How Ladbrokes and Finktank think the election will go

[dune]

Just found this snazzy little site courtesy of The Times and you can see how Ladbrokes and Finktank think it'll go in your constituency.

 

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co.uk/#/Predictions

[benjii]

Bit embarrassed that Southampton is one of the few red spots in the south.

[revolution saint]

Just found this snazzy little site courtesy of The Times and you can see how Ladbrokes and Finktank think it'll go in your constituency.

 

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co.uk/#/Predictions

 

New Forest East

 

Ladbrokes - 93% chance of a Conservative win

Finktank - 100% chance of a Conservative win

 

Yep, PR would be a disaster.........

[View From The Top]

The local Green candidate said that my seat was nailed on to turn blue and after looking at that clever bit of kit and the boundary changes I can see why.

 

My local Labour MP who has been, it's accepted by all sides, an excellent constituency MP must be very pizzed off.

[EastleighSoulBoy]

Just found this snazzy little site courtesy of The Times and you can see how Ladbrokes and Finktank think it'll go in your constituency.

 

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co.uk/#/Predictions

 

Thanks, I hope this is right!

[CB Saint]

According Ladbrooks the tories can get a coalition by recruiting the SNP, Sinn Fein and Plaid Cymru. Fink tank have it with Labour winning the most seats

[Berkshire Saint]

Finktank have my home constituency (Maidenhead) to go Lib Dem. That would be absolutely incredible but can't see it happening.

[TUS]

Finktank have Newcastle East 51% Lab 49% Lib Dem ... close one.

[dune]

According Ladbrooks the tories can get a coalition by recruiting the SNP, Sinn Fein and Plaid Cymru. Fink tank have it with Labour winning the most seats

 

Alex Salmond has said he won't join the Conservatives or Labour, Sinn Fein won't either not least because the Unionists would (wouldn't want those IRA scum ****s anyway). Plaid is a possibility.

[TopGun]

Alex Salmond has said he won't join the Conservatives or Labour, Sinn Fein won't either not least because the Unionists would (wouldn't want those IRA scum ****s anyway). Plaid is a possibility.

 

 

Another very stupid comment.

 

Sinn Fein is now working as part of a coalition government with the DUP in Northern Ireland.

 

However, that does not withstand the fact that the SNP, Plaid and SF are all left wing parties so would not join the Tories in a coalition unless they were given significantly more devolved powers of administration.

[dune]

Another very stupid comment.

 

Sinn Fein is now working as part of a coalition government with the DUP in Northern Ireland.

 

However, that does not withstand the fact that the SNP, Plaid and SF are all left wing parties so would not join the Tories in a coalition unless they were given significantly more devolved powers of administration.

 

Sinn Fein will always be the political branch of the IRA as far as i'm concerned.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinn_F%C3%A9in

[AndyNorthernSaints]

Sinn Fein will always be the political branch of the IRA as far as i'm concerned.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinn_F%C3%A9in

 

Have you heard of the peace process Stanley?

[badgerx16]

Have you heard of the peace process Stanley?

As they sing in The Producers

"A little peace of Poland,

a little peace of France".......

[EastleighSoulBoy]

Sinn Fein will always be the political branch of the IRA as far as i'm concerned.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sinn_F%C3%A9in

 

Who, then, would be the political wing of the UDA or UVF?

 

The whole thing about N.I. is that after all the struggles, bombings, maimings, beatings and wrongdoings the people have found the will to forge ahead with a democratic and political solution. We can learn from the past but we can't keep going back and arguing that certain people were terrorists and they should be excluded from that due process.

 

Might that encourage people to forake the ballot box and return to the pipe bomb etc?

 

Otherwise we might find our foothold in Europe weakened by the fact that Germany wreaked havoc under the leadership of a terrorist regime all those years ago!

 

A bit extreme maybe but it depicts my point.

[View From The Top]

SF are also a socalist party IIRC so there is no way they'd work with the tories.

[Fuengirola Saint]

...

Edited 28 April, 2010 by Fuengirola Saint

[Fuengirola Saint]

Bit embarrassed that Southampton is one of the few red spots in the south.

 

 

I am as proud as **** that Southampton is an oasis of red amongst all that blue ****e

[GenevaSaint]

Bit embarrassed that Southampton is one of the few red spots in the south.

 

Why the hell is that embarrassing?

[GenevaSaint]

Who, then, would be the political wing of the UDA or UVF?

 

Don't ask the tough questions ESB, it doesn't suit his agenda.

[dune]

Bit embarrassed that Southampton is one of the few red spots in the south.

 

After Browns gaffe it may yet turn blue. Fingers crossed that the Labour core vote splits.

[TopGun]

After Browns gaffe it may yet turn blue. Fingers crossed that the Labour core vote splits.

 

Very unlikely. Denham and Whitehead are good MPs.

[Leicestersaint]

Very unlikely. Denham and Whitehead are good MPs.

 

And committed Saints fans!

[Leicestersaint]

Bit embarrassed that Southampton is one of the few red spots in the south.

 

Well I have always been proud that Southampton is a Labour city unlike the short-sighted snobs that have surrounded us.

[Whitey Grandad]

Very unlikely. Denham and Whitehead are good MPs.

And a Kingsland compatriot.

[Whitey Grandad]

Just found this snazzy little site courtesy of The Times and you can see how Ladbrokes and Finktank think it'll go in your constituency.

