Exit Poll

[doubleonothing]

Con: 307

Labour: 255

Lib Dem: 59

Other: 29

 

It's close!

 

Any thoughts?

[Thedelldays]

they were surprised on SKY that this predicts LOSES for the libdems...

[dune]

Con: 307

Labour: 255

Lib Dem: 59

Other: 29

 

It's close!

 

Any thoughts?

 

I'm gonna have a w4nk.

[doubleonothing]

Have to say based on the fall out from the debates I don't think many thought the Lib Dems would make losses

 

I'm watching the channel 4 coverage for a bit. It's quite amusing.

 

OOO

[LGTL]

I'm gonna have a w4nk.

 

Why? Brown is hated, it wouldn't be a great result for the Tories. Plus i'd probably predict a gain for the Lib's and a decrease for the Tories from the exit poll if I had to.

[SuperMikey]

Don't think Lib Dems will make a loss, even if the exit poll suggests otherwise.

Can't see a Conservative majority either, it's still got to be a hung parliament for me.

[EBS1980]

What happens if two parties finish on the same number of seats?

[saintkiptanui]

George Bush becomes prime minister

[Thedelldays]

Why? Brown is hated, it wouldn't be a great result for the Tories. Plus i'd probably predict a gain for the Lib's and a decrease for the Tories from the exit poll if I had to.

even if the tories get 307 seats..they would have prodcued the biggest swing for 80 years

[SuperMikey]

What happens if two parties finish on the same number of seats?

 

I think the sovereignty (sp) offers the party who last held power the chance to form a government first. Don't quote me on that though.

[dune]

Why? Brown is hated, it wouldn't be a great result for the Tories. Plus i'd probably predict a gain for the Lib's and a decrease for the Tories from the exit poll if I had to.

 

say that again and pretend i'm 5 years old.

[dune]

George Bush becomes prime minister

 

that's be awesome, i ****ing loved him. Proper laugh that man, bet he's a ****ing scream when he's on the lash.

[doubleonothing]

I think the sovereignty (sp) offers the party who last held power the chance to form a government first. Don't quote me on that though.

 

I was about to post the same.

 

I believe that in the event of a hung parliament, even if they are not the largest party, Labour get the first chance to form a governement.

 

Anyone have a definative answer on this?

 

OOO

[Thedelldays]

just said on sky..if it is a hung parliament, brown remain Prime Minister until the point he resigns

[doubleonothing]

just said on sky..if it is a hung parliament, brown remain Prime Minister until the point he resigns

 

Might be time to seriously think about leaving the country.......

[LGTL]

say that again and pretend i'm 5 years old.

 

Don't try and convince yourself that if the Tories don't get a majority that it'll have been a good night for them. It would be an embarrassment on Cameron's part.

[stevegrant]

even if the tories get 307 seats..they would have prodcued the biggest swing for 80 years

Is that right? The swing in 1997 must have been huge to go from a Tory government to a Labour landslide...

 

Those figures on the exit polls fly in the face of every other poll that has been conducted over the last three weeks, and indeed of general common sense. Surely there's no way the Lib Dems will lose seats today.

[Thedelldays]

Don't try and convince yourself that if the Tories don't get a majority that it'll have been a good night for them. It would be an embarrassment on Cameron's part.

like i said..even with 307 seats...would be the biggest swing for 80 years...

[trousers]

Dubious exit poll imho. Lib dems will get at least 10 more than 59 seats...but will they come off the Tory or labour exit poll total...eyes down...

[Thedelldays]

Is that right? The swing in 1997 must have been huge to go from a Tory government to a Labour landslide...

 

Those figures on the exit polls fly in the face of every other poll that has been conducted over the last three weeks, and indeed of general common sense. Surely there's no way the Lib Dems will lose seats today.

that is what sky reckon..

 

the exit polls will be wrong..more votes than ever have been cast by post and they have no influence on exit polls

[dune]

Is that right? The swing in 1997 must have been huge to go from a Tory government to a Labour landslide...

 

Those figures on the exit polls fly in the face of every other poll that has been conducted over the last three weeks, and indeed of general common sense. Surely there's no way the Lib Dems will lose seats today.

They don't fly in the face of what pollster extraordinjaire Duneulous fantasticus has been saying. (i need a smug smiley)

[trousers]

 

I was about to post the same.

