aintforever Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 If we reach the play-offs it's only a 1 in 4 chance so you have to say promotion is unlikely. Very possible though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
up and away Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 If we reach the play-offs it's only a 1 in 4 chance so you have to say promotion is unlikely. Very possible though. If we get into the play off's, it will mean that we have played such good football that even Leeds would not be rated any greater favourites in that group. Practically, if we reached the play off's our odds would be more like 3/4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arizona Posted 5 December, 2009 Author Share Posted 5 December, 2009 of course it is not If you can find me a bookmakers offering evens or shorter on Saints to get promoted, I will eat a sleepy village nestling in the Derbyshire countryside. Possible? Yes of course, but catching up on the sh*t teams at the bottom is the easy bit. You seem to be forgetting that, even in spite of our fantastic form over the last 10-odd league games, we are still 9 points off the bottom playoff spot. We have only gained one point on the playoff teams after starting 10 behind. Our form is great, I am loving being a Saints fan, but I am not about to get fixated on promotion when it is going to be a monumental uphill struggle. To get into the playoffs we will need to average automatic promotion for for the season. I can't think of a team which has ever won 1 of their first 10 league games and finished in the top 2 of ANY league. The JPT hypothesis is like asking would you rather nail Kelly Brook senseless or have a few lagers in front of the TV. We all know which we'd rather do, but come 10:30 this evening will you be heading for the fridge or boarding a plane to LA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thedelldays Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 If you can find me a bookmakers offering evens or shorter on Saints to get promoted, I will eat a sleepy village nestling in the Derbyshire countryside. I wonder how many bookies are offering these odds for swindon..? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aintforever Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 If we get into the play off's, it will mean that we have played such good football that even Leeds would not be rated any greater favourites in that group. Practically, if we reached the play off's our odds would be more like 3/4. Our odds would probably be the same as Norwich's or Huddersfield's. the play-offs are a lottery, one dodgy penalty and a freak own goal and you're out - as we proved before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintDonkey Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 do people on here still think promotion is unlikely..? Promotion is possible - especially if we have a nice morale boosting JPT win. Don't sacrifice a chance of silverware for the league, the effect on morale cannot be underestimated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gjphilsaint Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 If you can find me a bookmakers offering evens or shorter on Saints to get promoted, I will eat a sleepy village nestling in the Derbyshire countryside. Possible? Yes of course, but catching up on the sh*t teams at the bottom is the easy bit. You seem to be forgetting that, even in spite of our fantastic form over the last 10-odd league games, we are still 9 points off the bottom playoff spot. We have only gained one point on the playoff teams after starting 10 behind. Our form is great, I am loving being a Saints fan, but I am not about to get fixated on promotion when it is going to be a monumental uphill struggle. To get into the playoffs we will need to average automatic promotion for for the season. I can't think of a team which has ever won 1 of their first 10 league games and finished in the top 2 of ANY league. The JPT hypothesis is like asking would you rather nail Kelly Brook senseless or have a few lagers in front of the TV. We all know which we'd rather do, but come 10:30 this evening will you be heading for the fridge or boarding a plane to LA? the 10+ gap between us and the "contenders" is still a reflection of our poor start IMHO. To be insight of the top 6 (-10 not withstanding) IS an achievement and although I agree our progress up the table is likely to slow once we get round the 12th mark... we can and will pick those teams off. Also bear in mind that our GD will help us pick off places 14 to 6 so as long as we have points parity we would alwayd have the advantage... not bad eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
krissyboy31 Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 the 10+ gap between us and the "contenders" is still a reflection of our poor start IMHO. To be insight of the top 6 (-10 not withstanding) IS an achievement and although I agree our progress up the table is likely to slow once we get round the 12th mark... we can and will pick those teams off. Also bear in mind that our GD will help us pick off places 14 to 6 so as long as we have points parity we would alwayd have the advantage... not bad eh? Well we're 15th now just 4 points behind Hartlepool in 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian the Red Posted 5 December, 2009 Share Posted 5 December, 2009 Has to be the league. We are only 9 points off the play offs now. Let's face it we maintain our form and no one will want to play us. All we need to do is sort out our defence and stop conceding stupid goals. Clean sheet and 3 goals a game and we will be there. Frankly the JPT is a waste of time. All the effort to beat Charlton costs us 3 points against Brighton. FA Cup: would be nice to drawn against a prem team, Skates at St Marys, but let's face would we really win the cup? Another distraction. league must be our priority, we are good enough so let's go for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arizona Posted 5 December, 2009 Author Share Posted 5 December, 2009 I wonder how many bookies are offering these odds for swindon..? It is not 'likely' they will promoted either. They have an outside chance of making the playoffs, along with every other team down to about 20th. As I said, to make the playoffs, we will need to average top 2 form over the season. I can't think of another team in history which has won 1 of their first 10 games and finished in the top 2 of any league. You will understand if I consider this a long shot. I would consider a day out at Wembley and a trophy equally rewarding and far more plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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