shurlock

Yoshida > Vestergaard

Even guido's fluffers aren't happy with Johnson's decision (once you get past the comments about pakistanis and bedwetting over masks). I'm just glad that our lot is made of sterner stuff.

Julian Lewis is as swivel-eyed as they come - a Brexit Spartan who voted against May’s deal on all three occasions (unlike Johnson and JRM but hey they have posh accents and do the deferential duffers on here love a posh accent). Such is the way that the swivels are defining pinko and nonpinko, remainer and leaver, there’ll be nobody left on their side except those on a watchlist and oddball platforms like parler. Keep eating your own lads.

“British business faces £7bn red tape bill under Brexit border plan Government’s ‘new start’ will generate 215m customs declarations a year and need 50,000 extra customs agents“ https://www.ft.com/content/fbc6f191-6d69-4dcb-b374-0fa6e48a9a1e Bloody EU and it’s red tape - Brexit and Brexiters the gifts that keep on giving.

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Leaving aside the words you're putting into my mouth, the BSA is one of the most respected longitudinal surveys in the country, using state-of-the-art random sampling procedures. They're much more rigorous than yougov and other polling organisations. I can assure you they will have gone to excruciating lengths, as serious survey statisticians do, to ensure that the sample was as representative as possible of the underlying population at hand -so that they could make robust, generalisable statements. Charge me as guilty if I accept and reproduce their statements over an epically thick bumpkin who plays the favourite SWF card of claiming a small sample -in the process displaying their ignorance of statistics and the subject matter (spoiler: truly random sampling lets you do alot with a very small sample with acceptable confidence levels and intervals -needless to say its a huge and complex area of study). You really are living proof of the old Dunning-Kruger effect. Ignorance must be truly bliss.

Maybe you should write to John Curtice and the statisticians at the NatCen and let me them know of your concerns. Definitely enclose the article link too pal. You can contact them here. https://www.bsa.natcen.ac.uk/about/funding.aspx

Not sure what your cute little point is - either way, its splendidly uninformed.

I said degree, so its consistent with my statement. As for survey design/sample size, please do not wade into a subject you know nothing about pal.

It was 70:30 in favour of remain - see NatCen's British Social Attitudes 34.

You're not doing much to dispel the thicko tag pal.

Les - there's an easy way to address that alleged 'bias' and look only at the voting behaviour of the older population with a degree -when degrees supposedly meant something. Guess what the remain/leave split was among those over 55 (at the time of the referendum) with a degree. You'll find your argument is bunkum.

Don't know if its the honey monster attempting a hold-up, a smurf in a gimp mask or just a strange outbreak of camel toe.

Some powerful interventions by Michael Holding.

You're in even greater need of help and intervention pal if you think the only difference between the articles I post and something like politicalite are the formal qualifications of the respective authors.

What kind of scepticism do you add to politicalite articles?

Lincoln Project still playing a blinder https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bk6d4TgO2NY

Yep I remember you did.

Clueless

Sobering reading for the lockdown hardmen who assume there's a fundamental trade-off between saving lives and promoting the economy. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/business/sweden-economy-coronavirus.html

Comparing UK and Japan's lockdown is like comparing apples to oranges. You can only compare the impact of the lockdown to what would have happened if the UK hadn't locked down at the time it did. The big difference between the UK and Japan is that the rate and level of infection got out of control in the UK, making a harder lockdown far more necessary. By contrast, it was initially better contained in Japan (individual prefectures like Hokkaido -population 5.3 million- were declaring states of emergency in February) giving the government greater scope to adopt light-touch measures later on. That the level and rate of infection was allowed to increase as much as it did in the UK is the elephant in the room and I'd happily wager that poor policy played a role in it.

Cultural factors cut both ways - in some aspects, they reduce risk; in others, they increase risk. Japan’s certainly a polite society but it’s also one where you’re expected to turn up to work and show your face (figuratively). I know people there who have felt social pressure to take public transport and go into the office, even they could quite easily work from home. Widespread mask-wearing arguably plays a big role on which note... https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/07/refusal-to-wear-mask-should-be-as-taboo-as-drink-driving-says-royal-society-chief

This is a decent article which suggests some care homes were spared the worst precisely by defying government procedures. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/janice-turner-on-coronavirus-in-care-homes-and-the-end-of-lockdown-qv9pz9z8w In the meantime the cultist sheep have a new scapegoat.

While I agree substantial progress has been made in some areas (and direct comparisons with the US are not helpful), in many others it is still depressingly slow. If only some minority groups had seen real improvements in their labour market and job prospects. And those prospects weren't determined by factors outside their control... https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1468-4446.12676 Hard data and evidence eh - no competition with cuddly anecdotes it seems for far too many.

Its not especially relevant given the particular circumstances. As your trusted sources at the ADL point out, not only have white supremacists themselves been participating in such trolling tactics but some white supremacists have abandoned the ironic or satiric intent behind the original trolling campaign and used the symbol as a sincere expression of white supremacy (as Christchurch mosque killer did in court). As ever context is critical -and when you're holding up a massive 40ft white supremacist banner (per your fav source the ADL's designation) and have a website with lurid references to reversing the decline in the White British population, the association is more than circumstantial pal.