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Doncaster St Leger Meeting 7-10 September


chrisobee
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Thanks for this Chris totally forgot about it...

 

Just off to work so very quick thoughts

 

2.00 Wolfgang - Hannon is hitting form at the right time

 

2.35 Alaskan Bullet

 

3.10 Dinkum Diamond

 

3.45 Dr Red Eye

 

4.10 Zeitoper

 

4.50 Louis the Pious

 

5.20 Even Stevens

 

Good luck all

 

Frankie

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Ok, my selections for Doncaster :

 

2.00 Jessies Spirit/The Blue Bandana ew

2.35 Alaskan Bullet

3.10 Dinkum Diamond NAP/ Breathless Kiss e/w - a real long shot at 25/1

3.45 Skyfire ew

4.20 Cai Shen ew / Fallen Idol - Cai Shen Straight Forecast

4.50 Loius The Pious/ Lightning Cloud ew

5.20 A nice easy finish ! - Rocket Rob/ Indian Trail e/w

 

A few elsewhere :

 

Carlisle

 

2.45 More Bottle e/w

3.25 Sugarpine ew

3..55 My Single Malt

6.00 Bond Fastrac

 

Kempton

 

7.20 Copperwood ew

8.50 Waltzing Cat

 

Uttoxeter

 

3.30 Oscar Royal ew

 

Good luck :)

 

Chris

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Thanks for this Chris totally forgot about it...

 

Just off to work so very quick thoughts

 

2.00 Wolfgang - Hannon is hitting form at the right time

 

2.35 Alaskan Bullet

 

3.10 Dinkum Diamond

 

3.45 Dr Red Eye

 

4.10 Zeitoper

 

4.50 Louis the Pious

 

5.20 Even Stevens

 

Good luck all

 

Frankie

 

 

Awful...i'll give it more thought tonight :-)

 

Frankie

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As I am now working my selections are going to be the night before...

 

So Thursdays...hopefully better than Wednesdays selections are:

 

1.25 A tricky start with some unexposed types...my pin has fallen on Elusive Flame for the in form David Elsworth (Last 14 Days (UK) 15 runners 4 winners 1 second 3 thirds) Jamie Spencer should be a positive

 

1.55 Alanza looks to have a good chance but is little value, Seta is unbeaten over 7 furlongs (todays trip) and Cumani seems in decent form at the moment.

 

2.25 Cockney Dancer beat a useful horse on his debut and if improving on that run may have a chance in a very tricky race.

 

3.00 Set to Music has improved all season and will take some beating, but John Oxxs Sense of Purpose looks a lively threat, the extra distance and the trainers good form in this race are positives.

 

3.35 Probably just a watching brief unless the market pinpoints anything, could be some useful horses come from this....my stab in the murky waters goes for Deia Sunrise n.b. Deia is a small town on the Northern coast of Majorca

 

4.10 Pravda Street is interesting, trainer Brian Ellison thinks alot of this horse and he has some form at 7 furlongs..in a tricky race he is my tentative selection.

 

4.40 On to the last race and Prince of Johanne to continue his decent form and bail me out :-)

 

Not much elsewhere I fancy today...may have a look at Laytown tonight though :-)

 

Frankie

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Ok, my selections for Doncaster :

 

2.00 Jessies Spirit/The Blue Banana ew

2.35 Alaskan Bullet

3.10 Dinkum Diamond NAP/ Breathless Kiss e/w - a real long shot at 25/1

3.45 Skyfire ew

4.20 Cai Shen ew / Fallen Idol - Cai Shen Straight Forecast

4.50 Loius The Pious/ Lightning Cloud ew

5.20 A nice easy finish ! - Rocket Rob/ Indian Trail e/w

 

A few elsewhere :

 

Carlisle

 

2.45 More Bottle e/w

3.25 Sugarpine ew

3..55 My Single Malt

6.00 Bond Fastrac

 

Kempton

 

7.20 Copperwood ew

8.50 Waltzing Cat

 

Uttoxeter

 

3.30 Oscar Royal ew

 

Good luck :)

 

Chris

 

That will do me, Cai Shen @ 7/1 and Lightning Cloud @ 8/1 winning plus ew returns on Blue Banana @ 10/1, Skyfire @9/1 and Indian Trail @ 14/1. Louis The Pious and Dinkum Diamond also ran well. More of the same tomorrow, well I live in hope ;)

Good winner for Stevo also with Invincible Hero @4/1.

 

Chris

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Fair to say if I actually wagered any money on my selections I would sit on my hands to day ! However, just for interest these are my selections for Doncaster plus a few elsewhere.

