saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 (edited) Looks like being a very close tournament to me, the way the course has been set up means that not just length but accuracy will be key. I have put money on the following- Villegas--R1 -4 Garcia--R1 E Leonard--R1 E Jacquelin--R1 +5 Levet--R1 +1 Rose--R1 -1 Watney--R1 +1 All £1.50 each way, apart from watney £2.50 e/w Think Woods will still win in, and at 2-1 i am seriously considering putting a cheaky ton on.......... Edit- Have updated scores Edited 16 July, 2009 by saint_stevo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Sorry but none of them stand a chance. Villegas is the most in form player out of that list and he hits it way too high for links golf. Sergio has the ball striking for an open, but his putting is horrific. But if it's really windy and it comes down to who keeps it in play the best, he MIGHT have a shot at it. Tiger will win if the wind doesn't get up, as he can hit iron down every hole. But Haney has ruined his long game....doesn't matter how good his recovery shots and short game are, you can't win from the chin high grass on a links course. Check the weather before you put a bet on him. If it's windy he'll struggle. Leonard isn't good enough in the majors anymore, Levet might manage a top 25, Jacquelin isn't good enough for an Open, and Rose is hopeless this year. Good bets are Adam Scott or Nick Dougherty. For an outside punt, Soren Kjeldson is having a consistent year, and I have a little inside information that Nick Watney is playing VERY well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Sorry but none of them stand a chance. Villegas is the most in form player out of that list and he hits it way too high for links golf. Sergio has the ball striking for an open, but his putting is horrific. But if it's really windy and it comes down to who keeps it in play the best, he MIGHT have a shot at it. Tiger will win if the wind doesn't get up, as he can hit iron down every hole. But Haney has ruined his long game....doesn't matter how good his recovery shots and short game are, you can't win from the chin high grass on a links course. Check the weather before you put a bet on him. If it's windy he'll struggle. Leonard isn't good enough in the majors anymore, Levet might manage a top 25, Jacquelin isn't good enough for an Open, and Rose is hopeless this year. Good bets are Adam Scott or Nick Dougherty. For an outside punt, Soren Kjeldson is having a consistent year, and I have a little inside information that Nick Watney is playing VERY well. Scott is a choker. Other than the players he has done nothing in the big tournaments. Dougherty was under consideration. But being English, obviously has no chance! Had some on Watney for the US Open, not sure on his Links ability? I ALWAYS do Garcia in majors, just have to now cos when i dont, he will win. Needs to get the flat stick going though, that is agreed. Leonard loves the links! I dont expect to win much, if any, just like to make it more interesting. Will probably bet again after the cut..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Garcia isn't suddenly going to fix his putting......it's in a right mess. And when it gets windy, it's hard to keep still and you have to allow for the wind when reading putts. He's got enough problems without that on top. It won't be him. I wouldn't say Scott is a choker. And he's coming into form right now. And he'll probably be smashing Ana Ivanovic in the Turnberry hotel so he'll be in good spirits. Watney is from Sacramento....it gets a bit windy up there. He won the Buick this year at Torrey Pines....that's by the ocean. Like I said, a bit of an outside bet, but I bet his odds are favourable for a bet. Watney works with Butch Harmon and I've worked with Butch's right hand man in Vegas....he told me he was at the academy the other week and he was in awesome shape. Could be a bit of a Lucas Glover type thing. Stricker won last week didn't he.....he might not be a bad shout either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 13 July, 2009 (edited) Watney- 80/1 I am going £2.50 e/w on your say so........ Edit- Done. £255 if wins. as for Scott, majors- Tournament -----------2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Masters Tournament DNP DNP T9 T23 CUT T33 T27 T27 T25 CUT U.S. Open DNP DNP CUT CUT CUT T28 T21 CUT T26 T36 The Open Championship CUT T47 CUT CUT T42 T34 T8 T27 T16 PGA Championship DNP CUT T23 T23 T9 T40 T3 T12 CUT Edited 13 July, 2009 by saint_stevo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Tournament 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Masters Tournament DNP DNP T9 T23 CUT T33 T27 T27 T25 CUT U.S. Open DNP DNP CUT CUT CUT T28 T21 CUT T26 T36 The Open Championship CUT T47 CUT CUT T42 T34 T8 T27 T16 PGA Championship DNP CUT T23 T23 T9 T40 T3 T12 CUT DNP = did not play CUT = missed the half-way cut "T" = tie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Stricker @ 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisobee Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 I know very little about golf but Hunter Mahan looks a decent price at 33/1 and has attracted some support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 This is my last of my 3 posts, will post more tomorrow.....Scott finished 16th in the Open last year.....not bad....and he's playing well now. He has won the Players - that's the 5th biggest event on tour behind the majors. Stricker is a good bet, but an outside bet which I'm tempted on myself,on SkyBet......Stephen Ames at 125-1. I like that a lot. I've played a lot of golf with Amesy (my coach taught him for years, then they fell out after he won the Players), and he has a good game for links golf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisobee Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 In fact it's about 9/4 bar Woods which suggests there is value elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Talk me thru Ames' nationality...