SaintBobby

I think it may turn out that the Arsenal win made us safe....I mean, sure, you don't expect to lose about 12 games in a row, but we have come perilously close to that.... Until Chelsea beat Leeds last week, we had come in to about 50/1 to relegated. A real longshot, but I don't consider a 2% chance of relegation to equal "safe". We're probably about 0.001% to be relegated now....I think i would count that as safe.

I'd say we're definitely nowhere near the top 6, or probably the top 8. We're also - over 38 games - measurably better than the bottom 2 or 3. There's a swathe of teams in mid to lower table where there is virtually nothing to choose between them. Finishing top ten is tough, because it basically means finishing ahead of the 6 or 7 teams who roughly are on our level. We haven't been in relegation trouble for a few years and I don't think we will be next season either. Getting much better than that though is a really hard climb.

Most bookies have Everton odds on to go down now.

Feeling a bit better about losing to Burnley now…

The FA Cup is getting tediously predictable. 30 of the last 44 finalists have been the Big Six. 18 of the last 22 winners have been the Big Six (including this year).

Sounds like a gruesome injury to Ashley Westwood in the West Ham v Burnley match.

Tempted to go to this one. Maybe because I’ve never been to Turf Moor and this might be a chance to go when the weather isn’t as bloody awful & cold as some others on this thread have indicated.

Should have lost 3-1. Forster was superb. Great win - that’s not luck, that’s skill.

Turns out Chelsea are pretty good then. Not good enough maybe to retain the CL title, but still damned good.

Chellll.....seaaaa... Whoever you may be You are owned by the KGB Abramovich is f***ked and you're mercanaries. You are owned by the KGB.

For those of a betting disposition, Everton and Burnley are now both around evens to be relegated. https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

Anyone else veering dangerously close to the “I hope Burnley beat Saints” vibe?

Rotherham 1 Sutton Utd 2 in the Football Trophy final....c 30 mins to go, I think?

I really want Everton to go down. I almost - almost, not quite - want us to lose away to Burnley.

We're the underdogs, sure....but this has to be the best time to be playing them. Turmoil at Stamford Bridge, low morale and they surely need to prioritise the Champions League v Real Madrid. Am hoping they're still in it after the first leg, then there must be a chance we face their B team.

According to Solent, it was initially Diallo on the left. Then a diamond when Romeu came off.

Decent point, but the midfield formation seemed baffling.

We're not going to get relegated....prob not even in the ludicrous scenario where we lose all our remaining games.

This is grim

groan

damn

Great result. Good performance after a shaky start. Onwards. I still think the team selection was absurd. We went out from about 7/4 to nearly 3/1 to win in 90 mins when the team was announced. Credit to winning against the favourites, but…hmmm…

The fair play thing was mental. I seem to vaguely remember we could have got into the InterToto cup if, on the last day of the season, we picked up one fewer yellow cards than Sheffield Wednesday. We had nothing else to play for. As it happens, I think it was rendered moot because we had decided not to apply to the InterToto anyway.

Appreciate the matchs and stats help! Burnley are now odds against for the drop. Maybe they'll make it. Like us, they've had a shedload of draws, which isn't enormously helpful for a club's points total, but does indicate you're competitive.

I think I get the point you're driving at, but I'm not grasping it wholly. Leeds have a 23% chance of being relegated. This is made up of a 2% chance they are relegated with Newcastle and Everton and a 21% chance that they are relegated with one or neither of Newcastle and Everton, and a 77% chance they aren't relegated at all. If I'm not right on this, what is the 23% made up of?