interesting statistic

[Giordano]

In the 21 matches this season ( 17 league plus 4 cup ) we have scored 26 goals in the first half versus 7 conceded in the first half.

 

That means, on average, we are winning 1.24 to 0.33 by half time in every match we play....almost exactly one goal UP by halftime IN EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THOSE 21 MATCHES PLAYED THIS SEASON.

 

It probably is the reason why more of our goals conceded come in the first 25 minutes of the second half - the opponents need to score before they get too tired chasing our players passing the ball around them making them look like dummies so play more offensively....and why we score so many in the last ten minutes too when they are tired out too..

 

We must be pretty good atm i reckons.

 

I thinks bets on saints to score first in league matches are a bargain at odds anything better than 5-2 on....which they usually are...just a little tip to fellow "investors"..

[Wes Tender]

I think that this bears out another statistic that recently whenever Saints score first, they've gone on to win the match. Whether that applies to just this season, or whether it goes on longer, I don't know.

[niceandfriendly]

The stat I like the most is the fact that we're ****ing awesome.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Does that count as a stat?

[Saint Garrett]

The 'saints to be winning at half time and full time' bet must be worth doing every match...

[Giordano]

I could do the math with a few charts to help me but if you had bet saints ht/ saints ft winning i "think" the average odds would have been something like 11-8 on....which statistically suggests it will more likely happen than not - certainly over 50% chance of it happening. That's purely for saints but the odds are also based on the whole league averages for this occurrence not only this season but historically....what we have here is a short term blip that means there is a little discrepancy between pricing and current results ripe for arbritage..the trick is in judging the timing of when to enter and when to leave the market - and of course at what prices...

 

The reality is that ht/ft has happened so often this season that the odds still offered offer more "value" and are more generous than the last 21 matches reality. The bet is not a bet in this case but an exercise in churning money through the system until we fall back to more "average" performance. Real prices should be less generous. and they are starting to be already.