 

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co.uk/#/Predictions

Oh my gawd, they've changed our boundaries 3 times and we're still bleeding Lib-Dem.

[IamLeGod]

Unsurprisingly my home seat of Ruislip-Northwood is Tory by about 92%.

 

More worryingly - Have learnt there is an NF candidate standing in the area. Quite disturbing really.

[TopGun]

After Browns gaffe it may yet turn blue. Fingers crossed that the Labour core vote splits.

 

In Southampton terms you could slice 10% votes off Denham and Whitehead and give it to the Tories and they would both still get back to Parliament. They both had close to 50% last time with the remainder split fairly equally between Tories and LDs.

 

Equally importantly, before JB and others lay into me for being a leftie, both Denham and Whitehead have built reputations as Southampton MPs as well as Labour MPs. So that counts for a bit also.

 

Also, remember that whilst Denham is a member of Brown's Cabinet, he resigned as one of Blair's ministers over the Iraq war.

 

Irrespective of party, I think both are quite principled, are not lunatics, had no part in MP expenses scandals, and are good MPs for Southampton.

[dune]

Irrespective of party, I think both are quite principled, are not lunatics, had no part in MP expenses scandals, and are good MPs for Southampton.

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/mps-expenses/cabinet-expenses/5602014/John-Denhams-expenses.html

 

Ooops.

[TopGun]

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/mps-expenses/cabinet-expenses/5602014/John-Denhams-expenses.html

 

Ooops.

 

Where's the scandal Dune? :confused:

 

Denham and Whitehead are not involved at all as wholly as cleared by the Legg inquiry. Are you getting confused with various moat and duck house MPs?

Edited 1 May, 2010 by TopGun

[aintforever]

Where's the scandal Dune? :confused:

 

Denham and Whitehead are not involved at all as wholly as cleared by the Legg inquiry. Are you getting confused with various moat and duck house MPs?

 

I think the biggest scandal is not how a few broke the rules and were found guilty by the Legg inquiry but how the majority used the inept rules to take the ****...

 

"he spent £2,479 on two chairs and a rug from John Lewis"

[TopGun]

I think the biggest scandal is not how a few broke the rules and were found guilty by the Legg inquiry but how the majority used the inept rules to take the ****...

 

"he spent £2,479 on two chairs and a rug from John Lewis"

 

I have written to Denham about this very point. There could be many reasons before people jump to conclusions. Hopefully I will hear back and let you know.

[swannymere]

They've got Meon Valley down as Tory, it's been Lib Dem for a while and i can't see that changing.

[dune]

They've got Meon Valley down as Tory, it's been Lib Dem for a while and i can't see that changing.

 

Boundary changes have included more rural areas where the Conservative Party is at it's strongest.

[aintforever]

I have written to Denham about this very point. There could be many reasons before people jump to conclusions. Hopefully I will hear back and let you know.

 

How many reasons can there be for blowing 2 grand of our cash on a couple of chairs?

[TopGun]

Boundary changes have included more rural areas where the Conservative Party is at it's strongest.

 

Utterly wrong as usual. The Boundary Commission works about the edge of seats and moves bits from one seat to another to reflect changing population movements. For example, in Southampton, Bevois Valley has been moved into Test.

 

There are no extra rural seats.

 

You really are a fool Dune.

[Gingeletiss]

Just found this snazzy little site courtesy of The Times and you can see how Ladbrokes and Finktank think it'll go in your constituency.

 

http://generalelection2010.timesonline.co.uk/#/Predictions

 

I think it's clear from that link, we should stop the Scots and Welsh from voting, as they have theitr own assemblys, then the picture would be very blue;)

 

Come on Dave C!

[TopGun]

I think it's clear from that link, we should stop the Scots and Welsh from voting, as they have theitr own assemblys, then the picture would be very blue;)

 

Come on Dave C!

 

You are in fact referring to the West Lothian Question, even if you don't know it.

[sperm_john]

http://10totengrand.blogspot.com/2010/04/election-betting-where-are-good-odds.html

 

interesting bit on general election betting, odds may have changed though

[Whitey Grandad]

You are in fact referring to the West Lothian Question, even if you don't know it.

Did we ever get an answer to that?

[benjii]

Unsurprisingly my home seat of Ruislip-Northwood is Tory by about 92%.

 

More worryingly - Have learnt there is an NF candidate standing in the

area. Quite disturbing really.

 

Why? Some nutter is running for parliament. That's hardly disturbing.

[oldskoolsi]

Can anyone see on the map where the greens are meant to win their one seat? i can't find it anywhere.

[View From The Top]

Can anyone see on the map where the greens are meant to win their one seat? i can't find it anywhere.

 

One of the Brighton seats I believe.

[Legod Third Coming]

How many reasons can there be for blowing 2 grand of our cash on a couple of chairs?

 

1. They were nice chairs.

2. They were available.

3. He had the the money...

 

That's three reasons already and I haven't even started thinking hard yet.

[TopGun]

Can anyone see on the map where the greens are meant to win their one seat? i can't find it anywhere.

 

Brighton Pavilion - Caroline Lucas.

 

Despite all the shyte from the BNP and UKIP, they will win no seats. Lucas is fave to win in Brighton.

[oldskoolsi]

Brighton Pavilion - Caroline Lucas.

 

Despite all the shyte from the BNP and UKIP, they will win no seats. Lucas is fave to win in Brighton.

 

Cool, thanks. I hope she does win. It would be interesting to see what happens if she's needed to form part of a coaltion.