John B Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Bristol aren't really a threat, they won't be near 6th by the end of the season. It is two out of Huddersfield, Colchester, Saints and Charlton for 5th and 6th place imo Yes I agree but I think the others can/will get about 76-78 points
oggiee Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 How nice, after todays results, Pompey could be relegated next week.
John B Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Bookies are not stupid. If they lose a few of their better players, and we keep/add to our squad, we will be favourites. By your logic if Leeds drew Wigan/Hull etc in the cup Leeds would be favourites, when they wouldn't be. Leeds were favourites this year I would have thought
Matthew Le God Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 No we won't, Leeds are a much bigger club then us - The bookies always favour them. Even when they had -15 points I think they were favourites to go up.... Bookies set odds based on the money the public place on teams. They are out to make money themselves. They don't set odds based on the perceived size of a club. Saints currently have a better starting 11 as the match at St Mary's showed. Leeds if they don't go up will lose a number of players and wouldn't strengthen like Saints would and have done.
Causer Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Stelling just said League 1 promotion was between top 7 sides, Le Tiss in the background says 'don't forget the game in hand'
Appy Posted 27 March, 2010 Author Posted 27 March, 2010 Stelling just said League 1 promotion was between top 7 sides, Le Tiss in the background says 'don't forget the game in hand' I think he meant for Hartlepool's chances of staying up.
John B Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Bookies set odds based on the money the public place on teams. They are out to make money themselves. They don't set odds based on the perceived size of a club. Saints currently have a better starting 11 as the match at St Mary's showed. Leeds if they don't go up will lose a number of players and wouldn't strengthen like Saints would and have done. I would rather have Colchester Swindon or Charlton in League 1 next season than Leeds
altoniansaints Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 all in all a good set of results for us today! so long as we continue to gain on at least 4 of the teams above us we are still in with a shout!
yorkie Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Don't you just love Wycombe...If we win our game in hand - 9-points and counting!
StUrrock Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Just looked at the current form table and extrapolated how we (12 from our last 6) Huddersfield( 7 from 6 ) and Colchester (5 from 6) would do if we all continued our form going into today till the end of the season. Assuming we won our game in hand had us all ending up on 72 points. Shaping up to be an exciting finish to the season ...
Matthew Le God Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 I would rather have Colchester Swindon or Charlton in League 1 next season than Leeds I'm not saying I want Leeds to stay down. I just think if both Saints and Leeds are in League One next year, Saints would be favourites and Leeds 2nd. So of course it is better they go up.
brmbrm Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Pretty decent set of results today. Lets hope is pretty good tomorrow too. Plus a good Easter; max poionts for us, relegation for Poopey.
St Landrew Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Considering we weren't playing, that wasn't a bad day for entertainment purposes either.
saintwarwick Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Yes I agree but I think the others can/will get about 76-78 points And we can/will get 76/78 points but with a far greater goal difference
saintwarwick Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 I would rather have Colchester Swindon or Charlton in League 1 next season than Leeds Why, Leeds will be a weakened side next season if they don't go up, we will be stronger and as showed against them recently they will pose no threat to us.
shurlock Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 We win 8 of our 9 games and we'll make the playoffs. That would give us 77 points. Colchester would need to find 14 points from 8 games and Huddersfield 17 points from their 8 to do better (assuming we have the better GD). At 1.75 points a game and 2.125 points a game, that's incredibly difficult - after all, Colchester have only averaged 1.71 points a game over the season and are now in freefall, picking up only 0.5 points a game over their last 6 and Huddersfield have only managed 1.63 points a game. Of course, we haven't shown anything like the form that would allow us to win 8 of 9; but at least its possible, even after taking into account other teams.
John B Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 We win 8 of our 9 games and we'll make the playoffs. That would give us 77 points. Colchester would need to find 14 points from 8 games and Huddersfield 17 points from their 8 to do better (assuming we have the better GD). At 1.75 points a game and 2.125 points a game, that's incredibly difficult - after all, Colchester have only averaged 1.71 points a game over the season and are now in freefall, picking up only 0.5 points a game over their last 6 and Huddersfield have only managed 1.63 points a game. Of course, we haven't shown anything like the form that would allow us to win 8 of 9; but at least its possible, even after taking into account other teams. It is going to be an interesting end of the Season with the Euphoria of Wembley we need to be very focused on Thursday against Brighton if we win then anything is possible
Secret Site Agent Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Would be good to see this... Brentford v Leyton Orient N/A Brighton v Tranmere N/A Bristol Rovers v Southend - SOUTHEND WIN or DRAW Colchester v Wycombe - WYCOMBE WIN or DRAW Exeter v Walsall N/A Gillingham v MK Dons - GILLINGHAM WIN or DRAW Hartlepool v Swindon - HARTLEPOOL WIN or DRAW Huddersfield v Charlton - DRAW (a Charlton win if not) Millwall v Stockport - STOCKPORT WIN or DRAW Norwich v Leeds United - NORWICH WIN or DRAW Bloody hell, you're good, you're very good. Whats the numbers for the lottery tonight?
docker-p Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 We've made up 2 points on 4 of the teams above us. And we now have a game in hand. Not bad. MK Dons Huddersfield Charlton Colchester Maths not your strong point?