 

I believe that in the event of a hung parliament, even if they are not the largest party, Labour get the first chance to form a governement.

 

Anyone have a definative answer on this?

 

OOO

That is correct...if brown can get 326 MPs on his side from whatever party it doesn't matter what the Tory score is (as long as the Tories get under 326) - weird old system!!

[dune]

I can sense VFTT coming on later and saying _ "i was wrong about dune, he's not thick, he's not horrible, he may have worn a nazi costume to a fancy dress but that was simply to highlight the war and the fact we must never forget. I reckon he#s gonna show his remorse and become a Tory and whenever you see him at the footy you see Dave Xam to Teanage Mutant cyber Tory emblazed accross his replica shirt.

[stevegrant]

They don't fly in the face of what pollster extraordinjaire Duneulous fantasticus has been saying. (i need a smug smiley)

Well you and common sense have never been closely aligned, tbf.

[trousers]

Labour MPs falling over themselves to say that they would be happy to do a deal with the Libs Dems. Funny how they refused to comment on it before today....

[hamster]

Let's have a Saintsweb 'Exit Poll'

 

I'll go first if it makes some feel safe in 'coming out'. Be honest and don't shoot people down.

 

I would be interested to know how we all voted (or not)?

 

I spoilt my paper (wrote 'none of the below') and sent it in.

 

Mrs h won't mind me telling you all that she simply wripped hers in two and went straight round to the post box around the corner and I believe that she now holds the World record for someone voting in an election. Is thaat an actual record I wonder?

 

I'm married to a ****ing world champion! Bloody hell!

[dune]

Let's have a Saintsweb 'Exit Poll'

 

I'll go first if it makes some feel safe in 'coming out'. Be honest and don't shoot people down.

 

I would be interested to know how we all voted (or not)?

 

I spoilt my paper (wrote 'none of the below') and sent it in.

 

Mrs h won't mind me telling you all that she simply wripped hers in two and went straight round to the post box around the corner and I believe that she now holds the World record for someone voting in an election. Is thaat an actual record I wonder?

 

I'm married to a ****ing world champion! Bloody hell!

 

Thats not clever and its not something to be proud of.

[trousers]

slightly bigger swing (8.4%) to Conservatives in first result (Sunderland) compared to exit poll

[hamster]

Let's have a Saintsweb 'Exit Poll'

 

I'll go first if it makes some feel safe in 'coming out'. Be honest and don't shoot people down.

 

I would be interested to know how we all voted (or not)?

 

I spoilt my paper (wrote 'none of the below') and sent it in.

 

Mrs h won't mind me telling you all that she simply wripped hers in two and went straight round to the post box around the corner and I believe that she now holds the World record for someone voting in an election. Is thaat an actual record I wonder?

 

I'm married to a ****ing world champion! Bloody hell!

 

Thats not clever and its not something to be proud of.

 

 

Breach of Rule 2, but then again you could cite Rule 1 in your defence, so I'll let it go this time.

 

I AM proud, I defend my right to vote however I so wish and I would defend YOUR right to do the same with my life dune.

 

Why not ask the reason for me spoiling my paper? FWIW I am not going to tell you now anyway. No disrespect but I know exactly how you feel, you should have heard my own view on NOT voting Labour 4 years ago. Something has changed and I have changed.

 

I feel that I have seen the way forward for society and it does not involve any politician that walks this mortal soil. It is actually THEM in power who are the problem. My message is in no way aimed at the smaller parties, who I would dearly like to hear speak in my parliament, I like to listen to everyone's arguments. My message is to whoever wins, and that includes any hung parliament. I want nothing more to do with them and I just wanted to let them know in the best way I can in my very humble opinion of course.

[trousers]

Con: 307

Labour: 255

Lib Dem: 59

Other: 29

 

It's close!

 

Any thoughts?

They've now changed exit poll to Tories 305 and lib dems 61 (labour no change)

[St Marco]

So even with the change Lib Dems would still be down on their results from last election.

 

Which i guess shows most people didn't buy the bull**** they were spouting on tv.

[hypochondriac]

So even with the change Lib Dems would still be down on their results from last election.

 

Which i guess shows most people didn't buy the bull**** they were spouting on tv.

 

I think we can give the British public some credit. You can bet your life that if this was America then their performance would have caused a big increase in popularity. We saw through them and should be applauded.