 

1.25 - Doncaster - Poetic Dancer. e/w. @ 9/1.

Juvenile races of any kind are not my cup of tea because trying to gauge how much improvement they will make requires a degree of guesswork and there are normally several such progressive types in attendance. However this Nursery is a particularly open affair and the favourite has been allocated a harsh looking mark for her handicap debut. Roger Sez and Responsive are respected, especially the latter who would appear to be well weighted if her last effort in a Listed race at Salisbury is taken at face value. Connections obviously believe they are in possession of a well handicapped Filly because they are turning her out just a week later to take advantage before her mark rises nine pounds for future races. A short break between races is often the downfall of Fillies at this time of the year though and, for that reason alone, she doesn't make much appeal at her current price. At bigger odds it may be worth supporting Poetic Dancer with a small e/w stake ( of course the name helps too :p ). She won an ordinary looking Maiden at Newbury in May but the form has worked out better than expected with the second, third fifth and eighth placed horses winning since. The first two pulled three lengths clear of the rest of the field and the selection has since run better than her finishing position suggests in two outings. Both of those have come over seven furlongs and she was forced to race wide with little cover in both of them. She wasn't beaten far (two lengths) when finishing sixth in a field of fifteen on her handicap debut and she runs from the same mark today. Hopefully she will get more cover today and that should see her improve on what she has achieved so far. Whether that will prove good enough time will tell but she hails from a yard who have seen three of their six Juvenile winners this season succesful in the past couple of months. They are in good form and they have a good record at this track.

 

1.55 Doncaster - Chachamaidee/Dever Dream e/w

Chachamaidee is improving all the time and the 3lb rise is unlikely to be too much of a hindrance today. She probably needs to step up again to take this but she’s capable of doing so.. Importantly clearly has ability over 7 furlongs, 7/2 isn't a great price though. Dever Dream hasn't been the luckiest of horses but at 7/1 is worth a small interest

 

2.25 - Doncaster - Bogart/ Lady's First. e/w. @ 12/1.

Another Juvenile contest but what makes this one interesting is the plethora of early speed in evidence. That could set things up for a closer and top of that list is favourite, Bogart, and Ladys First. Bogart deserves his chance at the head of the market having won two of his three races convincingly and he looks the one to beat. However Ladys First is trading at around four times the jolly's price and she represents a yard who often target this race. She is obviously well thought of (holds an entry for the Group One Cheveley Park) and she should find this track much more to her liking than the tight turns she encountered at Chester last time out. She is bred to stay further than this so a decent gallop should suit and she was a convincing winner on her debut on good ground. The stable have enjoyed a typically good strike rate with their Juveniles this season and September has proved to be their most productive month with them in the past two seasons. A 2 from 11 record so far this month suggests that the pattern is set to continue. Ladys First is one of three from the yard in this race and is the choice of Paul Hanagan.

 

3.00 Doncaster - Set To Music

Only 7 runners which isn't helpful for e/w purposes ! Set To Music heads the market. Step up in trip will suit as will conditions. She’s in great order by all accounts and getting better all the time.Likely to make another bold bid today and should go close.

 

Doncaster 3.35 Rawaafed

He has come on significantly since debut and he should run a solid race today.. At about 7/2 though no real value. That said the only other horse which seems to be well fancied is Encke at around the same price. Holds a Derby entry so is presumably well regarded.

 

4.10 - Doncaster:

Barnet Fair./Farlow. Both e/w .

I have selected Barnet Fair on a few occasions this season and he has shown more than enough to go with him again today. This race is not over blessed with early speed but Barnet Fair is versatile regarding race tactics, although he is normally held up. He has progressed well as a three year old, winning three times, and, although just as effective at five or six furlongs, his strong finish make him more appealing at the longer trip. Richard Hughes is both an eye-catching and an unusual one for the yard and his riding style could be just what Barnet Fair requires. He may face the same dilemma as he did on Eland Ally yesterday and become isolated under the stands rail but, in the hope that he can get a good tow into the race, he looks capable of going very close. If they don't go a decent gallop then Farlow could be one to benefit. He races prominently/leads and was a bit unlucky not to win again last time out at Newbury. He never found racing room when he needed it and eventually only lost out by less than a length once in the clear. He is up in class from a four pound higher mark but he has only been seen seven times (won three) and it would be surprising if there wasn't more to come.

 

Doncaster 4.40 Club Oceanic/Visions of Johanne ew

Club Oceanic has been flying at home and ground conditions should be right in his favour today. He’s in great order and a big run is. expected. However, I also cannot overlook an old favourite in Visions of Johanne, 10/1with VC looks fair.

