...

 

Lots of games to go yet, form to dip. I think Reading and West Ham are our main concerns now, but nobody can truly be ruled out yet.

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They're winning the games against teams they should be winning against, they're in the middle of their ''easier'' run.

 

They will drop points when they get into their run-in, and they cannot afford to drop many if they want a top 2.

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It looked nailed on the Brum were going to run off at the top, then they lost at home to Forest, and we're held by Derby today. All it takes is one bad result and the wheels can come off.

 

I think Reading have the same kind of set up, and a calmness about them.

 

Saints

Reading

west Ham

Brum

Cardiff

Blackpool

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They're winning the games against teams they should be winning against, they're in the middle of their ''easier'' run.

 

They will drop points when they get into their run-in, and they cannot afford to drop many if they want a top 2.

 

They won at Boro, but no game is easy in this league. They are a good team.

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They are doing very well, but I'm not convinced they have the legs to keep this performance level up for the rest of the season. We've seen a few teams go on an excellent promotion-form run (Derby first, Brighton, Middlesborough, Birmingham, now Reading), but only us and West Ham have consistently been in and around the top two all season.

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they took us to pieces at their place, and one of the few sides to do so, so have always thought they were a threat. Fair play to them of they overhaul us they would certainly deserve promotion if they do itt, but there is a long way to go yet.

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They have won six in a row I think

 

Simple law of averages says that can't continue

 

They would have been seething watching our result tonight And have a tougher run in

 

"Simple law of averages says that can't continue." Errr... no it doesn't.

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Would love to see Reading go up with us. Keeps local derby on the schedules.

 

Why's Reading a derby? Other than that it is fairly near, duh!

 

We've hardly played them in the last (30) years.

 

For me. when the blue-few are no more, our 'rivals' will be Brighton, Spurs, maybe Palace or Charlton.

 

We have absolutely no history with Reading and let's not start creating a tradition with a Noddy club who were on nobodies' radar until 5 or 6 years ago.

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Why's Reading a derby? Other than that it is fairly near, duh!

 

We've hardly played them in the last (30) years.

 

For me. when the blue-few are no more, our 'rivals' will be Brighton, Spurs, maybe Palace or Charlton.

 

We have absolutely no history with Reading and let's not start creating a tradition with a Noddy club who were on nobodies' radar until 5 or 6 years ago.

 

Spurs, Palace and Charlton? WTF? Spurs won't give a sh1te about us and the others won't care much either. They'll be a bit of needle with Brighton but their real rivalry is with Palace.

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Okay remaining fixtures:

 

Saints                              West Ham                      Reading                        Birmingham

Ipswich(h)                          Cardiff (a)                   Portsmouth (h)                 Coventry (a)
Barnsley (h)                        Watford (h)                   Leicester (h)                  Leicester (a)
Millwall (a)                        Doncaster (h)                 Doncaster (a)                  Middlesbrough (h)
Hull (a)                            Leeds (a)                     Barnsley (a)                   Portsmouth (a)
Doncaster (h)                       Middlesbrough (h)             Peterborough (a)               Cardiff (h)
Blackpool (a)                       Burnley (a)                   Blackpool (h)                  Doncaster (a)
                                   Peterborough (a)              West ham (a)
                                   Reading (a)

Portsmouth (h)                      Barnsley (a)                  Leeds (h)                      Burnley (a)
Crystal Palace (a)                  Birmingham (h)                Brighton (a)                   Crystal Palace (h)
Reading (h)                         Brighton (h)                  Saints (a)                     West Ham (a)
Peterborough (a)                    Bristol City (a)              Nottm Forest (h)               Bristol City (h)
Middlesbrough (a)                   Leicester (a)                 Crystal Palace (h)             Ipswich (a)
Coventry (h)                        Hull (h)                      Birmingham (a)                 Brighton (a)
                                                                                                Reading (h)

 

Have to say out of all the run-in's, I'd take ours.

Edited by Jimmy_D
Fixing fomatting
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there is always someone putting together a run

 

Last 9 games Reading have only gained 3pts on us (them 21 pts, us 18 pts)

 

In a nutshell.

 

A few weeks ago when West Ham knocked us off the top, they were going to run away with the league.

Before that Birmingham were unstoppable and were going to to come through and win the league, despite being just outside the playoffs.

Before that Cardiff were the in form team to look out for.

Before that it was Boro breathing down on the top 2.

 

Reading look strong, but if they can maintain this form through their run in I'd be astonished.

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With the results this afternoon, and hoping for a bore draw when Cardiff play W Ham, I was thinking its starting to look like two from three for auto promotion. One team will need a big pick up psychologically before the play offs.

 

Thoughts?

I think they play in blue and white just like Huddersfield

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Both us and Reading have 2 home games next week, except their 2nd one is quite tricky. After that they have 3 straight away games whilst we have 2 away then 1 home. Then it leads us into their last 4 away games which as we know are BHA, us, Wham and Brum.

 

Im not sure theyre as good as us either.

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Its true that if any of the top six teams were to win all their remaining games they would outstrip Saints and win automatic promotion. Even Brighton in 7th. But no team will win all their games, although at this stage of the season it is likely that the promotion competing clubs will increase their win ration compared to the season overall, just because of the extra motivation, and that some of the games will be against teams that increasingly have less to play for. What Saints must do to go up 1st or 2nd is to get enough points themselves and not worry about the others.

My estimate is that 87 points will be enough for 1st or 2nd place this year. Saints would reach that total from 12 games by W6 D4 L2. WHU could get there with a similar set of results but Reading need something like P13 W8 D3 L2. If Reading were to achieve it would be a remarkable run and they could still be behind Saints on GD, so its a big task for them, as long as we do get to 87.

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