Edmonton Saint Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 4, 8, 15, 16, 23, 42 Ahh...The lost Numbers ..! Actually tried these last week with no success.
John B Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 I'm not saying I want Leeds to stay down. I just think if both Saints and Leeds are in League One next year, Saints would be favourites and Leeds 2nd. So of course it is better they go up. Yes that is my point I cant see them being in League 1 for five years if they dont go up this year surely they will next
thesaint sfc Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 I'm extremely concerned about our game against Brighton. Extremely.
St Landrew Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 I'm extremely concerned about our game against Brighton. Extremely. Understood. Brighton have actually been playing quite well for some time, without getting the results their form has deserved. Hopefully, they are not working up to a stonking performance against us.
vince Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 I'm extremely concerned about our game against Brighton. Extremely. Their form over the last 8 is better than ours: http://stats.football365.com/dom/ENG/D2/oform.html But lets get tomorrows game won before thinking about that one!
alpine_saint Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Charlton, Colchester and Huddersfield all slipped up today. Our game against Bristol Rovers looks a biggie.......
OldNick Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Charlton, Colchester and Huddersfield all slipped up today. Our game against Bristol Rovers looks a biggie....... Alps they all are biggies, as we are so far back we have to win them all
70's Mike Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Alps they all are biggies, as we are so far back we have to win them all agreed lets keep winning and see how the others react to a bit of pressure
alpine_saint Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Win our game in hand, and its only 9pts. 3 games (we have the best GD from the affected teams) with 8 left...its a big ask.
OldNick Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Win our game in hand, and its only 9pts. 3 games (we have the best GD from the affected teams) with 8 left...its a big ask. You make it sound easier than i thought. Nice that you are positive and seem to believe it is possible,keep it up
Saint_John Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Fixtures for both Colchester and Huddersfield. Colchester Fixtures Exeter v Colchester Colchester v Millwall Colchester v Swindon Charlton v Colchester Hartlepool v Colchester Colchester v Tranmere Huddersfield v Colchester Colchester v Leyton Orient 4 games against playoff teams + 3 teams who will be fighting to stay in this division. Huddersfields Fixtures Wycombe v Huddersfield, Huddersfield v Oldham Brentford v Huddersfield Huddersfield v Walsall Huddersfield v Millwall Stockport v Huddersfield Huddersfield v Colchester Exeter v Huddersfield Easier than Colchester's fixtures but they still have a few games where they can slip up.
shurlock Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Colchester's run-in. Not easy: A Exeter City H Millwall H Swindon Town A Charlton A Hartlepool H Tranmere A Huddersfield H Leyton Orient On paper, Huddersfield's run-in marginally easier. And of course, the Huddersfield-Colchester game on May 1 is good for us either way. A Wycombe H Oldham A Brentford H Walsall H Millwall A Stockport H Colchester A Exeter City
shurlock Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Fixtures for both Colchester and Huddersfield. had the same idea - beat me to it!
Pat from Poole Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Fixtures for both Colchester and Huddersfield. Colchester Fixtures Exeter v Colchester Colchester v Millwall Colchester v Swindon Charlton v Colchester Hartlepool v Colchester Colchester v Tranmere Huddersfield v Colchester Colchester v Leyton Orient 4 games against playoff teams + 3 teams who will be fighting to stay in this division. Huddersfields Fixtures Wycombe v Huddersfield, Huddersfield v Oldham Brentford v Huddersfield Huddersfield v Walsall Huddersfield v Millwall Stockport v Huddersfield Huddersfield v Colchester Exeter v Huddersfield Easier than Colchester's fixtures but they still have a few games where they can slip up. Methinks Colchester are going to regret their recent slip-ups against Walsall, Brentford and Wycombe. Two points from those three games is really not good.
Dalek2003 Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 looking at all the diferent scenarios is fine, but the easiset thing to do is to ignore it all and concentrate on winning each game as it comes. See what happens
thefunkygibbons Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 Great set of results today, but one game at a time
Andy_Porter Posted 27 March, 2010 Posted 27 March, 2010 looking at all the diferent scenarios is fine, but the easiset thing to do is to ignore it all and concentrate on winning each game as it comes. See what happens Indeed, all that matters to us is winning as many games as possible.
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