[dune]

right sort myself out time, smoke top up, tv, drink go.

[stevegrant]

So even with the change Lib Dems would still be down on their results from last election.

 

Which i guess shows most people didn't buy the bull**** they were spouting on tv.

Or it goes to show that, much like 1992, you can't trust the exit poll results...

 

The betting exchanges have Lib Dems on 70+ seats at even money, which would be a more than 10% gain for them.

[dune]

Or it goes to show that, much like 1992, you can't trust the exit poll results...

 

The betting exchanges have Lib Dems on 70+ seats at even money, which would be a more than 10% gain for them.

 

i took 11/10 for 80.5 or less steve, dyou recon i'll win?

[aintforever]

I think the Tories will win easily, these polls mean jack ****.

[trousers]

Blimey...over 11% swing to Tories in 2nd labour safe seat...they'll get a working majority if that's reflected over the more marginal seats

[dubai_phil]

Dear Lord, I've been away FAR too long

 

David Dimblebumble looks Soooooooooooo Old on BBC World news

[dune]

I think the Tories will win easily, these polls mean jack ****.

 

what exactly are the exit polls saying?

and **** i gotta make the effort and press the tv remote control i'll do it now

[scotty]

that's be awesome, i ****ing loved him. Proper laugh that man, bet he's a ****ing scream when he's on the lash.

 

not any more apparently. Recovering alcoholic:rolleyes:

[stevegrant]

i took 11/10 for 80.5 or less steve, dyou recon i'll win?

Sounds about right, somewhere between 70 and 80 is my guess. At the higher end would be a 30% increase.

[dune]

not any more apparently. Recovering alcoholic:rolleyes:

 

He may have been a ****head but atleast he made up for it with a personality. Brown has nothing going for him so much so that I actually feel sorry for him.

[dune]

Sounds about right, somewhere between 70 and 80 is my guess. At the higher end would be a 30% increase.

 

I need the tory vote to hold up in the sth, based on polls of lib con marginals theres little swing, good for the tories in the seats they cling to, but thats just looking on the bright side, the lid dem surge in the sth has made the cons really needing to win true red seats that are one term gains at best

[dune]

July elliot doesn't look bad, bet she'll ruin it when she speaks

[scotty]

He may have been a ****head but atleast he made up for it with a personality. Brown has nothing going for him so much so that I actually feel sorry for him.

 

Theres no need to feel sorry for brown, he shouldnt be where he is anyway, no f*cker ever voted for him as pm. And dubya would never have been put in charge of even his local bin collections if it hadnt have been for his daddy, no wonder he liked a drink.....

[St Landrew]

Con: 307

Labour: 255

Lib Dem: 59

Other: 29

 

It's close!

 

Any thoughts?

 

I never wanted to do this for a living. I... I always... wanted to be... a Lumberjack..!

 

Leaping from tree to tree, as they float down the mighty rivers of British Columbia.

 

The Giant Larch, the Redwood, the mighty Scotts Pine..!

[dune]

Theres no need to feel sorry for brown, he shouldnt be where he is anyway, no f*cker ever voted for him as pm. And dubya would never have been put in charge of even his local bin collections if it hadnt have been for his daddy, no wonder he liked a drink.....

 

I know i shouldn't feel sorry for him because he is a canniving cvnt and with a fake smile and no interest in the public "how are you?" "good too see you" multiplied a million times is his contribution to the campaign and more smiling that david milliband is because he knows he's got the top job next week

[stevegrant]

like i said..even with 307 seats...would be the biggest swing for 80 years...

They did clarify earlier that this would be a similar swing to the one Thatcher achieved in 1979 (about 5%), but about half what Blair achieved in 1997. The 80 years thing is that it would be the highest quantity of Tory seats for 80 years.

[Scudamore]

Exit Poll looks pretty spot on now doesn't it?

[Wes Tender]

Exit Poll looks pretty spot on now doesn't it?

 

Abslutely amazingly accurate. Just 2 up on what the Conservatives actually got, Labour got 3 more than predicted and the Lib/Dems two less than predicted. There are still two results yet to be declared apparently, so it could be even closer.

 

When the exit poll results were shown at 10 pm last night, people were amazed at the Lib/Dem prediction, but it seems that it was actually over optimistic.