Some analysis for todays cards.
Ascot
2.15 8 runner maiden with horses from 4 top stables represented, unless you have inside info then no real chance of picking the winner, although if I was made to choose a horse I would go for Escholido.
2.50 Another maiden this time for fillies, again some big stables represented, Sennockian Storm was well fancied on debut, she is a well bred type and cost a few quid, the 106 day absence may have meant she has had problems, if they are sorted I am sure she will give a good account of herself.
3.25 Again really hard to work out with nothing jumping off the page, Pin Cushion won her maiden impressivley but at the price of 3/10 she was expected to, so you'd have to think that form is a little weak, it may pay to go with last years connections in Dungannon, he is lightly raced and his form behind Dever Dream on his last run looks pretty solid, so its Dungannon for me...Pin Cushion has been declared a non runner as I type
4.00 The Which Doctor is a horse that I have backed many times, he has failed to show much form at all this season but id down to a good handicap mark as his price reflects, it is because of his price that I leave him alone, the odds in what look a competitive affair are prohibitive and value can be found elsewhere, Pendragon seems to be improving even at the age of 7 and if the money comes for him then he has to be feared as the stable like a little gamble, the horse I side with is the ultra consistent King's Masque, he has run well in all starts this season and may well have run his last race but for being hampered.
4.35 This is a proper little race with most of the runners having a good chance here, Both Johnston horses must be respected as the stable are flying, but Bay Willow has a bit to find with Times Up and Record Breaker isnt the most consistent of animals, although he has won on course and distance and is on a very tempting handicap mark, Tmies Up for John Dunlop won well last time but I am still unsure about the stables form, one stable that is flying at the moment is David Elsworth, his horse Ouster finished behind both Times up and Bay Willow but could well reverse the form and is a decent price, one for each way money is Red Merlin, he had some fantastic form last year and despite being below par this year Clive Cox horses seem to be running better now and he could go well at a big price.
5.10 A massive 5 furlong sprint to finish, my main fancy Ziggy Lee is a non runner so I have to find another now, Monsieur Joe has a good profile but my two against the field are the ultra consistent and tough Hamish McGonagall and Rapid Water who will hopefully show his true potential with the visor applied.
All in all not a bad card
Pontefract
2.05 Best to leave alone but I expect a better run from Piceno than he has shown on two starts so far.
2.40 A lot depends on Explorators involvement in the race after running yesterday, even so best to leave alone I think
3.15 Sea Land looks to be coming back to form and on a very tempting handicap mark is my pick
3.50 Too trappy for me, not a bad little race but too many question marks about the runners, Light From Mars is a massive price though and holds some interest.
4.25 Stevie Gee holds some interest to me in this race as he is a horse I have often backed, but Cornus looks a good bet, he has run really well this year and has won over this course and distance, his last run in a big York race was a good effort and he could quite easily bounce back here.
5.00 Maiden that looks between Entitled and Autumn Riches, best to leave it alone.
5.30 Comptonspirit is flying at the moment and could well go in again, but looks poor value, Darcy's Pride is down to her last winning mark and she is reproduced quickly after running Friday.
Carlisle
1.50 Extremely short priced favourite, a watching brief
2.25 A pretty weak claimer, Plush has some really good all weather form, Tom Dascombes yard are coming back to form and he can take a hand in this weak race, Biglybonglyboo has a great name but looks an awful horse.
3.00 Cant really find anything I like here so will leave well alaone.
3.35 A ladies event and Sarah Brotherton seems to be winning these for fun at the moment and she does have a chance on Overrule, but one of more interest is The Last Alzao, the jockey has a 2/2 record on this horse and hopefully make it 3/3 today.
4.10 No Bet
4.45 No Bet
5.20 Just has to be Franki J, she is unexposed and has the able rider Andrea Atzeni on board, a small improvement in form would see her take a hand in a weak handicap.
Good luck all
Frankie