 

A few elsewhere :

 

Epsom

 

2.45 Money Never Sleeps

3.20 Yojimbo e/w @ 16/1

3.55 Epsom Salts/Lang Shining e/w @ 33/1

5.00 Deliberation- strongly fancied but no great price @ 6/4

 

Chepstow

 

2.35 Amadeus Wolf Tone

4.20 Doctor Banner e/w

4.50 Golden Hinde e/w

 

Wolverhampton

 

6.40 Caelis

 

Phew, 1st race off in 5 minutes:o Good luck !

 

Chris

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Well after a good start my selections went downhill after that..Chris did his usual good job, getting a winner or two and a fair few places....on to Friday and what looks in theory an easier day to pick winners, with fewer runners on show...but they still have to be found.

 

1.25 Lilbourne Lad has been running consistently well in some good races, the form of his run behind Caspar Netscher has taken a boost today so I tentatively side with the Hannon runner.

 

Selection:Lilbourne Lad

 

1.55 Precision Break won this last year and now in the Simcock stable is respected, but I like the look of Eternal Heart of Mark Johnstons, he was well backed last time out but had no chance with the improving Motrice, this track should suit him better and he may take some beating.

 

Selection: Eternal Heart

 

2.25 Motrice is a nice looking filly and she is improving with every run, there are question marks about some of the other runners, and their inability to stay this distance (Opinion Poll tried last year and failed) Motrice should relish this extra distance and the booking of Hanagan looks significant.

 

Selection: Motrice

 

3.00 Some exciting fillies in this race, but the Frankie kiss of death goes to Regal Realm, she has looked very green when running this year and despite finding alot of trouble last time out, still managed to win, I think she has a touch of class, and may need to have to win this.

 

Selection: Regal Realm

 

3.35 Etihaam looks to hold all the aces in this race, but is poor value...so a lively outsider may be Godolphins Mizwaaj, who ran well on debut and will surely come on for that run.

 

Selectiom: Mizwaaj

 

4.10 my two against the field are Grissom who is in super form and Kuanyao who looked to be returning to form last time out and does have ability.

 

Selections: Grissom and Kuanyao

 

4.40 Red Anthem...just has to be...come on you reds :-)

 

 

Good luck all

 

Frankie

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Well after a good start my selections went downhill after that..Chris did his usual good job, getting a winner or two and a fair few places....on to Friday and what looks in theory an easier day to pick winners, with fewer runners on show...but they still have to be found.

 

 

It wasn't a bad day Frankie/Stevo, Elusive Flame was nice winner and you could easily have stuck with Alanza. Meeznah for Stevo and after a few decent places I did indeed finally get a winner with Club Oceanic though my best winner was Yojimbo at Epsom, backed down to 8/1.

 

Quickly for today :

 

1.25- Has to be Lilburne Lad fior me also :

 

Selection - Lilburne Lad

 

1.55- Several I like here, I'm going to plump for Precision Break and Old Hundred with a word for Harlestone Times :

 

Selections : Precision Break e/w/ Old Hundred e/w Dark Horse Harlestone Times.

 

2.25 : Opinion Poll should win this, nothing else really catches my eye :

 

Selection : Opinion Poll

 

3.00 Ok, let us really put the hex on Regal Realm as I fancy him too:lol: Samitar is an e/w alternative :

 

Selections: Regal Realm/Samitar e/w

 

3.35 I'm in agreement with you again Frankie, very worrying ! Ekhtihaam looks the likely winner but Motrice might run him close.

 

Selection : Reverse forecast Ekhtihaam/Motrice

 

4.10 : My 2 here at decent prices are Lutine Bell and Sirius Prospect :

 

Selections : Lutine Bell e/w / Sirius Prospect e/w

 

4.40 On to the last and 2 more selections at biggish prices, Camerooney and Dhaluar Dhar :

 

Selections : Camerooney e/w / Dhaluar Dhar e/w

 

Elsewhere

 

Sandown

 

2.15 Ballesteros

3.55 Cruiser/ Focail Math e/w

4.30 Icebuster/Dean Swift

 

Chester

 

4.2o Alakhan e/w

 

Few more after 1st race !!! Good luck.

 

Chris

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A few more selections.

 

First a strong word for Beaten Up in the finale at Doncaster.