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 13 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 13 July, 2009 In fact it's about 9/4 bar Woods which suggests there is value elsewhere. Woods plays well he wins. The same cannot be said of the rest of the field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisobee Posted 13 July, 2009 Share Posted 13 July, 2009 Woods plays well he wins. The same cannot be said of the rest of the field That is true but I was hoping you'd have a dead cert bet at least EW at about 100/1 you might post BEFORE the event starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyNorthernSaints Posted 14 July, 2009 Share Posted 14 July, 2009 Some good odds with William Hill. Jim Furyk 35/1 Angel Cabrera 66/1 David Duval 100/1 Todd Hamilton 250/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 14 July, 2009 Share Posted 14 July, 2009 Not had a proper look yet , but my early thinking was Mahan and Soren Hansen. Stricker is on fire at the moment so 40/1 looks good value. But, I think we all know who actually will end up winning the thing don't we. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bungle Posted 14 July, 2009 Share Posted 14 July, 2009 This thread would be more suited to the betting forum. Oh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 14 July, 2009 Share Posted 14 July, 2009 Not had a proper look yet , but my early thinking was Mahan and Soren Hansen. Stricker is on fire at the moment so 40/1 looks good value. But, I think we all know who actually will end up winning the thing don't we. oh, and Ian Poulter as well. Good form and I think he is due a big win soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bungle Posted 14 July, 2009 Share Posted 14 July, 2009 What about Graeme McDowell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 14 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 14 July, 2009 Not had a proper look yet , but my early thinking was Mahan and Soren Hansen. Stricker is on fire at the moment so 40/1 looks good value. But, I think we all know who actually will end up winning the thing don't we. Yes woods, bottled the 100 and went for 50 on him to win instead....2/1 oh, and Ian Poulter as well. Good form and I think he is due a big win soon. He is though of course English and so must be ruled out. Plus has a poor temperament Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 14 July, 2009 Share Posted 14 July, 2009 Paddy Power and Boylesports are paying each way on the first 7, most others are only for the first 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 14 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 14 July, 2009 Ladbrokes is only top 5 Woods out to 9/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 Talk me thru Ames' nationality...... It's a while since I heard the story, but the TRUE story isn't the one that gets branded around in the press apparently!! He was playing a tournament in America, I think on the Nationwide Tour, and he got into a playoff and turned up late for his flight, which took him over the time he was allowed to stay in the country for on the visa he had. So he got into a lot of trouble with US immigration. His wife is Canadian...he became a Canadian citizen and moved to Calgary, and because he is now Canadian, it clears up a load of legal issues with immigration, visas and the right to play on the PGA Tour. Back to good bets for the Open, I've just heard Harrington saying if you drive it well you've got a chance - I think that rules Tiger out to be honest. Having said that, the course is only 7200 yards so he can hit a lot of irons and fairway woods off the tee. Everyone said the rough is up though, and if you hit it wide enough, you can't even get it back on the fairway. Woods can win the Open round St Andrews because it's wide open and is a putting contest...a tight course like Turnberry isn't suiting his wayward driving. I think there'll be a lot of wasted money on him this week, I'd like to be wrong though - I'm excited to see him equal and beat Nicklaus' record. 16/1 on Tiger to miss the cut.....that HAS to be worth a £10 punt!! If you're looking for good drivers, Lucas Glover leads total driving (that's fairways hit and distance combined) on the PGA Tour. Kenny Perry is high up on that list. Sean O'Hair wouldn't be a bad shout either - I think he's potentially a major winner, although maybe a bit soon for him yet. I don't like Poulter's chance at all. You can't go far wrong if you go each way on players like Furyk, Goosen, Perry, Casey and Ogilvy.....all serial top ten finishers in big events. Hunter Mahan and Soren Hansen have been mentioned. Mahan is a good shout for a top ten, but can't see him winning, and Hansen doesn't inspire me really. No to Graeme McDowell....he's playing steady but not at the top of his game, which you obviously need to be for a major. Watney, Ames, Dougherty and Robert Rock (300/1!!!!) are my outsider tips, and for the win, I'd go with someone with a good all round game.....Furyk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisobee Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 Ladbrokes is only top 5 Woods out to 9/4 You can get 13/5 with Hills, seems to be drifting slightly with most firms. Hunter Mahan and Jim Furyk seem quite popular though 33's are readily available for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 15 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 15 July, 2009 I would like a few quid on Ross Fisher, but his mrs is ready to pop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisobee Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 I would like a few quid on Ross Fisher, but his mrs is ready to pop! Well he is as short as 28/1 with Boyle Sports but 55/1 and drifting on BF so might be worth a few quid on BF. That said do bookies refund stakes on Golf bets if you back someone who does not start or is it the same as with Ante post bets on Horse racing ? Or are you worried he might be preoccupied !? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 15 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 15 July, 2009 He has said that if he gets word she is going into labour he will walk, can see it now, leading after 71holes, gets the sign and buggers off. Great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 His Mrs totally wears the trousers in their relationship too....she'd kill him if he didn't leave!