Thedelldays Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 i I have that right...I am assuming Hudds will lose one of their 5 games...either brighton or MK dons away...and win the other 4..giving them 86 points.. POSH win all their games giving them 86 points..... all we need it 12 points IMO...or 13/15 to be absolutely sure.. 12 points from 21.....please, we surely can do it. promotion party at argyle I hope
Lighthouse Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 So we need 4 wins from 7 worst case (realistic) scenario. It sounds so easy when you put it like that, but then this is Saints... Uber squeaky bum time.
alpine_saint Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 You are probably right, but lets make it 13 just to make sure. Unlikely Huddersfield will go on a 5 game winning run.
Lord Duckhunter Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 You are probably right, but lets make it 13 just to make sure. Unlikely Huddersfield will go on a 5 game winning run. I agree, they might win 4 and draw 1 max, but more likely is 3 wins 2 draws or 4 wins 1 defeat. I agree with OP I think 86 points will do. We could be sat here next Sat with half that already.
Pugwash Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 Looking at Posh 'n Udders fixtures, I reckon it could be as little as 83 needed - 3 more wins.
70's Mike Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 Posts like this worry me , 15 more points is what we need.
Pugwash Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 I know what you mean - I'd still feel more comfortable winning the next two and then see where we are.
beatlesaint Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 Posts like this worry me ' date=' 15 more points is what we need.[/quote'] 15 out of 21 points at the very most.......unless you think Huddersfield will overtake our goal difference :-)
benjii Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 15 points = guaranteed promotion. On the bus it is as simple as that.
Colinjb Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 The stats can be telling, right now though I want nothing less then 21 points from the remaining games. No chances, don't leave it hanging. (Yes I know 15 will essentially secure it but you get my point, surely.)
70's Mike Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 the stats can be telling, right now though i want nothing less then 21 points from the remaining games. No chances, don't leave it hanging. (yes i know 15 will essentially secure it but you get my point, surely.) totally
thegaffer Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 6 wins one draw from last seven games.Please repeat that Saints!!
John Cool Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 6 wins one draw from last seven games.Please repeat that Saints!! That'll do nicely! http://stats.football365.com/dom/ENG/D2/oform.html
SaintBobby Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 11 points will do it. 12 or more and it's a near certainty. I think we'd possibly scrape it with 9 or 10. Technically, it's 16 to be 100% mathematically certain - or 15 if you make the reasonable assumption that our GD holds up. I wonder at what point Huddersfield and Peterborough rest players in anticipation of the play offs? I expect both these teams to drop a good few points in the remaining league games.
up and away Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 The results from our next game away at Rochdale and Huddersfield away to MK Dons are very important. If we win at Rochdale, Bristol Rovers at home and absolutely no pressure away at Brighton. Win at Rochdale and that's going to mentally knock the stuffing out of Peterborough. If Huddersfield lose or draw at MK Dons I would expect them to get that same feeling. If Huddersfield win at MK Dons I can easily see them winning all their remaining games, with Brighton still partying when they get to meet. The sooner we get these teams planning everything with the play off's in mind, the far greater chance we have. That's why I believe our next away game is vital in that respect. I would happily take 4 wins and a draw right now, but 4 wins NO.
SO16_Saint Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 11 points will do it. 12 or more and it's a near certainty. I think we'd possibly scrape it with 9 or 10. Technically, it's 16 to be 100% mathematically certain - or 15 if you make the reasonable assumption that our GD holds up. I wonder at what point Huddersfield and Peterborough rest players in anticipation of the play offs? I expect both these teams to drop a good few points in the remaining league games. I fuking hope they drop points, the sooner were guaranteed promotion out of this godforsaken league the better. I don't think were too good fir thi league (we are, though) but just that a bit if good news will be good for the club and city as a whole. H days people, H days.
Under Weststand Posted 9 April, 2011 Posted 9 April, 2011 Always thought that 87-points would see us clear in 2nd so TDD is just about right 12/13pts will see us home IMHO. Would be nice to be sitting here next week 6-more points in the bag & 3 or more points clear in 2nd. Lets hope for once we make it easy on ourselves & wrap it up with a couple of games to spare.
SaintBobby Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 We should be big, big favourites for our remaining home games (Bristol R, Hartlepool and Walsall). Our home form over the past 18 games is W 14 D 3 L 1, I think. We've got a really tough part of the run in out of the way in style. 22 points from a possible 24 in the last eight games is superb. Little surprise we're now 1/10 with some bookies to be promoted... A win on Tuesday and we'll nearly be able to touch the NPC.
Cestrian Saint Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 I can see us ****ing up at Rochdale and making hard work of all of this.
chivvy1664 Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 I could have seen us slipping up at rochdale in the bleak mid winter. But cant see it now with dry pitch.
John B Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 We will get enough points to get promoted automatically Huddersfield and Peterborough know we have the momentum and will be planning for the play offs especially if we win at Rochdale
SOTONS EAST SIDE Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 Its quite easy to over analyse this, and come up with all manner of computations. But one game at a time will do for me! Roll on Rochdale! Sweet Revenge!!
The9 Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 i I have that right...I am assuming Hudds will lose one of their 5 games...either brighton or MK dons away...and win the other 4..giving them 86 points.. POSH win all their games giving them 86 points..... all we need it 12 points IMO...or 13/15 to be absolutely sure.. 12 points from 21.....please, we surely can do it. promotion party at argyle I hope I'd stick to not assuming they're going to lose and shooting for 5 wins from 7, then the target can only come down. So 15 points, 5 wins to be mathematically guaranteed of going up, and assume nothing.
Deppo Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 What a difference a week makes...... http://www.saintsweb.co.uk/showthread.php?29239-Playoffs-it-seems-then
Thedelldays Posted 10 April, 2011 Author Posted 10 April, 2011 What a difference a week makes...... http://www.saintsweb.co.uk/showthread.php?29239-Playoffs-it-seems-then mental isnt it
sfc4prem Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 Just did the predictor. Had us losing to Brighton and Hartlepool, and drawing to Rochdale and Brentford. We came second with 85, Huddersfield were third with 83/4.
SaintBobby Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 Just did the predictor. Had us losing to Brighton and Hartlepool, and drawing to Rochdale and Brentford. We came second with 85, Huddersfield were third with 83/4. Strange prediction.....
sfc4prem Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 Yeh I wanted to see how badly we could do and still get second. Looking good.
SaintBobby Posted 10 April, 2011 Posted 10 April, 2011 I worked out that 9 points will probably do it, just.
Pedro Posted 11 April, 2011 Posted 11 April, 2011 Love my missus, " Brighton is the only team we've got to play who are above us, the others are all below us". She then realised that was obvious because we are second.
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