 

Wolverhampton

 

6.40 Unbeatable e/w

7.10 Final Delivery e/w

 

Sandown

 

5.00 First Cat

 

Chester

 

3.45 If Chilly Filly does not win then I suspect it will be Slight Advantage, cannot really split the two.

4.50 Midsummer Sun

5.25 Bahamian Lad

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Well after a good start my selections went downhill after that..Chris did his usual good job, getting a winner or two and a fair few places....on to Friday and what looks in theory an easier day to pick winners, with fewer runners on show...but they still have to be found.

 

1.25 Lilbourne Lad has been running consistently well in some good races, the form of his run behind Caspar Netscher has taken a boost today so I tentatively side with the Hannon runner.

 

Selection:Lilbourne Lad

 

1.55 Precision Break won this last year and now in the Simcock stable is respected, but I like the look of Eternal Heart of Mark Johnstons, he was well backed last time out but had no chance with the improving Motrice, this track should suit him better and he may take some beating.

 

Selection: Eternal Heart

 

2.25 Motrice is a nice looking filly and she is improving with every run, there are question marks about some of the other runners, and their inability to stay this distance (Opinion Poll tried last year and failed) Motrice should relish this extra distance and the booking of Hanagan looks significant.

 

Selection: Motrice

 

3.00 Some exciting fillies in this race, but the Frankie kiss of death goes to Regal Realm, she has looked very green when running this year and despite finding alot of trouble last time out, still managed to win, I think she has a touch of class, and may need to have to win this.

 

Selection: Regal Realm

 

3.35 Etihaam looks to hold all the aces in this race, but is poor value...so a lively outsider may be Godolphins Mizwaaj, who ran well on debut and will surely come on for that run.

 

Selectiom: Mizwaaj

 

4.10 my two against the field are Grissom who is in super form and Kuanyao who looked to be returning to form last time out and does have ability.

 

Selections: Grissom and Kuanyao

 

4.40 Red Anthem...just has to be...come on you reds :-)

 

 

Good luck all

 

Frankie

 

Just awful...what a clown of a tipster :-)

 

Frankie

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It wasn't a bad day Frankie/Stevo, Elusive Flame was nice winner and you could easily have stuck with Alanza. Meeznah for Stevo and after a few decent places I did indeed finally get a winner with Club Oceanic though my best winner was Yojimbo at Epsom, backed down to 8/1.

 

Quickly for today :

 

1.25- Has to be Lilburne Lad fior me also :

 

Selection - Lilburne Lad

 

1.55- Several I like here, I'm going to plump for Precision Break and Old Hundred with a word for Harlestone Times :

 

Selections : Precision Break e/w/ Old Hundred e/w Dark Horse Harlestone Times.

 

2.25 : Opinion Poll should win this, nothing else really catches my eye :

 

Selection : Opinion Poll

 

3.00 Ok, let us really put the hex on Regal Realm as I fancy him too:lol: Samitar is an e/w alternative :

 

Selections: Regal Realm/Samitar e/w

 

3.35 I'm in agreement with you again Frankie, very worrying ! Ekhtihaam looks the likely winner but Motrice might run him close.

 

Selection : Reverse forecast Ekhtihaam/Motrice

 

4.10 : My 2 here at decent prices are Lutine Bell and Sirius Prospect :

 

Selections : Lutine Bell e/w / Sirius Prospect e/w

 

4.40 On to the last and 2 more selections at biggish prices, Camerooney and Dhaluar Dhar :

 

Selections : Camerooney e/w / Dhaluar Dhar e/w

 

Elsewhere

 

Sandown

 

2.15 Ballesteros

3.55 Cruiser/ Focail Math e/w

4.30 Icebuster/Dean Swift

 

Chester

 

4.2o Alakhan e/w

 

Few more after 1st race !!! Good luck.

 

Chris

 

Fair to say I was pleased with Old Hundred @ 16/1 and Sirius Prospect @ 12/1 with Lutine Bell 2nd @ 11/1. However, the horse which really impressed was Alakhan at Chester. Off the track for 18 months or more yet won nicely @ 14/1. Great training effort by Ian Williams. A few more winners elsewhere too made for a very good day........ if only I had backed at least a few of them :rolleyes: I am definitely going to try to avoid anything Frankie has even mentioned today :lol:

Good luck one and all, my tips later.

 

Chris

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Sorry gents, been crazy at work this week, not had a chance to look at this meeting much. Only had one bet all week, but at least it won! (invincible hero)

 

Not very original picks for me today:

 

14:05 Red Duke

14:35 Zero Money

15:10 I think Sea Moon will win, but I've had a few quid on Masked Marvel e/w

17:25 Picture Editor

 

Good luck all

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