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisobee Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 Paddy Power and Boylesports are paying each way on the first 7, most others are only for the first 6 Boyle Sports are paying ew 1st 8 and another free bet offer : http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/free.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNOWY Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 Furyk, Kim & Harrington each way for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saintwarwick Posted 15 July, 2009 Share Posted 15 July, 2009 Martin Kaymer must be worth an each way bet having won his last two tournaments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 15 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 15 July, 2009 Rock out to 500's, had a quid in an online account, got 50p ew. Worth a punt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bungle Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 In the end went for Stricker (50/1), Zach Johnson (80/1) and a cheeky £1 on Paul Lawrie (350/1). All e/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keithd Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 had a punt on westwood, kim, mcilroy and fisher, all e/w. i dont expect a return, cos im poop at betting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 I've done (all ew) Poulter 28/1 , Garcia 22/1 and Glover 125/1. Also bet Mahan will finish better than 35th and Nick Watney will finish better than 42nd. Todays Match bets. O'Hair over Villegas O Wilson over K perry S garcia over T Watson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 There we have it, 3rd hole and already Woods is in the chin high rough having got the driver out. No chance this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdearlove Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Westwood doing well - could well go 3 under after 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdearlove Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Westwood 3 under after 3 and birdie putt on 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdearlove Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Tiger bogied 3rd and long putt for birdie on 4. He is even at the mo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bungle Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Weather seems alright today, but the rest of the weekend might be interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 S garcia over T Watson Tom Watson can **** right off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arizona Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 It's been drizzling here on and off this morning. Stopped now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Will Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Hate to say I told you so, but Tiger is playing awful. He has to sack Hank Haney after this. His golf swing is awful right now. Laid off at the top, bowed left wrist, losing height on the way down, club stuck behind him.....blocks and hooks all day. He's even just fatted a 3 wood. Missed every fairway he's got driver out on, and 2 or 3 when he's hit iron off the tee. 1 over at the minute (6 behind a 59 year old) and will be lucky to finish within 5 or 6 of the leaders after the first day. If the wind gets up he'll be forced to hit more drivers and that'll mean he's chopping out of the hay even more. He's been incredibly lucky to be 1 over to here too, he's found a reasonable lie every time he's hit driver off the tee into the rough. Still like Stricker and will be interested to see how Furyk does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 16 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Only woods could play that badly and not play his way out the tournament, if it blows tomorrow and he can shoot level, he will be well in the mix (says the man with £100 on him..) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Only woods could play that badly and not play his way out the tournament, if it blows tomorrow and he can shoot level, he will be well in the mix (says the man with £100 on him..) and you can get 6/1 now in places. I'm tempted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 16 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 16 July, 2009 oh Villegas you beauty, just noticed him up there on teh scoreboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saint Keith Posted 16 July, 2009 Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Hate to say I told you so, but Tiger is playing awful. He has to sack Hank Haney after this. His golf swing is awful right now. Laid off at the top, bowed left wrist, losing height on the way down, club stuck behind him.....blocks and hooks all day. He's even just fatted a 3 wood. Missed every fairway he's got driver out on, and 2 or 3 when he's hit iron off the tee. 1 over at the minute (6 behind a 59 year old) and will be lucky to finish within 5 or 6 of the leaders after the first day. If the wind gets up he'll be forced to hit more drivers and that'll mean he's chopping out of the hay even more. He's been incredibly lucky to be 1 over to here too, he's found a reasonable lie every time he's hit driver off the tee into the rough. . agreed. he's swinging like a toilet door on a prawn trawler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 16 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 16 July, 2009 Poulter had a good one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
saint_stevo Posted 16 July, 2009 Author Share Posted 16 July, 2009 From post 1, i am only really ruling out Jacqulien Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatch Posted 17 July, 2009 Share Posted 17 July, 2009 There will be some big scores today by the looks of things, both Curtis and Jimenez struggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bungle Posted 17 July, 2009 Share Posted 17 July, 2009 I've done (all ew) Poulter 28/1 , Garcia 22/1 and Glover 125/1. Two good bets there! Stricker's fallen back a bit, but just holed a long putt on 9 to save par, maybe that will give him some confidence?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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